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Matchup Reports

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CHICAGO CUBS (18-27) AT CINCINNATI (29-18) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
955: CHICAGO CUBS
956: CINCINNATI
OFF
-150
18-27
29-18
21-24-0
27-19-1
3.9 / 4.0
4.8 / 3.6
(R) S FELDMAN
(R) B ARROYO
4-3
4-4
2.19
3.28
1.16
1.11
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 47   Wind: South at 3.5 MPH (3 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CHICAGO CUBSFELDMAN +140 
CINCINNATIARROYO-140 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CHICAGO CUBS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games18-27-7.2150-220-49.61266-1394-26821-24174-1821257-1293
when the total is 8 to 8.52-6-449-80-24.8422-462-805-366-62442-418
as a road underdog of +125 to +1501-3-1.619-35-8.4108-168-20.22-227-22135-128
in road games8-13-2.663-121-37.1582-745-118.47-1492-86616-652
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.50-3-321-51-24.5224-274-39.91-237-35254-233
in May games8-11-2.329-44-13.8225-236-41.812-740-33204-236
when playing on Friday2-5-2.825-33-2.8193-228-52.53-427-25203-193
when playing with a day off1-6-4.814-29-13.3136-172-55.93-419-19151-139
against division opponents5-13-770-110-32.5611-629-109.59-989-87591-593
in games played on a grass field18-27-7.2150-220-49.61209-1310-245.821-24174-1821193-1222
in night games11-12-0.575-117-26.6576-681-134.611-1296-88585-612
against right-handed starters14-17-2108-160-35.8929-1024-185.617-14134-127921-953
when playing against a team with a winning record9-17-5.373-112-15.2561-681-92.915-1189-88598-591

CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games29-18+6.8208-169+8.51300-1352-18.227-19174-1781244-1261
when the total is 8 to 8.512-6+4.786-75-7.1389-420-17.611-780-71387-392
as a home favorite of -125 to -1503-2+0.442-36-7.8175-158-40.54-138-36161-153
as a home favorite of -150 to -1755-1+3.325-16-0.3100-87-38.41-517-2198-80
in home games16-6+7.1109-79+2671-655-79.913-992-80653-599
at home when the total is 8 to 8.59-2+6.452-43-6.2203-211-33.18-351-36221-179
in May games14-5+8.345-31+10.3240-234+2.812-741-31225-226
when playing on Friday3-4-2.629-28-4.9214-204+15.44-325-27193-201
when playing with a day off6-1+522-20-4.6138-154-125-219-22136-141
against division opponents10-8+0.4101-75+9.3619-616+9.99-977-86580-576
in games played on a grass field29-18+6.8206-168+6.71069-1138-8.527-19174-1761024-1056
in night games15-10+2.6128-109-1.2841-874-16.912-13102-120803-825
against right-handed starters21-11+6.6148-121+3.7937-977-7.118-14121-130902-901
after a win18-10+5.1107-101-15633-667-29.318-1091-99589-633
after 3 or more consecutive wins4-5-3.631-25-2.5154-163-12.46-322-29138-161
when playing against a team with a losing record20-9+7.4120-84+7.8680-603-4.816-1392-98602-604
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CHICAGO CUBS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/10/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ WASHINGTONDETWILER(L)3-7L1207.5 unO1071930
5/11/2013JACKSON(R)@ WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R)8-2W1877 unO1260662
5/12/2013FELDMAN(R)@ WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L)2-1W1607.5 unU761581
5/13/2013WOOD(L)COLORADONICASIO(R)9-1W-1208 unO1460330
5/14/2013VILLANUEVA(R)COLORADOFRANCIS(L)4-9L-11510.5 unO7701772
5/15/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)COLORADOGARLAND(R)6-3W-1357.5 ovO951750
5/17/2013JACKSON(R)NY METSHARVEY(R)2-3L+1307 ovU632851
5/18/2013FELDMAN(R)NY METSHEFNER(R)8-2W-1308.5 unO1161971
5/19/2013WOOD(L)NY METSGEE(R)3-4L-1609 evU850730
5/21/2013GARZA(R)@ PITTSBURGHRODRIGUEZ(L)4-5L1357.5 unO1181890
5/22/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)0-1L1257.5 unU481352
5/23/2013JACKSON(R)@ PITTSBURGHGOMEZ(R) 
5/24/2013FELDMAN(R)@ CINCINNATIARROYO(R) 
5/25/2013WOOD(L)@ CINCINNATIBAILEY(R) 
5/26/2013GARZA(R)@ CINCINNATICUETO(R) 
5/27/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ CHI WHITE SOXQUINTANA(L) 
5/28/2013JACKSON(R)@ CHI WHITE SOXSALE(L) 
5/29/2013FELDMAN(R)CHI WHITE SOX  
5/30/2013 CHI WHITE SOX  
5/31/2013 ARIZONA  

CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/10/2013CINGRANI(L)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)4-3W-1507.5 evU8130880
5/11/2013LATOS(R)MILWAUKEEBURGOS(R)13-7W-1908 unO14811181
5/12/2013ARROYO(R)MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R)5-1W-1558.5 unU640772
5/14/2013BAILEY(R)@ MIAMINOLASCO(R)6-2W-1657 evO1080640
5/15/2013LEAKE(R)@ MIAMISANABIA(R)4-0W-1758 unU119011120
5/16/2013LATOS(R)@ MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R)5-3W-1607 unO870641
5/17/2013CINGRANI(L)@ PHILADELPHIALEE(L)3-5L1107 unO881660
5/18/2013ARROYO(R)@ PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R)10-0W-1058 unO16120670
5/19/2013BAILEY(R)@ PHILADELPHIAPETTIBONE(R)2-3L-1508 evU981971
5/20/2013CUETO(R)@ NY METSMARCUM(R)4-3W-1457.5 evU890561
5/21/2013LEAKE(R)@ NY METSNIESE(L)4-0W-1108 ovU770361
5/22/2013LATOS(R)@ NY METSHARVEY(R)7-4W1106.5 ovO1291970
5/24/2013ARROYO(R)CHICAGO CUBSFELDMAN(R) 
5/25/2013BAILEY(R)CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L) 
5/26/2013CUETO(R)CHICAGO CUBSGARZA(R) 
5/27/2013LEAKE(R)CLEVELANDJIMENEZ(R) 
5/28/2013LATOS(R)CLEVELANDMCALLISTER(R) 
5/29/2013ARROYO(R)@ CLEVELANDMASTERSON(R) 
5/30/2013 @ CLEVELAND  
5/31/2013 @ PITTSBURGH  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CHICAGO CUBS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games18-27-7.221-243.90.2470.2934.00.2310.300
Road Games8-13-2.67-142.90.2180.2553.40.2040.279
vs Right-handed Starters14-17-217-144.50.2610.3114.10.2270.295
Past 7 Games2-5-3.84-33.90.2370.2653.90.2570.302
Grass Games18-27-7.221-243.90.2470.2934.00.2310.300
Night Games11-12-0.511-124.00.2510.2964.00.2320.296
Division5-13-79-93.00.2190.2643.80.2200.307
CHICAGO CUBS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.90.2470.293451529378153480.031691003313028638374033
Road Games2.90.2180.2552171715655180.0357361701412714161519
Righty Starters4.50.2610.311311067278116360.03133782241820428272826
CHICAGO CUBS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.351.38111860571141449976-710952.6%
Road Games3.311.25254.3202046622423-37463.6%

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games29-18+6.827-194.80.2540.3323.60.2370.292
Home Games16-6+7.113-95.50.2650.3413.30.2210.278
vs Right-handed Starters21-11+6.618-144.90.2540.3343.40.2450.302
Past 7 Games5-2+2.64-35.00.2710.3422.60.2000.264
Grass Games29-18+6.827-194.80.2540.3323.60.2370.292
Night Games15-10+2.612-134.20.2390.3142.90.2220.274
Division10-8+0.49-94.50.2420.3334.30.2630.318
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2540.332471614410135480.032121893671436440203819
Home Games5.50.2650.3412277120469280.041119018681761610208
Righty Starters4.90.2540.33432107727490340.03149128243112382782216
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.531.168132.75752106184913611-913476.5%
Home Games2.760.99171.72622481123867-45183.3%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
SCOTT FELDMAN recent results and season statistics
SCOTT FELDMAN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.191.1554-3849.36.2191239518395-3+2.83-5
Road Starts3.221.4321-2422.35.611820312152-2+0.60-4
Last 3 Starts0.460.9662-0319.76.6111405153-0+3.72-1
SCOTT FELDMAN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/18/2013NY METS8-2-1308.5Win,OverW6.7007016HEFNER(R)
5/12/2013at WASHINGTON2-1+1607.5Win,Under 6115036GONZALEZ(L)
5/6/2013TEXAS9-2+1107.5Win,OverW7002013TEPESCH(R)

