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CINCINNATI (34-21) AT PITTSBURGH (34-21) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
961: CINCINNATI
962: PITTSBURGH
7.5
-126
34-21
34-21
30-24-1
24-30-1
4.8 / 3.5
3.8 / 3.4
(R) M LEAKE
(L) F LIRIANO
4-2
3-1
3.02
2.35
1.31
1.30
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Partly Cloudy   Temperature: 57.0 °
Humidity: 30   Wind: Southwest at 11.5 MPH (10 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATILEAKE-115 
PITTSBURGHLIRIANO +115 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games34-21+7.8213-172+9.61305-1355-17.230-24177-1831247-1266
as a road underdog of +100 to +1254-6-1.626-26+2.6190-185+30.46-423-28166-191
in road games14-14-1.5100-92+5.4629-699+59.514-1382-101591-665
in June games0-0029-24+2.1197-226-16.90-020-32196-212
when playing on Saturday5-3+1.236-26+6219-215+8.45-331-27211-198
against division opponents13-9+1.6104-76+10.5622-617+11.111-1179-88582-578
in games played on a grass field34-21+7.8211-171+7.81074-1141-7.530-24177-1811027-1061
in night games18-12+3.4131-111-0.4844-876-1614-16104-123805-828
against left-handed starters10-8+162-49+5.7365-376-10.39-853-51342-363
after shutting out their opponent2-3-1.710-13-6.458-67-9.94-19-1148-72
after a win21-12+5.2110-103-14.8636-669-29.121-1294-101592-635
when playing against a team with a winning record8-8-0.677-79-3.3550-679-11.68-771-74561-600

PITTSBURGH team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games34-21+16.7185-194+13.21149-1492-11724-30171-1911239-1270
at home with a money line of -100 to -1252-2-0.325-24-2.3174-149+5.91-319-28153-153
as a home favorite of -125 to -1507-3+2.826-19+0.3117-95-11.91-816-26109-92
in home games20-10+9.1101-91+4.6653-668+13.19-2079-107620-637
in June games0-0033-21+17.9186-242-25.60-030-23214-193
when playing on Saturday5-3+1.235-26+12.4198-226+33-523-35208-196
against division opponents16-9+8.494-92+11.4540-693-4511-1388-90572-589
in games played on a grass field34-21+16.7183-193+11.6934-1259-111.524-30170-1891009-1071
in night games22-13+9.2118-129-0.5787-985-49.912-22105-131817-861
against right-handed starters29-15+18.3135-147+9.3855-1110-77.519-24128-140938-923
after getting shut out0-2-210-20-8.872-108-19.81-111-1881-90
after a loss14-6+9.999-93+21.7635-846-68.27-1385-101695-710
when playing against a team with a winning record14-10+7.278-91+11.8545-779-49.215-982-79618-640
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/18/2013ARROYO(R)@ PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R)10-0W-1058 unO16120670
5/19/2013BAILEY(R)@ PHILADELPHIAPETTIBONE(R)2-3L-1508 evU981971
5/20/2013CUETO(R)@ NY METSMARCUM(R)4-3W-1457.5 evU890561
5/21/2013LEAKE(R)@ NY METSNIESE(L)4-0W-1108 ovU770361
5/22/2013LATOS(R)@ NY METSHARVEY(R)7-4W1106.5 ovO1291970
5/24/2013ARROYO(R)CHICAGO CUBSFELDMAN(R)7-4W-1508 ovO10401091
5/25/2013BAILEY(R)CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)5-2W-1707.5 unU760670
5/26/2013CUETO(R)CHICAGO CUBSGARZA(R)4-5L-1807.5 unO51111091
5/27/2013LEAKE(R)CLEVELANDJIMENEZ(R)4-2W-1559 evU651531
5/28/2013LATOS(R)CLEVELANDMCALLISTER(R)8-2W-1458.5 ovO181207101
5/29/2013ARROYO(R)@ CLEVELANDMASTERSON(R)2-5L1308.5 unU681951
5/30/2013BAILEY(R)@ CLEVELANDKAZMIR(L)1-7L-1159 unU8601170
5/31/2013CUETO(R)@ PITTSBURGHRODRIGUEZ(L)6-0W-1107 ovU8120120
6/1/2013LEAKE(R)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L) 
6/2/2013LATOS(R)@ PITTSBURGHGOMEZ(R) 
6/3/2013ARROYO(R)COLORADOCHATWOOD(R) 
6/4/2013BAILEY(R)COLORADONICASIO(R) 
6/5/2013CUETO(R)COLORADOGARLAND(R) 
6/7/2013 ST LOUIS  
6/8/2013 ST LOUIS  

PITTSBURGH - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/18/2013BURNETT(R)HOUSTONBEDARD(L)2-4L-2557.5 unU9901080
