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Matchup Reports

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MINNESOTA (33-37) AT CLEVELAND (37-35) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
963: MINNESOTA
964: CLEVELAND
OFF
-145
33-37
37-35
32-37-1
34-34-4
4.2 / 4.5
4.6 / 4.4
(R) M PELFREY
(R) C CARRASCO
3-6
0-2
6.11
8.40
1.63
1.80
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 49.0 °
Humidity: 55   Wind: North at 8.1 MPH (7 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
MINNESOTAPELFREY +108 
CLEVELANDCARRASCO-108 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MINNESOTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
when playing against a team with a winning record12-24-669-117-22.7546-678-41.314-2285-92554-612
in all games33-37+5.4162-233-331325-1362-2132-37189-1871205-1348
when the total is 9 to 9.510-11+3.358-80-7.9535-549-34.610-1164-63468-543
as a road underdog of +100 to +1251-3-214-27-10.7143-177-16.43-118-23142-160
as a road underdog of +125 to +1505-9-2.434-43+3.3141-192+0.77-640-33154-165
in road games14-20+1.679-117-0.6610-731-9.614-1993-94593-682
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.57-7+4.233-42+6.7244-293-15.16-840-32237-266
in June games10-8+441-30+18236-211+27.48-1032-38201-232
when playing on Sunday5-6+0.528-35+0209-219-4.72-827-34163-244
when playing with a day off7-5+3.326-21+9.3168-135+32.55-727-20138-153
against division opponents13-18078-98-1.9595-518+48.312-1885-83513-551
in day games16-12+9.758-85-14.6421-457-28.910-1760-78374-458
in games played on a grass field33-37+5.4159-223-26.9681-791-18.532-37186-177669-731
against right-handed starters26-31+2.8112-173-34.5954-949+17.424-32139-130853-946

CLEVELAND team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
when playing against a team with a losing record15-9+5.882-76+1.7671-546-43.610-1282-67570-594
in all games37-35+6.8188-211-9.41369-1346-95.634-34198-1811272-1318
when the total is 9 to 9.513-12+2.967-75-0.8516-517-17.59-1262-68471-505
as a home favorite of -125 to -1508-2+5.237-22+6.7170-146-31.33-733-25161-145
in home games23-14+8.1106-95+3.7724-632-75.418-1898-97623-682
at home when the total is 9 to 9.56-3+2.430-22+5.2277-229-1.33-521-28221-265
in June games8-10-1.130-42-11.2212-239-60.47-1127-40208-229
when playing on Sunday6-6+0.824-38-14.9205-222-48.35-630-29174-235
when playing with a day off4-3+121-19+2.2157-147-9.13-321-17152-140
against division opponents12-12+1.981-89-7.8571-534-47.211-1296-65543-519
in day games13-13+0.855-76-18.9417-446-67.414-1170-56395-428
in games played on a grass field34-32+4.8179-201-11.91230-1215-107.632-30190-1701153-1183
against right-handed starters25-22+5.6134-137+4.7991-932-40.719-25130-130906-932
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MINNESOTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/9/2013DIAMOND(L)@ WASHINGTONZIMMERMANN(R)0-7L1807.5 unU3811482
6/9/2013DEDUNO(R)@ WASHINGTONKARNS(R)4-5L1158.5 evO8911091
6/11/2013WALTERS(R)PHILADELPHIAHAMELS(L)3-2W+1058 unU961760
6/12/2013PELFREY(R)PHILADELPHIACLOYD(R)4-3W-1308.5 ovU1290750
6/13/2013CORREIA(R)PHILADELPHIALEE(L)2-3L+1307.5 unU31216160
6/14/2013DIAMOND(L)DETROITPORCELLO(R)0-4L+1259 unU350542
6/15/2013DEDUNO(R)DETROITSANCHEZ(R)6-3W+1508.5 evO1481860
6/16/2013WALTERS(R)DETROITFISTER(R)2-5L+1359 unU3301170
6/18/2013PELFREY(R)CHI WHITE SOXAXELROD(R)7-5W-1408.5 ovO13911151
6/19/2013CORREIA(R)CHI WHITE SOXSALE(L)7-4W+1307 ovO10110952
6/20/2013DIAMOND(L)CHI WHITE SOXDANKS(L)8-4W-1208 ovO15811082
6/21/2013DEDUNO(R)@ CLEVELANDKAZMIR(L)1-5L1159 ovU540861
6/22/2013WALTERS(R)@ CLEVELANDKLUBER(R) 
6/23/2013PELFREY(R)@ CLEVELANDCARRASCO(R) 
6/25/2013CORREIA(R)@ MIAMIFERNANDEZ(R) 
6/26/2013DIAMOND(L)@ MIAMIKOEHLER(R) 
6/27/2013DEDUNO(R)KANSAS CITYGUTHRIE(R) 
6/28/2013WALTERS(R)KANSAS CITYDAVIS(R) 
6/29/2013 KANSAS CITY  
6/30/2013 KANSAS CITY  

