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Saturday at 3:00 PM Back to Games			MIDDLE TENN ST (8-3) AT ARKANSAS ST (8-3)
						Offensive Statistics			Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF/PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	RY	PY	TY	RY	PY	TY
325: MIDDLE TENN ST 326: ARKANSAS ST	OFF -10.0	29.0 / 26.5 35.6 / 27.7	8-3 8-3	7-3-1 7-4-0	5-5-0 6-4-0	184.6 214.0	225.4 265.1	410.0 479.1	180.8 159.2	253.5 244.0	434.4 403.2

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
MIDDLE TENN ST
ARKANSAS ST	-18

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

MIDDLE TENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1992	Current	Last 3	Since 1992	Current	Last 3	Since 1992
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points	1-1	2-4	11-14	1-1	3-3	6-10	1-1	2-4	9-16
in all games	7-3	14-21	79-75	5-5	17-15	45-47	8-3	16-20	82-98
when playing against a team with a winning record	1-1	2-6	17-16	1-1	4-4	12-9	1-1	2-6	10-25
in all lined games	7-3	14-21	79-75	5-5	17-15	45-47	8-3	16-20	71-84
as an underdog	2-2	5-10	38-39	2-2	8-7	20-27	2-2	3-12	17-60
as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points	1-0	1-0	4-1	1-0	1-0	2-0	1-0	1-0	3-2
in road games	5-1	10-8	49-39	4-2	9-7	27-24	5-1	9-9	35-64
in road lined games	5-1	10-8	49-39	4-2	9-7	27-24	5-1	9-9	32-56
against conference opponents	5-1	11-11	47-46	3-4	11-10	30-29	6-1	12-11	59-44
when playing on a Saturday	6-2	13-15	73-62	4-5	13-13	37-38	7-2	15-14	75-83
when playing with 6 or less days rest	4-2	8-13	56-48	4-3	12-9	31-27	5-2	11-11	60-62
after playing a conference game	4-1	7-13	43-42	3-3	10-9	29-26	5-1	10-11	49-50
in games played on turf	6-2	10-16	45-44	4-4	14-10	30-28	7-2	13-14	56-44
in December games	0-0	1-1	2-4	0-0	1-1	4-2	0-0	1-1	2-4
off a win against a conference rival	3-1	5-5	30-21	2-3	6-5	22-12	4-1	6-5	28-25
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins	2-1	3-2	18-14	1-3	2-4	14-8	3-1	4-2	20-15

ARKANSAS ST - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1992	Current	Last 3	Since 1992	Current	Last 3	Since 1992
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points	2-0	6-0	13-12	1-1	3-3	7-10	2-0	6-0	20-5
in all games	7-4	24-12	82-82	6-4	17-18	42-55	8-3	22-14	72-129
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins	4-0	10-3	13-12	3-1	7-6	10-9	4-0	11-2	14-11
when playing against a team with a winning record	2-1	4-4	15-18	2-1	3-5	7-13	2-1	4-4	6-32
in all lined games	7-4	24-12	82-82	6-4	17-18	42-55	8-3	22-14	65-100
as a favorite	5-3	16-7	28-33	4-3	11-11	24-27	7-1	20-3	45-16
as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points	1-0	1-0	4-2	1-0	1-0	4-1	1-0	1-0	6-0
in home games	2-3	10-6	36-32	3-1	9-6	20-22	4-1	13-3	50-32
in home lined games	2-3	10-6	36-32	3-1	9-6	20-22	4-1	13-3	43-25
against conference opponents	5-2	16-7	43-49	4-3	12-11	28-34	6-1	18-5	51-51
when playing on a Saturday	4-4	19-11	75-73	4-3	14-15	35-46	5-3	17-13	62-123
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest	0-0	1-1	7-8	0-0	1-1	7-3	0-0	1-1	5-23
after playing a conference game	5-1	15-6	42-44	4-2	11-10	26-33	6-0	15-6	39-58
after a bye week	1-0	4-1	10-10	1-0	3-2	10-5	1-0	4-1	9-24
in games played on turf	7-4	12-7	20-27	6-4	7-11	12-20	8-3	12-7	19-31
in December games	0-0	1-0	2-2	0-0	1-0	2-2	0-0	1-0	2-2
off a win against a conference rival	4-1	13-4	22-26	4-1	10-7	17-19	5-0	13-4	20-29

