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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:05 PM
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MINNESOTA (18-24) AT DETROIT (24-19) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
903: MINNESOTA
904: DETROIT
9.0
-169
18-24
24-19
19-22-1
26-16-1
4.4 / 4.8
5.3 / 4.1
(L) S DIAMOND
(R) R PORCELLO
3-4
2-2
4.99
6.25
1.44
1.39
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Light Rain   Temperature: 43.0 °
Humidity: 74   Wind: Southwest at 6.9 MPH (6 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MINNESOTADIAMOND +141 
DETROITPORCELLO-141 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MINNESOTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
when playing on Thursday2-1+1.814-21-3.8142-171-371-215-19145-149
when playing with a day off3-5-1.822-21+4.1164-135+27.34-426-17137-150
against division opponents7-10-0.272-90-2.1589-510+48.26-1079-75507-543
in games played on a grass field18-24-0.2144-210-32.5666-778-24.119-22173-162656-716
in night games8-16-695-139-20891-888+8.114-10121-99817-874
against right-handed starters15-21-0.6101-163-38943-939+13.914-21129-119843-935
when playing against a team with a winning record10-17-2.667-110-19.2544-671-37.811-1682-86551-606
in all games18-24-0.2147-220-38.61310-1349-26.619-22176-1721192-1333
when the total is 9 to 9.56-5+3.754-74-7.5531-543-34.26-560-57464-537
as a road underdog of +150 to +1755-0+824-22+16.586-138+11-424-20104-111
in road games9-11+3.174-108+0.9605-722-8.18-1187-86587-674
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.55-3+4.831-38+7.4242-289-14.53-537-29234-263
in May games7-12-2.227-47-10.3223-238+6.910-937-32209-232

DETROIT team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games24-19-5.2220-173+0.51253-1423-14826-16191-1781244-1304
when the total is 9 to 9.52-6-7.672-64-7.6535-586-635-365-60515-543
as a home favorite of -150 to -1750-1-1.829-19-1.6109-73-8.41-025-2289-86
as a home favorite of -175 to -2004-2+0.327-8+12.363-35-1.45-014-2045-51
in home games13-7-1.8120-74+8.3684-650-56.514-599-84623-644
at home when the total is 9 to 9.50-3-6.243-30-1.6312-279-11.62-135-31274-276
in May games9-9-6.238-36-12.2223-231+2.910-837-33206-226
when playing on Thursday2-5-527-25-4.6150-172-16.26-126-21158-155
when playing with a day off3-1+1.427-24-1.1135-180-43.82-226-25137-161
against division opponents6-6-5100-57+18.4518-578-88.55-772-77515-534
in games played on a grass field24-19-5.2210-168-5.41151-1265-111.326-16187-1681126-1173
in night games15-7+5.8130-110-5.7794-913-86.712-10120-103801-823
against left-handed starters3-6-865-60-14.5370-391-146-263-55353-376
when playing against a team with a losing record12-8-1.8101-69+1.3598-575-52.813-691-70557-560
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MINNESOTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/9/2013CORREIA(R)@ BOSTONLACKEY(R)5-3W1559.5 unU6419102
5/10/2013PELFREY(R)BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R)6-9L+1058.5 ovO119218110
5/11/2013WORLEY(R)BALTIMOREJOHNSON(R)8-5W-1108.5 unO10611280
5/12/2013DIAMOND(L)BALTIMORECHEN(L)0-6L-1058 unU8811160
5/13/2013HERNANDEZ(L)CHI WHITE SOXSANTIAGO(L)10-3W+1008 ovO12701071
5/14/2013CORREIA(R)CHI WHITE SOXPEAVY(R)2-4L+1058.5 ovU6301261
5/15/2013PELFREY(R)CHI WHITE SOXAXELROD(R)4-9L-1359 unO11901490
5/17/2013WORLEY(R)BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R)2-3L+1308.5 unU45110110
5/18/2013DIAMOND(L)BOSTONDEMPSTER(R)5-12L+1109 ovO121301360
5/19/2013HERNANDEZ(L)BOSTONLACKEY(R)1-5L+11510 unU56111111
5/20/2013CORREIA(R)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R)1-5L1408.5 unU670950
5/21/2013PELFREY(R)@ ATLANTAHUDSON(R)4-5L1858.5 ovO10901060
5/22/2013WORLEY(R)@ ATLANTAMAHOLM(L) 
5/23/2013DIAMOND(L)@ DETROITPORCELLO(R) 
5/24/2013DEDUNO(R)@ DETROITSANCHEZ(R) 
5/25/2013CORREIA(R)@ DETROITFISTER(R) 
5/26/2013PELFREY(R)@ DETROITSCHERZER(R) 
5/27/2013WORLEY(R)@ MILWAUKEEBURGOS(R) 
5/28/2013DIAMOND(L)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R) 
5/29/2013 MILWAUKEE  
5/30/2013 MILWAUKEE  

