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Matchup Reports

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PITTSBURGH (28-18) AT MILWAUKEE (18-27) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
957: PITTSBURGH
958: MILWAUKEE
OFF
-102
28-18
18-27
21-24-1
26-18-1
4.0 / 3.5
4.1 / 4.9
(R) A BURNETT
(R) M ESTRADA
3-4
3-2
2.57
5.44
1.10
1.42
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 55.0 °
Humidity: 49   Wind: West at 9.2 MPH (8 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
PITTSBURGHBURNETT +103 
MILWAUKEEESTRADA-103 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
PITTSBURGH team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games28-18+12.6179-191+9.11143-1489-121.121-24168-1851236-1264
on the road with a money line of -100 to -1252-1+0.812-9+1.752-51-5.52-114-551-44
in road games11-9+5.781-101+6.8493-822-13213-790-81617-630
in May games13-6+6.341-32+12.2220-248+19.87-1128-40217-224
when playing on Friday5-2+324-32-5177-243-35.34-325-29189-208
when playing with a day off6-0+622-16+7.5144-151+212-420-17135-143
against division opponents13-7+6.991-90+10537-691-46.410-987-86571-585
in games played on a grass field28-18+12.6177-190+7.5928-1256-115.621-24167-1831006-1065
in night games19-11+7.6115-127-2.1784-983-51.511-18104-127816-857
against right-handed starters23-12+14.2129-144+5.2849-1107-81.616-18125-134935-917
when playing against a team with a losing record15-6+9.491-92-6.8528-631-81.37-1382-93553-550

MILWAUKEE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
after a loss8-18-9.490-85-2.9642-751-57.515-1091-74639-690
when playing against a team with a winning record9-19-10.287-86+0.6534-679-38.715-1278-86557-609
in all games18-27-10.1203-178+0.21248-1402-99.226-18199-1661248-1277
as a home underdog of +100 to +1253-3+0.215-12+3.8132-151-5.74-215-11136-130
in home games11-13-4.1122-71+31690-637-17.916-8109-79643-619
in May games4-16-12.233-44-14.2218-251-259-1038-34225-225
when playing on Friday1-6-5.433-27+2.2194-223-243-432-26186-205
when playing with a day off2-3-1.223-22-1.6138-153-7.63-222-19119-157
against division opponents9-16-6.8108-83+10.7604-636-5.513-1199-83592-585
in games played on a grass field18-27-10.1203-178+0.21186-1315-91.926-18199-1661191-1190
in night games13-17-4.8138-112+11.5815-891-36.416-13130-109784-840
against right-handed starters14-12+2.1154-122+15.2919-1031-57.517-9148-116907-945
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
PITTSBURGH - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/10/2013RODRIGUEZ(L)@ NY METSMARCUM(R)7-3W-1107.5 evO12601071
5/11/2013LIRIANO(L)@ NY METSNIESE(L)11-2W1057.5 unO1670780
5/12/2013GOMEZ(R)@ NY METSHARVEY(R)3-2W1907 unU790461
5/13/2013BURNETT(R)MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R)1-5L-1507 unU443960
5/14/2013LOCKE(L)MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)4-3W+1157.5 evU101101190
5/15/2013RODRIGUEZ(L)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)3-1W-1058 ovU460651
5/16/2013LIRIANO(L)MILWAUKEEBURGOS(R)7-1W-1458 ovP1391681
5/17/2013GOMEZ(R)HOUSTONLYLES(R)5-4W-1858.5 ovO10112763
5/18/2013BURNETT(R)HOUSTONBEDARD(L)2-4L-2557.5 unU9901080
5/19/2013LOCKE(L)HOUSTONHARRELL(R)1-0W-1708.5 unU430330
5/21/2013RODRIGUEZ(L)CHICAGO CUBSGARZA(R)5-4W-1457.5 unO8901181
5/22/2013LIRIANO(L)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)1-0W-1357.5 unU352481
5/23/2013GOMEZ(R)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R) 
5/24/2013BURNETT(R)@ MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R) 
5/25/2013LOCKE(L)@ MILWAUKEEFIERS(R) 
5/26/2013RODRIGUEZ(L)@ MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R) 
5/27/2013LIRIANO(L)@ DETROITVERLANDER(R) 
5/28/2013GOMEZ(R)@ DETROITPORCELLO(R) 
5/29/2013BURNETT(R)DETROITSANCHEZ(R) 
5/30/2013 DETROIT  
5/31/2013 CINCINNATI  