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

MIDDLE TENN ST - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	8-3	+3.8	7-3	5-5	29.0	12.8	410.0	(6)	1.5	26.5	11.7	434.4	(6)	2.5
Road Games	5-1	+4.8	5-1	4-2	31.3	14.7	427.3	(5.9)	1.0	29.0	15.2	428.0	(6.1)	2.7
Last 3 Games	3-0	+4.8	2-0	1-2	26.0	13.3	371.7	(5.5)	0.7	20.7	10.0	416.0	(5.7)	3.7
Turf Games	7-2	+4.8	6-2	4-4	29.7	13.0	410.6	(6)	1.2	24.2	10.9	434.1	(5.9)	2.6
Conference Games	6-1	+6.8	5-1	3-4	28.3	12.0	416.1	(6.2)	1.0	23.0	9.6	436.9	(5.8)	2.7

MIDDLE TENN ST - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	29.0	12.8	20.9	28:41	40-185	(4.6)	18-29	63.5%	225	(7.8)	69-410	(6)	(14.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	28.5	14.2	20.7	29:01	36-151	(4.2)	20-33	61.1%	240	(7.3)	69-392	(5.7)	(13.8)
Offense Road Games	31.3	14.7	23.2	31:01	46-211	(4.6)	17-27	64.2%	216	(8)	73-427	(5.9)	(13.6)
Defense (All Games)	26.5	11.7	23.1	31:18	40-181	(4.5)	21-32	66.1%	254	(7.8)	73-434	(6)	(16.4)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	27	13.6	21.2	31:19	40-170	(4.3)	19-31	62.2%	230	(7.4)	71-400	(5.6)	(14.8)
Defense Road Games	29.0	15.2	23.0	28:58	39-165	(4.3)	21-32	65.3%	263	(8.3)	70-428	(6.1)	(14.8)

ARKANSAS ST - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	8-3	+4.4	7-4	6-4	35.6	18.7	479.1	(6.5)	1.3	27.7	15.3	403.2	(5.5)	1.8
Home Games	4-1	-0.2	2-3	3-1	36.6	20.6	487.6	(6.5)	1.6	21.2	8.8	318.8	(4.6)	1.0
Last 3 Games	3-0	+3	3-0	2-1	41.0	22.3	534.3	(7.4)	0.7	25.3	13.0	450.3	(5.9)	1.7
Turf Games	8-3	+4.4	7-4	6-4	35.6	18.7	479.1	(6.5)	1.3	27.7	15.3	403.2	(5.5)	1.8
Conference Games	6-1	+4.4	5-2	4-3	36.6	19.1	457.3	(6.5)	1.0	25.4	9.9	411.4	(5.5)	1.9

ARKANSAS ST - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	35.6	18.7	24.8	28:45	41-214	(5.2)	22-33	66.1%	265	(8.1)	74-479	(6.5)	(13.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	30.2	17	21.4	30:42	38-174	(4.5)	20-32	60.5%	238	(7.4)	71-412	(5.8)	(13.6)
Offense Home Games	36.6	20.6	26.2	28:32	44-231	(5.2)	21-31	66.7%	257	(8.2)	75-488	(6.5)	(13.3)
Defense (All Games)	27.7	15.3	21.4	31:15	39-159	(4)	22-34	65.4%	244	(7.2)	73-403	(5.5)	(14.5)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	27.8	14.6	20.8	31:38	40-178	(4.4)	19-31	61.5%	219	(7)	71-396	(5.6)	(14.3)
Defense Home Games	21.2	8.8	18.2	31:28	37-138	(3.8)	20-32	62.1%	181	(5.6)	69-319	(4.6)	(15)

