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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| SAN FRANCISCO | ZITO | +136 | | | CINCINNATI | LEAKE | -136 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| when playing on Wednesday | 11-14 | -5.1 | 41-37 | -2.5 | 218-187 | +15.5 | 15-10 | 41-35 | 193-191 | | in day games | 35-31 | +0.5 | 92-85 | -4.3 | 502-471 | -17 | 33-29 | 82-87 | 476-455 | | in games played on a grass field | 95-70 | +17.8 | 284-220 | +35 | 1354-1162 | +100.4 | 88-71 | 238-245 | 1195-1197 | | against right-handed starters | 55-51 | -4.2 | 191-165 | +0.9 | 1037-895 | +62.7 | 56-46 | 170-170 | 943-897 | | in playoff games | 1-2 | -1.4 | 12-6 | +8.1 | 24-22 | +2.9 | 2-1 | 8-9 | 23-22 | | after a win | 51-42 | +3 | 157-127 | +10.5 | 767-640 | +63 | 52-39 | 133-138 | 669-675 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 32-33 | -0.2 | 120-113 | +7.5 | 620-620 | +27.4 | 34-29 | 109-117 | 602-582 | | when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season | 17-18 | -0.8 | 67-59 | +9.7 | 323-316 | +26.3 | 19-15 | 58-65 | 311-303 | | in all games | 95-70 | +17.8 | 285-222 | +33.8 | 1417-1220 | +106 | 88-71 | 239-247 | 1265-1245 | | when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 11-10 | +1 | 57-47 | +9.2 | 479-441 | +2.4 | 16-5 | 54-49 | 459-428 | | as a road underdog of +125 to +150 | 9-6 | +6.4 | 21-29 | -0.3 | 136-164 | +20.5 | 8-7 | 26-23 | 152-133 | | in road games | 47-35 | +15 | 136-118 | +23.1 | 648-670 | +35.1 | 50-30 | 134-112 | 661-597 | | on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 9-9 | +0 | 39-39 | +1.4 | 201-230 | -13.1 | 14-4 | 42-36 | 225-194 | | in October games | 2-4 | -1.8 | 13-10 | +4.3 | 37-32 | +4.9 | 2-4 | 9-13 | 34-34 |
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| at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 21-20 | -6.8 | 62-58 | -15.8 | 194-208 | -38.1 | 17-18 | 61-50 | 212-176 | | in October games | 3-3 | -0.1 | 5-7 | -2.6 | 10-23 | -15.1 | 2-4 | 4-8 | 10-23 | | when playing on Wednesday | 14-11 | +0.3 | 42-36 | +2 | 182-218 | -28.9 | 7-15 | 32-43 | 183-194 | | in day games | 38-19 | +14.8 | 96-76 | +8.6 | 440-465 | -6.3 | 22-30 | 73-81 | 421-425 | | in games played on a grass field | 99-66 | +18.6 | 269-222 | +15.1 | 1040-1118 | -12.6 | 62-90 | 222-232 | 995-1037 | | against left-handed starters | 33-18 | +12.7 | 86-63 | +14.3 | 355-367 | -9.8 | 21-28 | 66-74 | 332-355 | | in playoff games | 2-1 | +1.1 | 2-4 | -1.9 | 2-4 | -1.9 | 2-1 | 3-3 | 3-3 | | after a loss | 43-22 | +18 | 129-90 | +32.8 | 652-671 | +13.5 | 29-34 | 109-97 | 641-614 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 39-30 | +7.8 | 95-108 | -11.5 | 542-669 | -8.3 | 24-40 | 91-94 | 551-593 | | when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season | 15-9 | +5 | 40-52 | -12 | 242-335 | -26.2 | 7-14 | 41-42 | 262-276 | | in all games | 99-66 | +18.6 | 271-223 | +16.9 | 1271-1332 | -22.3 | 62-90 | 222-234 | 1215-1242 | | when the total is 8 to 8.5 | 37-28 | +0 | 109-101 | -13.5 | 377-413 | -20.8 | 24-33 | 102-96 | 375-385 | | as a home favorite of -125 to -150 | 19-13 | +1.2 | 48-42 | -10.2 | 172-154 | -38.2 | 12-18 | 42-42 | 155-152 | | in home games | 50-32 | +5.4 | 143-104 | +6.1 | 655-647 | -84.3 | 33-41 | 116-109 | 638-590 |
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| Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed. |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 95-70 | +17.8 | 88-71 | 4.4 | 0.267 | 0.325 | 4.0 | 0.248 | 0.309 | | Road Games | 47-35 | +15 | 50-30 | 5.0 | 0.269 | 0.324 | 4.6 | 0.260 | 0.321 | | vs Right-handed Starters | 55-51 | -4.2 | 56-46 | 4.2 | 0.263 | 0.329 | 4.1 | 0.245 | 0.305 | | Past 7 Games | 3-4 | -0.7 | 3-4 | 2.6 | 0.193 | 0.271 | 4.4 | 0.249 | 0.296 | | Grass Games | 95-70 | +17.8 | 88-71 | 4.4 | 0.267 | 0.325 | 4.0 | 0.248 | 0.309 | | Day Games | 35-31 | +0.5 | 33-29 | 4.1 | 0.250 | 0.308 | 4.1 | 0.247 | 0.312 | | Playoff games | 1-2 | -1.4 | 2-1 | 1.3 | 0.126 | 0.210 | 5.0 | 0.243 | 0.296 |