CLEVELAND - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/9/2013MASTERSON(R)@ DETROITALVAREZ(L)1-4L1109 ovU661660
6/10/2013KAZMIR(L)@ TEXASLINDBLOM(R)3-6L13010.5 unU5511071
6/11/2013KLUBER(R)@ TEXASHOLLAND(L)5-2W1559.5 evU1170762
6/12/2013JIMENEZ(R)@ TEXASTEPESCH(R)5-2W13510 evU1080890
6/14/2013MASTERSON(R)WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L)2-1W-1357.5 unU7110250
6/15/2013KAZMIR(L)WASHINGTONZIMMERMANN(R)6-7L+1007.5 unO943850
6/16/2013KLUBER(R)WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R)2-0W+1057.5 unU452771
6/17/2013CARRASCO(R)KANSAS CITYSHIELDS(R)1-2L+1208 unU6110781
6/18/2013JIMENEZ(R)KANSAS CITYSANTANA(R)4-3W-1057.5 unU651780
6/19/2013MASTERSON(R)KANSAS CITYMENDOZA(R)6-3W-1508 unO7601291
6/21/2013KAZMIR(L)MINNESOTADEDUNO(R)5-1W-1259 ovU861540
6/22/2013KLUBER(R)MINNESOTAWALTERS(R) 
6/23/2013CARRASCO(R)MINNESOTAPELFREY(R) 
6/24/2013JIMENEZ(R)@ BALTIMOREBRITTON(L) 
6/25/2013MASTERSON(R)@ BALTIMORETILLMAN(R) 
6/26/2013KAZMIR(L)@ BALTIMOREHAMMEL(R) 
6/27/2013KLUBER(R)@ BALTIMOREGONZALEZ(R) 
6/28/2013 @ CHI WHITE SOX  
6/28/2013 @ CHI WHITE SOX  
6/29/2013 @ CHI WHITE SOX  
6/30/2013 @ CHI WHITE SOX  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MINNESOTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games33-37+5.432-374.20.2460.3144.50.2830.331
Road Games14-20+1.614-193.70.2240.2994.60.2820.333
vs Right-handed Starters26-31+2.824-324.10.2410.3104.30.2810.331
Past 7 Games4-3+1.84-34.40.2740.3354.30.2610.304
Grass Games33-37+5.432-374.20.2460.3144.50.2830.331
Day Games16-12+9.710-173.90.2350.3093.90.2620.313
Division13-18012-183.60.2360.3104.20.2740.323
MINNESOTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.20.2460.314702390587199640.032802375532352351318121
Road Games3.70.2240.29934118626688310.03121127308102742310425
Righty Starters4.10.2410.310571945468158500.032201964612042639237417
MINNESOTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.861.141242.78477197158021310-10211263.6%
Road Games2.791.109122.738389510411065-711761.1%