BRONSON ARROYO recent results and season statistics
BRONSON ARROYO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.281.1104-4960.36.7232257610365-4+1.14-5
Home Starts2.941.0993-1533.76.711113225264-1+3.12-3
Last 3 Starts1.861.1892-1319.36.4441815182-1+12-1
BRONSON ARROYO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/18/2013at PHILADELPHIA10-0-1058Win,OverW7.7005026KENDRICK(R)
5/12/2013MILWAUKEE5-1-1558.5Win,UnderW6.7005015PERALTA(R)
5/6/2013ATLANTA4-7+1007.5Loss,OverL5448127MAHOLM(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 28-12 (+11.7 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
23 of 39 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.2 Units)
Games this season
CINCINNATI is 5-1 (+3.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

All games at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 13-5 (+5.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
12 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.6 Units)
Games played at CINCINNATI this season.
CINCINNATI is 2-1 (+0.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/5/2013CINCINNATI7-135  110271LATOS(R)W5363
 CHICAGO CUBS4+1257 ovOver80091JACKSON(R)L5481
5/4/2013CINCINNATI6-115  61080CINGRANI(L) 6431
 CHICAGO CUBS4+1057 unOver32021SAMARDZIJA(R) 6143
5/3/2013CINCINNATI6+100  900100LEAKE(R)W5.7290
 CHICAGO CUBS5-1107 unOver1501121VILLANUEVA(R)L5.7472
4/24/2013CHICAGO CUBS0+155 Under50050SAMARDZIJA(R)L6173
 CINCINNATI1-1657 evWin81070LATOS(R)W7041
4/23/2013CHICAGO CUBS4+160  92451VILLANUEVA(R) 8.3232
 CINCINNATI2-1707.5 ovUnder61072CINGRANI(L) 7250
4/22/2013CHICAGO CUBS4+150 Over1121120WOOD(L) 6.3242
 CINCINNATI5-1608.5 unWin91193LEAKE(R) 7282
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
SCOTT FELDMAN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.
SCOTT FELDMAN recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.

BRONSON ARROYO vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
ARROYO is 11-9 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.162.
His team's record is 14-12 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-15. (-5.0 units)
BRONSON ARROYO recent starts vs. CHICAGO CUBS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/17/2012CHICAGO CUBS7-3-1908.5Win,OverW6.3339133WOOD(L)
8/11/2012at CHICAGO CUBS4-2-1307.5Win,UnderW8225014WOOD(L)
5/2/2012CHICAGO CUBS1-3-1558.5Loss,UnderL6339213SAMARDZIJA(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CHICAGO CUBS in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1034, 8.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 56.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (171-133, +27.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (1082-1091, -110.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (149-166, -31.9 units)
Edge=CINCINNATI
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 50.8% of the time since 1997. (927-898, -108.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 55% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (126-103, +10.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (843-767, -29.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (116-101, +2.9 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CHICAGO CUBS
[P] 04/02/2013 - Arodys Vizcaino 60-day DL (3/27) ( Elbow )
[3B] 04/02/2013 - Ian Stewart 15-day DL (3/22) ( Quad )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Scott Baker 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[C] 04/14/2013 - Steve Clevenger 15-day DL (4/14) ( Oblique )
[P] 05/22/2013 - Shawn Camp 15-day DL (5/22) ( Toe )
CINCINNATI
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 04/30/2013 - Chris Heisey 15-day DL (4/28) ( Hamstring )
[P] 04/26/2013 - Manny Parra 15-day DL (4/24) ( Undisclosed )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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