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| All Games | 4.4 | 0.267 | 0.325 | 165 | 5653 | 1507 | 450 | 104 | 0.02 | 677 | 493 | 1123 | 118 | 1191 | 133 | 115 | 136 | 130 | | Road Games | 5.0 | 0.269 | 0.324 | 82 | 2925 | 787 | 246 | 72 | 0.02 | 390 | 238 | 602 | 64 | 581 | 65 | 67 | 67 | 58 | | Righty Starters | 4.2 | 0.263 | 0.329 | 106 | 3603 | 948 | 273 | 54 | 0.01 | 418 | 352 | 744 | 86 | 790 | 72 | 71 | 77 | 84 |
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| All Games | 3.57 | 1.332 | 466.4 | 213 | 185 | 457 | 38 | 164 | 393 | 24-19 | 53 | 13 | 80.3% | | Road Games | 3.89 | 1.433 | 240.7 | 123 | 104 | 255 | 21 | 90 | 205 | 13-11 | 29 | 7 | 80.6% |
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| All Games | 99-66 | +18.6 | 62-90 | 4.1 | 0.251 | 0.312 | 3.6 | 0.245 | 0.300 | | Home Games | 50-32 | +5.4 | 33-41 | 4.3 | 0.255 | 0.321 | 3.8 | 0.248 | 0.299 | | vs Left-handed Starters | 33-18 | +12.8 | 21-28 | 4.6 | 0.256 | 0.314 | 3.6 | 0.247 | 0.305 | | Past 7 Games | 4-3 | +0.8 | 2-5 | 3.4 | 0.222 | 0.265 | 1.9 | 0.194 | 0.257 | | Grass Games | 99-66 | +18.6 | 62-90 | 4.1 | 0.251 | 0.312 | 3.6 | 0.245 | 0.300 | | Day Games | 38-19 | +14.8 | 22-30 | 4.4 | 0.254 | 0.316 | 3.6 | 0.245 | 0.292 | | Playoff games | 2-1 | +1.1 | 2-1 | 5.0 | 0.243 | 0.296 | 1.3 | 0.126 | 0.210 |
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| All Games | 4.1 | 0.251 | 0.312 | 165 | 5584 | 1403 | 506 | 175 | 0.03 | 650 | 489 | 1289 | 88 | 1153 | 127 | 91 | 113 | 78 | | Home Games | 4.3 | 0.255 | 0.321 | 82 | 2681 | 683 | 253 | 103 | 0.04 | 333 | 261 | 645 | 43 | 560 | 57 | 38 | 65 | 46 | | Lefty Starters | 4.6 | 0.256 | 0.314 | 51 | 1771 | 454 | 166 | 64 | 0.04 | 227 | 150 | 410 | 20 | 361 | 42 | 30 | 37 | 25 |
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| All Games | 2.61 | 1.223 | 448 | 147 | 130 | 359 | 34 | 189 | 489 | 32-23 | 56 | 17 | 76.7% | | Home Games | 2.26 | 1.059 | 247.3 | 71 | 62 | 172 | 20 | 90 | 273 | 20-9 | 24 | 7 | 77.4% |
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| BARRY ZITO recent results and season statistics |
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| All Starts | 4.15 | 1.389 | 15-8 | 32 | 184.3 | 5.8 | 91 | 85 | 186 | 20 | 70 | 114 | 21-11 | +13.7 | 17-15 | | Road Starts | 4.34 | 1.398 | 7-3 | 15 | 83 | 5.5 | 44 | 40 | 88 | 12 | 28 | 52 | 10-5 | +9 | 8-7 | | Last 3 Starts | 3.57 | 1.528 | 3-0 | 3 | 17.7 | 5.9 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 3-0 | +3.7 | 2-1 |
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| MIKE LEAKE recent results and season statistics |
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| All Starts | 4.58 | 1.352 | 8-9 | 30 | 179 | 6.0 | 97 | 91 | 201 | 26 | 41 | 116 | 16-14 | -0.9 | 13-15 | | Home Starts | 5.54 | 1.426 | 4-5 | 16 | 87.7 | 5.5 | 57 | 54 | 110 | 17 | 15 | 58 | 9-7 | +0.1 | 8-6 | | Last 3 Starts | 3.32 | 1.316 | 1-0 | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 2-1 | +0.8 | 0-3 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| CINCINNATI is 14-10 (+4.5 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons | | 13 of 23 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.6 Units) |
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| CINCINNATI is 6-4 (+2.5 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season | | 5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units) |
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| CINCINNATI is 7-4 (+2.1 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons | | 7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.9 Units) |
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| SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 (+0.3 Units) against CINCINNATI this season | | 2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units) |
