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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in a bowl game | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4-3 | | off a win against a conference rival | 2-3 | 10-8 | 40-35 | 2-2 | 13-5 | 25-21 | 4-1 | 15-4 | 54-25 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-1 | 6-7 | 25-29 | 0-3 | 9-4 | 21-23 | 1-2 | 7-6 | 31-39 | | as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points | 3-0 | 6-0 | 17-17 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 14-16 | 2-1 | 5-1 | 13-22 | | in all games | 7-5 | 21-16 | 91-80 | 3-8 | 18-18 | 60-56 | 9-3 | 26-12 | 159-89 | | in all lined games | 7-5 | 21-16 | 91-80 | 3-8 | 18-18 | 60-56 | 9-3 | 26-12 | 104-71 | | as an underdog | 5-0 | 10-5 | 34-40 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 32-33 | 3-2 | 7-9 | 26-50 | | as a neutral field underdog of 7.5 to 10 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | | against WAC opponents | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-3 | | when playing on a Saturday | 6-3 | 15-8 | 68-54 | 3-5 | 11-11 | 39-31 | 8-1 | 18-5 | 130-63 | | when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 15-7 | | after playing a conference game | 3-4 | 12-10 | 61-52 | 2-4 | 14-8 | 39-35 | 5-2 | 18-5 | 110-55 | | after a bye week | 0-1 | 0-4 | 12-13 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 8-8 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 19-16 | | in games played on a neutral field | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4-5 | | in games played on turf | 6-5 | 15-14 | 65-49 | 3-7 | 14-14 | 50-36 | 9-2 | 20-10 | 85-42 | | in December games | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5-6 | | in non-conference games | 3-1 | 6-7 | 24-28 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 19-19 | 3-1 | 6-8 | 42-36 |
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| in a bowl game | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 | | off a win against a conference rival | 4-1 | 6-5 | 18-15 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 9-13 | 5-0 | 10-2 | 18-18 | | after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins | 5-1 | 6-4 | 8-10 | 2-4 | 3-8 | 3-9 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 12-10 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-0 | 9-3 | 25-22 | 3-1 | 6-5 | 18-17 | 3-1 | 6-6 | 12-42 | | as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 11-4 | | in all games | 10-1 | 21-14 | 81-81 | 3-8 | 13-21 | 43-56 | 10-2 | 21-16 | 68-138 | | in all lined games | 10-1 | 21-14 | 81-81 | 3-8 | 13-21 | 43-56 | 10-2 | 21-16 | 53-114 | | as a favorite | 6-1 | 9-9 | 21-23 | 2-5 | 8-10 | 10-18 | 8-0 | 16-4 | 32-14 | | as a neutral field favorite of 7.5 to 10 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | | against MAC opponents | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | | when playing on a Saturday | 7-1 | 16-14 | 70-74 | 3-6 | 13-17 | 38-47 | 8-1 | 18-14 | 64-119 | | when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest | 1-0 | 3-3 | 11-10 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 7-4 | 1-0 | 2-4 | 15-17 | | after playing a conference game | 4-1 | 9-9 | 42-41 | 2-3 | 7-11 | 24-33 | 5-0 | 12-7 | 37-61 | | after a bye week | 1-0 | 3-3 | 13-10 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 7-5 | 1-0 | 2-4 | 15-21 | | in games played on a neutral field | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 | | in games played on turf | 9-1 | 12-2 | 25-23 | 3-7 | 6-8 | 14-14 | 10-1 | 12-4 | 24-40 | | in December games | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2-4 | | in non-conference games | 5-0 | 11-4 | 35-36 | 0-5 | 4-10 | 16-21 | 4-2 | 8-8 | 24-78 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 9-3 | +5 | 7-5 | 3-8 | 32.9 | 16.5 | 456.1 | (6.2) | 1.5 | 27.3 | 12.7 | 463.2 | (6.3) | 2.1 | | Road Games | 4-2 | +2.6 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 31.5 | 15.5 | 474.3 | (6.2) | 1.5 | 28.3 | 11.3 | 524.5 | (7) | 2.7 | | Last 3 Games | 1-2 | -2.3 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 28.7 | 17.3 | 460.3 | (6.3) | 2.3 | 29.3 | 13.7 | 458.0 | (6) | 2.3 | | Turf Games | 9-2 | +6 | 6-5 | 3-7 | 34.4 | 16.7 | 465.0 | (6.5) | 1.5 | 27.6 | 13.0 | 448.6 | (6.2) | 2.0 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 32.9 | 16.5 | 23.0 | 31:07 | 40-197 | (4.9) | 21-33 | 62.9% | 259 | (7.7) | 74-456 | (6.2) | (13.9) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 29.5 | 14.8 | 21.5 | 31:56 | 39-176 | (4.5) | 20-33 | 60.7% | 238 | (7.2) | 73-414 | (5.7) | (14) | | Offense Road Games | 31.5 | 15.5 | 24.3 | 32:00 | 41-211 | (5.1) | 20-35 | 58.3% | 263 | (7.5) | 77-474 | (6.2) | (15.1) | | Defense (All Games) | 27.3 | 12.7 | 23.8 | 28:53 | 34-168 | (4.9) | 24-39 | 61.3% | 295 | (7.5) | 74-463 | (6.3) | (16.9) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 28.9 | 14.5 | 22.3 | 29:26 | 37-167 | (4.5) | 21-36 | 59.5% | 256 | (7.1) | 73-423 | (5.8) | (14.6) | | Defense Road Games | 28.3 | 11.3 | 25.0 | 27:59 | 38-213 | (5.6) | 22-36 | 60.6% | 312 | (8.6) | 74-524 | (7) | (18.5) |