5/19/2013LOCKE(L)HOUSTONHARRELL(R)1-0W-1708.5 unU430330
5/21/2013RODRIGUEZ(L)CHICAGO CUBSGARZA(R)5-4W-1457.5 unO8901181
5/22/2013LIRIANO(L)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)1-0W-1357.5 unU352481
5/23/2013GOMEZ(R)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)4-2W-1307.5 ovU981751
5/24/2013BURNETT(R)@ MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R)1-2L1007.5 ovU550440
5/25/2013LOCKE(L)@ MILWAUKEEFIERS(R)5-2W1159 unU960552
5/26/2013RODRIGUEZ(L)@ MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)5-4W1308 unO10911061
5/27/2013LIRIANO(L)@ DETROITVERLANDER(R)5-6L1807.5 unO107010111
5/28/2013GOMEZ(R)@ DETROITPORCELLO(R)1-0W1459.5 unU661571
5/29/2013BURNETT(R)DETROITSANCHEZ(R)5-3W+1057 ovO832790
5/30/2013LOCKE(L)DETROITFISTER(R)1-0W+1158 ovU91009110
5/31/2013RODRIGUEZ(L)CINCINNATICUETO(R)0-6L+1007 ovU1208120
6/1/2013LIRIANO(L)CINCINNATILEAKE(R) 
6/2/2013GOMEZ(R)CINCINNATILATOS(R) 
6/3/2013BURNETT(R)@ ATLANTAMEDLEN(R) 
6/4/2013LOCKE(L)@ ATLANTAMINOR(L) 
6/5/2013RODRIGUEZ(L)@ ATLANTATEHERAN(R) 
6/7/2013 @ CHICAGO CUBS  
6/8/2013 @ CHICAGO CUBS  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games34-21+7.830-244.80.2550.3333.50.2350.290
Road Games14-14-1.514-134.10.2420.3233.80.2490.302
vs Left-handed Starters10-8+19-84.40.2510.3303.80.2160.268
Past 7 Games4-3+0.12-54.30.2520.3383.30.2140.274
Grass Games34-21+7.830-244.80.2550.3333.50.2350.290
Night Games18-12+3.514-164.30.2480.3203.00.2240.276
Division13-9+1.611-114.70.2390.3324.00.2520.309
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.80.2550.333551878478157580.032472204331642846234122
Road Games4.10.2420.3232894222874240.03109112206721428111912
Lefty Starters4.40.2510.3301863315952160.03747414441501512174
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.341.171153.76357124195616112-1016576.2%
Road Games3.931.34068.7313063729584-58372.7%

PITTSBURGH - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games34-21+16.724-303.80.2390.2963.40.2230.297
Home Games20-10+9.19-203.50.2380.2942.90.2040.279
vs Right-handed Starters29-15+18.319-244.00.2430.3003.40.2210.294
Past 7 Games5-2+4.13-43.10.2250.2743.00.2200.298
Grass Games34-21+16.724-303.80.2390.2963.40.2230.297
Night Games22-13+9.312-223.50.2290.2843.20.2260.297
Division16-9+8.411-134.20.2460.3083.90.2250.291
PITTSBURGH - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.80.2390.296551820435152530.032011474443736639344741
Home Games3.50.2380.2943096923182220.02101772202119921202322
Righty Starters4.00.2430.300441449352124430.031661183593128930293832
PITTSBURGH - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.801.1401936060145167517914-624582.8%
Home Games2.181.074103.32525695421018-313381.3%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MIKE LEAKE recent results and season statistics
MIKE LEAKE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.021.3084-21062.76.3232167615456-4+1.47-3
Road Starts3.181.5883-1528.35.711103708163-2+13-2
Last 3 Starts0.430.9522-03217.0211713173-0+30-3
MIKE LEAKE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/27/2013CLEVELAND4-2-1559Win,Under 7.3215107JIMENEZ(R)
5/21/2013at NY METS4-0-1108Win,UnderW7003024NIESE(L)
5/15/2013at MIAMI4-0-1758Win,UnderW6.7009016SANABIA(R)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO recent results and season statistics
FRANCISCO LIRIANO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.351.3043-14235.7662208283-1+22-1
Home Starts0.710.9472-0212.76.311804162-0+20-1
Last 3 Starts2.551.2452-1317.75.9551606192-1+11-1
FRANCISCO LIRIANO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/27/2013at DETROIT5-6+1807.5Loss,OverL5448023VERLANDER(R)
5/22/2013CHICAGO CUBS1-0-1357.5Win,UnderW7002019SAMARDZIJA(R)