DETROIT - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/9/2013FISTER(R)@ WASHINGTONHAREN(R)4-5L-1207.5 ovO1291970
5/10/2013SCHERZER(R)CLEVELANDKLUBER(R)10-4W-1858.5 unO1580612
5/11/2013VERLANDER(R)CLEVELANDJIMENEZ(R)6-7L-2608 unO76112131
5/12/2013PORCELLO(R)CLEVELANDMCALLISTER(R)3-4L-1409 unU990891
5/13/2013SANCHEZ(R)HOUSTONNORRIS(R)7-2W-3058 unO920760
5/14/2013FISTER(R)HOUSTONHARRELL(R)6-2W-2958.5 unU1070530
5/15/2013SCHERZER(R)HOUSTONKEUCHEL(L)5-7L-3509 unO870821
5/16/2013VERLANDER(R)@ TEXASDARVISH(R)4-10L1057.5 unO7511030
5/17/2013PORCELLO(R)@ TEXASTEPESCH(R)2-1W11510.5 unU6101881
5/18/2013SANCHEZ(R)@ TEXASGRIMM(R)2-7L-1309.5 evU7521390
5/19/2013FISTER(R)@ TEXASHOLLAND(L)8-11L1209 unO131011890
5/21/2013SCHERZER(R)@ CLEVELANDKLUBER(R)5-1W-1359 unU1190340
5/22/2013VERLANDER(R)@ CLEVELANDJIMENEZ(R) 
5/23/2013PORCELLO(R)MINNESOTADIAMOND(L) 
5/24/2013SANCHEZ(R)MINNESOTADEDUNO(R) 
5/25/2013FISTER(R)MINNESOTACORREIA(R) 
5/26/2013SCHERZER(R)MINNESOTAPELFREY(R) 
5/27/2013VERLANDER(R)PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L) 
5/28/2013PORCELLO(R)PITTSBURGHGOMEZ(R) 
5/29/2013 @ PITTSBURGH  
5/30/2013 @ PITTSBURGH  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MINNESOTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games18-24-0.219-224.40.2460.3144.80.2910.340
Road Games9-11+3.18-114.30.2370.3104.50.2820.330
vs Right-handed Starters15-21-0.714-214.20.2400.3094.50.2890.339
Past 7 Games0-7-7.43-42.70.2210.2696.10.3150.386
Grass Games18-24-0.219-224.40.2460.3144.80.2910.340
Night Games8-16-614-105.00.2580.3215.60.3160.363
Division7-10-0.26-103.80.2330.3134.10.2770.325
MINNESOTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.40.2460.314421439354116310.021771433461830929204814
Road Games4.30.2370.3102069616553160.0282741907156146233
Righty Starters4.20.2400.30936123529798270.021441223091626424164412
MINNESOTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.171.215156.4615513314571404-69660%
Road Games2.841.14576242462925713-46460%

DETROIT - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games24-19-5.226-165.30.2800.3464.10.2420.302
Home Games13-7-1.814-56.20.3070.3754.10.2400.304
vs Left-handed Starters3-6-86-25.40.2730.3485.40.2690.335
Past 7 Games3-4-3.63-44.60.2590.3325.60.2830.332
Grass Games24-19-5.226-165.30.2800.3464.10.2420.302
Night Games15-7+5.812-105.70.2820.3513.80.2370.283
Division6-6-55-74.50.2600.3264.30.2360.322
DETROIT - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.30.2800.346431564438135480.032231582991634541173430
Home Games6.20.3070.3752068721166250.041227511761492121514
Lefty Starters5.40.2730.34893309027120.044938601747499
DETROIT - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.881.292132.357571088631463-88657.1%
Home Games4.591.51051262645432510-44357.1%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
SCOTT DIAMOND recent results and season statistics
SCOTT DIAMOND - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.991.4373-4739.75.723224869163-4+0.91-5
Road Starts1.420.7373-03196.3431103103-0+50-2
Last 3 Starts6.351.5291-23175.71212204631-2-0.41-2
SCOTT DIAMOND - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/18/2013BOSTON5-12+1109Loss,OverL4.3668131DEMPSTER(R)
5/12/2013BALTIMORE0-6-1058Loss,UnderL5.7669330CHEN(L)
5/7/2013at BOSTON6-1+1609Win,UnderW7003002DEMPSTER(R)