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| 10/9/2012 | SAN FRANCISCO | 2 | +130 | | | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | VOGELSONG(R) | | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | | | CINCINNATI | 1 | -140 | 7.5 un | Under | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | BAILEY(R) | | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | | 10/7/2012 | CINCINNATI | 9 | +135 | | | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | ARROYO(R) | W | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | | | SAN FRANCISCO | 0 | -145 | 7 ev | Over | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | BUMGARNER(L) | L | 4.3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | | 10/6/2012 | CINCINNATI | 5 | +115 | | | 9 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | CUETO(R) | | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | SAN FRANCISCO | 2 | -125 | 6.5 un | Over | 7 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | CAIN(R) | L | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
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| ZITO is 3-4 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 6.21 and a WHIP of 1.500. | | His team's record is 5-6 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-4. (+2.9 units) |
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| 6/30/2012 | CINCINNATI | 1-2 | +115 | 7.5 | Loss,Under | L | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 3 | LATOS(R) | | 4/25/2012 | at CINCINNATI | 2-4 | +115 | 8.5 | Loss,Under | | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | ARROYO(R) | | 7/31/2011 | at CINCINNATI | 0-9 | +145 | 8 | Loss,Over | L | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | CUETO(R) |
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| LEAKE is 3-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.28 and a WHIP of 1.374. | | His team's record is 4-0 (+4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.9 units) |
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| 6/29/2012 | at SAN FRANCISCO | 5-1 | +150 | 6.5 | Win,Under | W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | CAIN(R) | | 7/30/2011 | SAN FRANCISCO | 7-2 | -115 | 8 | Win,Over | W | 6.3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | BUMGARNER(L) | | 6/11/2011 | at SAN FRANCISCO | 10-2 | +140 | 6.5 | Win,Over | W | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | LINCECUM(R) |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1039, -29.1 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SAN FRANCISCO games 50.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (217-211, -17.6 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (1063-1069, -102.0 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (199-216, -32.9 units) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (785-740, -63.6 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in SAN FRANCISCO games 48.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (102-110, -19.5 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.5% of the time since 1997. (820-743, -24.5 units) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 51.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (134-124, -3.2 units) | |
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| [1B] 04/08/2012 - Angel Villalona on restricted list ( Disciplinary ) | | [2B] 03/31/2012 - Freddy Sanchez 60-day DL (3/26), out for season ( Shoulder ) | | [P] 04/15/2012 - Brian Wilson 60-day DL (4/13), out for season ( Elbow ) | | [P] 06/29/2012 - Eric Surkamp 60-day DL (3/26) ( Elbow ) | | [LF] 08/15/2012 - Melky Cabrera suspended 50 games; out for season ( Suspension ) | | [RF] 10/10/2012 - Hunter Pence probable Wednesday vs. Cincinnati Reds ( Calf ) | |
| [P] 04/27/2012 - Ryan Madson 60-day DL (3/24), out for season ( Elbow ) | | [P] 06/15/2012 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/26) ( Shoulder ) | | [P] 08/01/2012 - Bill Bray 15-day DL (7/31) ( Back ) | | [P] 10/09/2012 - Johnny Cueto expected to miss NLCS ( Back ) | | [2B] 10/10/2012 - Brandon Phillips probable Wednesday vs. San Francisco Giants ( Calf ) |
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