5/16/2013MILWAUKEE7-1-1458WinW5.7116037BURGOS(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 20-17 (+7.9 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
21 of 32 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+8.2 Units)
Games this season
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 (+2.8 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

All games at PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 12-10 (+3.2 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
15 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+9.3 Units)
Games played at PITTSBURGH this season.
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 (+2.8 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/31/2013CINCINNATI6-110  821120CUETO(R)W8011
 PITTSBURGH0+1007 ovUnder10020RODRIGUEZ(L)L7253
4/14/2013CINCINNATI7-155 Over111380LATOS(R) 6.7391
 PITTSBURGH10+1457.5 unWin153181IRWIN(R) 4.7464
4/13/2013CINCINNATI1-140 Under710120CUETO(R) 4.3121
 PITTSBURGH3+1307 ovWin70050LOCKE(L)W5144
4/12/2013CINCINNATI5+100 Over82080LEAKE(R) 65102
 PITTSBURGH6-1107.5 unWin121180BURNETT(R) 6363
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MIKE LEAKE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LEAKE is 2-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.310.
His team's record is 4-8 (-6.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-5. (+0.2 units)
MIKE LEAKE recent starts vs. PITTSBURGH
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/12/2013at PITTSBURGH5-6+1007.5Loss,Over 65510022BURNETT(R)
9/29/2012at PITTSBURGH1-2-1258.5Loss,Under 6004033MCPHERSON(R)
9/11/2012PITTSBURGH5-3-1508.5Win,UnderW7339213CORREIA(R)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.
FRANCISCO LIRIANO recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
No recent games found.
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring PITTSBURGH in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1094, -109.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 47.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (153-169, -31.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (1129-1033, +4.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PITTSBURGH games 51.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (164-154, -9.1 units)
Edge=CINCINNATI
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (846-771, -31.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (119-105, +1.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (799-795, -109.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PITTSBURGH games 48.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (91-98, -18.1 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[LF] 04/03/2013 - Ryan Ludwick 60-day DL (4/2) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 04/30/2013 - Chris Heisey 15-day DL (4/28) ( Hamstring )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/24/2013 - Sean Marshall 15-day DL (5/21) ( Shoulder )
PITTSBURGH
[P] 04/02/2013 - Charlie Morton 15-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[2B] 03/31/2013 - Chase d'Arnaud 60-day DL (3/20) ( Thumb )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Jeff Karstens 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/08/2013 - James McDonald 15-day DL (5/1) ( Back )
[SS] 05/15/2013 - John McDonald 15-day DL (5/15) ( Back )
[RF] 05/27/2013 - Jose Tabata 15-day DL (5/25) ( Oblique )
[P] 05/29/2013 - Jose Contreras 15-day DL (5/28) ( Back )
[3B] 06/01/2013 - Pedro Alvarez is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Cincinnati Reds ( Teeth )
[LF] 06/01/2013 - Starling Marte is not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Cincinnati Reds ( Rest )
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