Average power rating of opponents played: MIDDLE TENN ST 24.4, ARKANSAS ST 28.2

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

MIDDLE TENN ST - Season Results
								Team Stats			Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Rushing	Passing	TO	Rushing	Passing	TO
10/6/2012	LA MONROE	17-31	L	3.5	L	62.5	U	19-69	23-34-238	3	51-204	27-39-296	1
10/13/2012	@ FLA INTERNATIONAL	34-30	W	-1.5	W	55.5	O	53-256	17-30-267	0	41-142	24-40-380	1
10/20/2012	@ MISSISSIPPI ST	3-45	L	18.5	L	58	U	41-131	20-32-174	3	33-231	20-26-215	1
10/27/2012	NORTH TEXAS	38-21	W	-3	W	57	O	37-139	20-30-349	0	43-211	17-29-221	4
11/1/2012	@ W KENTUCKY	34-29	W	9	W	56	O	50-224	11-17-118	0	32-155	19-31-283	2
11/17/2012	@ S ALABAMA	20-12	W	-7	W	56	U	41-212	16-29-233	0	40-149	17-30-189	4
11/24/2012	TROY	24-21	W	-3	T	69	U	27-152	18-37-176	2	39-191	31-48-281	5
12/1/2012	@ ARKANSAS ST

ARKANSAS ST - Season Results
								Team Stats			Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Rushing	Passing	TO	Rushing	Passing	TO
10/4/2012	@ FLA INTERNATIONAL	34-20	W	-2.5	W	56.5	U	37-198	15-23-223	0	48-188	19-31-153	2
10/13/2012	S ALABAMA	36-29	W	-20.5	L	51.5	O	37-113	17-22-203	3	50-132	24-38-241	1
10/23/2012	@ LA LAFAYETTE	50-27	W	3.5	W	62	O	50-257	21-31-269	0	23-76	28-41-374	5
11/3/2012	@ NORTH TEXAS	37-19	W	-4.5	W	58.5	U	33-146	25-32-328	0	30-84	28-49-316	2
11/8/2012	LA MONROE	45-23	W	-7.5	W	59.5	O	34-200	26-34-334	1	27-76	37-53-357	2
11/17/2012	@ TROY	41-34	W	-3	W	68	O	41-226	28-42-369	1	33-71	28-38-447	1
12/1/2012	MIDDLE TENN ST

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1992

MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-4 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1992

MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-4 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1992

5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games over the last 3 seasons

ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons

ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at ARKANSAS ST since 1992

ARKANSAS ST is 3-2 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST since 1992

ARKANSAS ST is 3-2 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST since 1992

2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games played at ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons.

ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons

ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

								Rushing	Passing		Turnovers		Penalties
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	CMP-ATT	YDS	FL	INT	PEN-YDS
11/19/2011	ARKANSAS ST	45	-13.5	SU ATS	25	29	34:31	51-203	29-41	333	2	1	4-28
	MIDDLE TENN ST	19	58	Over	19	17	25:29	35-80	28-48	219	1	0	8-78
11/2/2010	MIDDLE TENN ST	24	-2.5	Over	17	26	34:47	60-236	19-37	146	3	4	6-59
	ARKANSAS ST	51	57.5	SU ATS	23	26	25:13	38-205	18-29	288	0	1	3-25

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MIDDLE TENN ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 44.8% of the time since 1992. (64-79)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 48.3% of the time since 1992. (69-74)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-18)
No Edge.

No total has been posted for this game.

Key Player Injuries

MIDDLE TENN ST

No significant injuries.

ARKANSAS ST

[WR] 08/31/2012 - Earl Lucas has been dismissed ( Dismissed )

[WR] 08/31/2012 - Tres Houston out for season ( Suspension )

[WR] 09/12/2012 - Allen Muse has been dismissed ( Legal problems )

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