MILWAUKEE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/10/2013GALLARDO(R)@ CINCINNATICINGRANI(L)3-4L1407.5 evU8808130
5/11/2013BURGOS(R)@ CINCINNATILATOS(R)7-13L1808 unO11811481
5/12/2013PERALTA(R)@ CINCINNATIARROYO(R)1-5L1458.5 unU772640
5/13/2013ESTRADA(R)@ PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R)5-1W1407 unU960443
5/14/2013LOHSE(R)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L)3-4L-1257.5 evU119010110
5/15/2013GALLARDO(R)@ PITTSBURGHRODRIGUEZ(L)1-3L-1058 ovU651460
5/16/2013BURGOS(R)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)1-7L1358 ovP6811391
5/17/2013PERALTA(R)@ ST LOUISGARCIA(L)6-7L1558.5 unO8221370
5/18/2013ESTRADA(R)@ ST LOUISLYNN(R)6-4W1508 unO139010110
5/19/2013LOHSE(R)@ ST LOUISGAST(L)2-4L1059 unU1080950
5/20/2013GALLARDO(R)LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)1-3L+1057.5 ovU340851
5/21/2013BURGOS(R)LA DODGERSGREINKE(R)5-2W+1208.5 ovU127010140
5/22/2013PERALTA(R)LA DODGERSRYU(L)2-9L-1158.5 evO9711281
5/24/2013ESTRADA(R)PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R) 
5/25/2013FIERS(R)PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L) 
5/26/2013GALLARDO(R)PITTSBURGHRODRIGUEZ(L) 
5/27/2013BURGOS(R)MINNESOTAWORLEY(R) 
5/28/2013PERALTA(R)MINNESOTADIAMOND(L) 
5/29/2013ESTRADA(R)@ MINNESOTADEDUNO(R) 
5/30/2013 @ MINNESOTA  
5/31/2013 @ PHILADELPHIA  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
PITTSBURGH - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games28-18+12.621-244.00.2420.3013.50.2250.300
Road Games11-9+5.713-74.30.2420.3014.30.2560.332
vs Right-handed Starters23-12+14.216-184.20.2480.3073.50.2230.297
Past 7 Games6-1+3.42-43.40.2250.2872.00.2050.269
Grass Games28-18+12.621-244.00.2420.3013.50.2250.300
Night Games19-11+7.611-183.80.2380.2963.40.2320.301
Division13-7+6.910-94.50.2540.3164.00.2280.296
PITTSBURGH - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.00.2420.301461519368129470.031751273462531033294240
Road Games4.30.2420.3012067816452260.048457168913414122119
Righty Starters4.20.2480.307351148285101370.03140982611923324243331
PITTSBURGH - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.781.1421625050124146115710-620580%
Road Games3.621.24574.7303066927665-39281.8%

MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games18-27-10.126-184.10.2610.3134.90.2720.326
Home Games11-13-4.116-84.60.2790.3305.30.2880.337
vs Right-handed Starters14-12+2.117-94.80.2640.3204.60.2670.310
Past 7 Games2-5-2.43-33.30.2610.3115.10.2960.350
Grass Games18-27-10.126-184.10.2610.3134.90.2720.326
Night Games13-17-4.816-134.30.2630.3194.50.2730.330
Division9-16-6.713-114.10.2570.3135.20.2680.324
MILWAUKEE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.10.2610.313451539401127470.031781173473830146313523
Home Games4.60.2790.3302481022673310.04109611641915726152510
Righty Starters4.80.2640.3202688223376280.0311973194301752217229
MILWAUKEE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.271.191148.7625412918481447-810855.6%
Home Games3.561.209914036831427925-55455.6%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
A.J. BURNETT recent results and season statistics
A.J. BURNETT - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.571.0953-410636.3191846323794-6-4.42-8
Road Starts2.761.4701-1316.35.45514010221-2-1.21-2
Last 3 Starts2.571.0480-23217.0761418220-3-5.10-3
A.J. BURNETT - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/18/2013HOUSTON2-4-2557.5Loss,Under 7115047BEDARD(L)
5/13/2013MILWAUKEE1-5-1507Loss,UnderL7437006ESTRADA(R)
5/8/2013SEATTLE1-2-1056.5Loss,UnderL7222149HERNANDEZ(R)