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| All Games | 10-2 | +3.4 | 10-1 | 3-8 | 34.4 | 20.3 | 460.7 | (6.7) | 1.6 | 15.4 | 4.5 | 322.7 | (4.3) | 1.5 | | Road Games | 4-2 | +1.2 | 6-0 | 3-3 | 32.2 | 17.7 | 440.7 | (6.3) | 1.3 | 21.0 | 5.8 | 390.7 | (4.9) | 1.3 | | Last 3 Games | 3-0 | +1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 43.7 | 24.3 | 496.3 | (7.1) | 1.7 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 332.3 | (4.2) | 2.7 | | Turf Games | 9-1 | +4.4 | 8-1 | 2-7 | 36.2 | 21.4 | 476.3 | (6.9) | 1.5 | 16.2 | 4.5 | 319.3 | (4.3) | 1.5 |
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| Offense (All Games) | 34.4 | 20.3 | 20.7 | 28:19 | 37-193 | (5.2) | 22-32 | 67.6% | 268 | (8.3) | 69-461 | (6.7) | (13.4) | | Opponents Defensive Avg. | 30.6 | 16.7 | 21.5 | 30:36 | 38-175 | (4.6) | 20-32 | 61.5% | 245 | (7.6) | 71-420 | (6) | (13.7) | | Offense Road Games | 32.2 | 17.7 | 20.2 | 28:11 | 34-179 | (5.2) | 23-36 | 65.6% | 261 | (7.3) | 70-441 | (6.3) | (13.7) | | Defense (All Games) | 15.4 | 4.5 | 18.5 | 31:41 | 38-111 | (2.9) | 20-36 | 54.6% | 211 | (5.8) | 74-323 | (4.3) | (20.9) | | Opponents Offensive Avg. | 27.3 | 14.5 | 20 | 31:35 | 36-146 | (4.1) | 20-34 | 60.4% | 235 | (7) | 69-381 | (5.5) | (14) | | Defense Road Games | 21.0 | 5.8 | 21.2 | 31:49 | 40-116 | (2.9) | 24-40 | 61.2% | 275 | (6.9) | 80-391 | (4.9) | (18.6) |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: TOLEDO 25.8, UTAH ST 24.8 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| 10/20/2012 | CINCINNATI | 29-23 | W | 5 | W | 64.5 | U | 43-229 | 13-24-126 | 1 | 35-251 | 15-37-227 | 2 | | 10/27/2012 | @ BUFFALO | 25-20 | W | -7 | L | 60.5 | U | 46-241 | 12-25-171 | 2 | 39-170 | 11-28-202 | 2 | | 11/6/2012 | BALL ST | 27-34 | L | -5.5 | L | 70 | U | 51-311 | 14-27-215 | 1 | 33-166 | 29-42-280 | 3 | | 11/14/2012 | @ N ILLINOIS | 24-31 | L | 10 | W | 69.5 | U | 38-131 | 22-33-265 | 4 | 42-189 | 25-36-407 | 3 | | 11/20/2012 | AKRON | 35-23 | W | -17.5 | L | 62.5 | U | 34-132 | 29-35-327 | 2 | 30-67 | 30-46-265 | 1 | | 12/15/2012 | *UTAH ST | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| 10/20/2012 | NEW MEXICO ST | 41-7 | W | -29.5 | W | 56.5 | U | 36-256 | 17-27-260 | 0 | 34-132 | 20-38-189 | 2 | | 10/27/2012 | @ UTSA | 48-17 | W | -23.5 | W | 52.5 | O | 37-128 | 32-42-394 | 2 | 28-51 | 21-36-248 | 2 | | 11/3/2012 | TEXAS ST | 38-7 | W | -26.5 | W | 53 | U | 47-268 | 21-28-325 | 3 | 31-82 | 10-23-76 | 1 | | 11/17/2012 | @ LOUISIANA TECH | 48-41 | W | -3 | W | 73.5 | O | 45-306 | 20-34-340 | 0 | 47-233 | 35-61-396 | 3 | | 11/24/2012 | IDAHO | 45-9 | W | -37 | L | 57 | U | 31-133 | 18-26-117 | 2 | 47-158 | 12-26-52 | 4 | | 12/15/2012 | *TOLEDO | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 52.6% of the time since 1992. (81-73) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 52.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-16) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UTAH ST games 53.1% of the time since 1992. (77-68) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UTAH ST games 51.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-16) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 45.8% of the time since 1992. (49-58) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in TOLEDO games 51.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-17) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in UTAH ST games 59.8% of the time since 1992. (55-37) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in UTAH ST games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-18) | |
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| [DE] 10/01/2012 - T.J. Fatinikun out for season ( Achilles ) | | [DE] 10/07/2012 - Christian Smith out for season ( Knee ) | | [RB] 12/02/2012 - David Fluellen missed last game, probable Saturday vs. Utah State ( Ankle ) | | [QB] 12/02/2012 - Terrance Owens missed last game, probable Saturday vs. Utah State ( Foot ) | | [DE] 11/20/2012 - Keenen Gibbs out for season ( Knee ) | |
| [LB] 08/04/2012 - Parker Hausknecht has left team ( Personal ) | | [CB] 12/02/2012 - Quinton Byrd out for season ( Knee ) |
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