RICK PORCELLO recent results and season statistics
RICK PORCELLO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games5.921.3162-2838-2525426827---
All Starts6.251.3892-27365.125254268273-4-25-2
Home Starts4.671.2121-0317.35.8991704121-2-1.82-1
Last 3 Starts2.890.9111-0318.76.2661433192-1+0.81-2
RICK PORCELLO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/17/2013at TEXAS2-1+11510.5Win,UnderW5.7115116TEPESCH(R)
5/12/2013CLEVELAND3-4-1409Loss,Under 6224026MCALLISTER(R)
5/2/2013at HOUSTON7-3-1559.5Win,Over 7335207LYLES(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 27-15 (+3.2 Units) against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
22 of 41 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)
Games this season
MINNESOTA is 3-3 (+1.8 Units) against DETROIT this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.9 Units)

All games at DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 9-12 (+2.9 Units) against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
10 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.0 Units, Under=-1.6 Units)
Games played at DETROIT this season.
MINNESOTA is 1-2 (+0.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/1/2013MINNESOTA6+200  101270DIAMOND(L)W6241
 DETROIT2-2208.5 unUnder60040SANCHEZ(R)L6352
4/30/2013MINNESOTA1+230 Under60090WORLEY(R)L4.76101
 DETROIT6-2608 ovWin133060VERLANDER(R)W7152
4/29/2013MINNESOTA3+215 Under61130PELFREY(R)L5.3472
 DETROIT4-2358.5 ovWin72050SCHERZER(R)W7.3360
4/4/2013DETROIT2-145 Over801100PORCELLO(R)L5.3362
 MINNESOTA8+1358.5 unWin102162PELFREY(R)W5.3052
4/3/2013DETROIT2-155 Under70050SANCHEZ(R) 5023
 MINNESOTA3+1458.5 unWin50180CORREIA(R) 7271
4/1/2013DETROIT4-170  90180VERLANDER(R)W5042
 MINNESOTA2+1607 unUnder800121WORLEY(R)L6381
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
SCOTT DIAMOND vs. DETROIT since 1997
DIAMOND is 2-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.95 and a WHIP of 1.185.
His team's record is 3-3 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)
SCOTT DIAMOND recent starts vs. DETROIT
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/1/2013at DETROIT6-2+2008.5Win,UnderW6224013SANCHEZ(R)
9/28/2012DETROIT4-2+1208.5Win,Under 7.3216101SMYLY(L)
9/23/2012at DETROIT10-4+1878Win,OverW7224035SCHERZER(R)

RICK PORCELLO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
PORCELLO is 6-5 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.456.
His team's record is 8-8 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-10. (-4.8 units)
RICK PORCELLO recent starts vs. MINNESOTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/4/2013at MINNESOTA2-8-1458.5Loss,OverL5.3336222PELFREY(R)
7/5/2012MINNESOTA7-3-1459.5Win,Over 3.73312010DIAMOND(L)
5/27/2012at MINNESOTA4-3-1159.5Win,Under 6339032WALTERS(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1070, -169.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 53.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (163-143, +3.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (1111-1010, +8.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DETROIT games 56.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (181-138, +27.9 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (824-805, -89.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 42% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (81-112, -42.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 50.2% of the time since 1997. (826-819, -106.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DETROIT games 45.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (93-111, -31.5 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MINNESOTA
[RF] 04/17/2013 - Darin Mastroianni 60-day DL (4/16) ( Ankle )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Tim Wood 15-day DL (3/24) ( Shoulder )
[3B] 05/22/2013 - Trevor Plouffe 7-day DL ( Concussion )
[C] 05/22/2013 - Joe Mauer is not expected to be in the starting lineup Wednesday vs. Atlanta Braves ( Rest )
DETROIT
[P] 04/23/2013 - Octavio Dotel 15-day DL (4/20) ( Elbow )
[CF] 05/13/2013 - Austin Jackson 15-day DL (5/12) ( Hamstring )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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