MARCO ESTRADA recent results and season statistics
MARCO ESTRADA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts5.441.4223-2951.35.73231561117466-3+3.56-3
Home Starts9.311.9141-1419.34.820202988232-2-0.84-0
Last 3 Starts7.311.6251-13165.3131316110122-1+1.72-1
MARCO ESTRADA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/18/2013at ST LOUIS6-4+1508Win,Over 5.7447042LYNN(R)
5/13/2013at PITTSBURGH5-1+1407Win,UnderW7113015BURNETT(R)
5/5/2013ST LOUIS1-10-1208.5Loss,OverL3.3886155GARCIA(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 26-11 (+11.5 Units) against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
20 of 36 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.1 Units)
Games this season
PITTSBURGH is 4-3 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

All games at MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 16-5 (+8.7 Units) against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
15 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+8.8 Units)
Games played at MILWAUKEE this season.
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 (+0.6 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.2 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/16/2013MILWAUKEE1+135  60181BURGOS(R)L5381
 PITTSBURGH7-1458 ovWin131291LIRIANO(L)W5.7163
5/15/2013MILWAUKEE1-105 Under61051GALLARDO(R)L6234
 PITTSBURGH3-1058 ovWin40260RODRIGUEZ(L)W7161
5/14/2013MILWAUKEE3-125 Under111090LOHSE(R) 5.7255
 PITTSBURGH4+1157.5 evWin1010110LOCKE(L) 6371
5/13/2013MILWAUKEE5+140  90660ESTRADA(R)W7131
 PITTSBURGH1-1507 unUnder40043BURNETT(R)L7370
5/1/2013PITTSBURGH6+130  93141GOMEZ(R) 4242
 MILWAUKEE4-1409 unOver72471BURGOS(R) 7241
4/30/2013PITTSBURGH8+135 Over144061MCDONALD(R) 5785
 MILWAUKEE12-1458 ovWin153290ESTRADA(R) 5571
4/29/2013PITTSBURGH4+120 Over51041RODRIGUEZ(L)L3.7764
 MILWAUKEE10-1308 unWin135062GALLARDO(R)W7132
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
A.J. BURNETT vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BURNETT is 2-5 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.87 and a WHIP of 1.330.
His team's record is 4-6 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-5. (-0.7 units)
A.J. BURNETT recent starts vs. MILWAUKEE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/13/2013MILWAUKEE1-5-1507Loss,UnderL7437006ESTRADA(R)
9/18/2012MILWAUKEE0-6+1157Loss,UnderL6227024GALLARDO(R)
9/1/2012at MILWAUKEE2-3+1208Loss,Under 6.7222049ESTRADA(R)

MARCO ESTRADA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
ESTRADA is 4-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.47 and a WHIP of 0.824.
His team's record is 6-1 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)
MARCO ESTRADA recent starts vs. PITTSBURGH
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/13/2013at PITTSBURGH5-1+1407Win,UnderW7113015BURNETT(R)
4/30/2013PITTSBURGH12-8-1458Win,Over 5557316MCDONALD(R)
9/19/2012at PITTSBURGH3-1-1207.5Win,UnderW7003014MCPHERSON(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1029, 5.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 51.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (160-150, -8.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 53.4% of the time since 1997. (1131-986, +53.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 54.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (173-142, +13.1 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (797-788, -103.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 49.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (89-91, -11.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.2% of the time since 1997. (791-784, -98.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 48.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (101-106, -19.0 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
PITTSBURGH
[P] 04/02/2013 - Charlie Morton 15-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[2B] 03/31/2013 - Chase d'Arnaud 60-day DL (3/20) ( Thumb )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Jeff Karstens 15-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/08/2013 - James McDonald 15-day DL (5/1) ( Back )
[SS] 05/15/2013 - John McDonald 15-day DL (5/15) ( Back )
MILWAUKEE
[P] 04/09/2013 - Chris Narveson 15-day DL (4/7) ( Finger )
[1B] 03/31/2013 - Corey Hart 60-day DL (3/22) ( Knee )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Mark Rogers 15-day DL (3/25) ( Shoulder )
[1B] 03/31/2013 - Mat Gamel 60-day DL (3/20) ( Knee )
[3B] 03/31/2013 - Taylor Green 60-day DL (3/22) ( Hip )
[P] 05/11/2013 - Tom Gorzelanny 15-day DL (5/8) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/22/2013 - Kyle Lohse expected to miss next scheduled start Saturday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates ( Elbow )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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