CLEVELAND - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games37-35+6.834-344.60.2530.3194.40.2470.320
Home Games23-14+8.118-184.50.2500.3174.10.2410.305
vs Right-handed Starters25-22+5.619-254.80.2530.3254.20.2530.324
Past 7 Games5-2+32-53.70.2210.3172.40.2100.273
Grass Games34-32+4.832-304.60.2530.3204.50.2520.322
Day Games13-13+0.914-114.60.2530.3144.30.2420.320
Division12-12+1.911-124.20.2430.3064.20.2470.316
CLEVELAND - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.60.2530.319722430614228830.033222386115448750436740
Home Games4.50.2500.317371209302116480.041611193102524318213219
Righty Starters4.80.2530.325471582400146570.042161684093531534284826
CLEVELAND - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.041.327216.310897195299222110-6101050%
Home Games4.081.269119615411122401246-34640%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MIKE PELFREY recent results and season statistics
MIKE PELFREY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts6.111.6283-61470.75.0504894721385-9-3.89-5
Road Starts6.921.5731-3627.34.621213538171-5-3.63-3
Last 3 Starts4.661.2420-0319.36.410102212122-1+12-1
MIKE PELFREY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/18/2013CHI WHITE SOX7-5-1408.5Win,Over 64410103AXELROD(R)
6/12/2013PHILADELPHIA4-3-1308.5Win,Under 7335017CLOYD(R)
6/6/2013at KANSAS CITY3-7+1409Loss,Over 6.3337012DAVIS(R)

CARLOS CARRASCO recent results and season statistics
CARLOS CARRASCO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts8.401.8000-23155.01414212670-3-32-1
Home Starts6.551.2730-12115.588112360-2-21-1
Last 3 Starts8.401.8000-23155.01414212670-3-32-1
CARLOS CARRASCO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/17/2013KANSAS CITY1-2+1208Loss,Under 7.3114014SHIELDS(R)
6/8/2013at DETROIT4-6+1709.5Loss,OverL46610031PORCELLO(R)
4/9/2013NY YANKEES1-14+1108Loss,OverL3.7777222PETTITTE(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 20-20 (+2.4 Units) against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
22 of 37 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.2 Units)
Games this season
CLEVELAND is 3-1 (+1.5 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

All games at CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 10-12 (+1.0 Units) against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
13 of 22 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.4 Units)
Games played at CLEVELAND this season.
CLEVELAND is 3-1 (+1.5 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
6/21/2013MINNESOTA1+115 Under51040DEDUNO(R)L6462
 CLEVELAND5-1259 ovWin80061KAZMIR(L)W7150
5/5/2013MINNESOTA4+140  61060PELFREY(R)W6141
 CLEVELAND2-1509 unUnder61160KLUBER(R)L5.7354
5/4/2013MINNESOTA3+105 Over71090CORREIA(R)L5462
 CLEVELAND7-1159 unWin122161KAZMIR(L)W6251
5/3/2013MINNESOTA6+135 Over112190HERNANDEZ(L) 5.3584
 CLEVELAND7-1458.5 unWin1310100MASTERSON(R) 6.7582
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MIKE PELFREY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
PELFREY is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)
MIKE PELFREY recent starts vs. CLEVELAND
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/5/2013at CLEVELAND4-2+1409Win,UnderW6114017KLUBER(R)

CARLOS CARRASCO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
CARRASCO is 1-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 1.82 and a WHIP of 1.176.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.3 units)
CARLOS CARRASCO recent starts vs. MINNESOTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/7/2011MINNESOTA1-0-1259Win,UnderW8.3003016LIRIANO(L)
4/24/2011at MINNESOTA3-4+1208.5Loss,Under 3226021PAVANO(R)
9/22/2010at MINNESOTA1-5-1058Loss,UnderL6336034BLACKBURN(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CLEVELAND in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1082, -169.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 53.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (176-155, +3.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CLEVELAND games 52.5% of the time since 1997. (1133-1026, -2.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CLEVELAND games 52.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (173-154, +1.3 units)
Edge=MINNESOTA
 
The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 50.7% of the time since 1997. (840-816, -86.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 44.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (97-123, -39.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CLEVELAND games 49.7% of the time since 1997. (825-834, -128.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CLEVELAND games 55.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (126-102, +10.9 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MINNESOTA
[RF] 04/17/2013 - Darin Mastroianni 60-day DL (4/16) ( Ankle )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Tim Wood 60-day DL (3/24) ( Shoulder )
[RF] 05/27/2013 - Wilkin Ramirez 7-day DL (5/27) ( Concussion )
[CF] 06/10/2013 - Aaron Hicks 15-day DL (6/10) ( Hamstring )
[LF] 06/22/2013 - Josh Willingham is not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Cleveland Indians ( Rest )
CLEVELAND
[P] 04/02/2013 - Blake Wood 60-day DL (3/11) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/21/2013 - Brett Myers 60-day DL (4/20) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Frank Herrmann 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Josh Tomlin 60-day DL (2/15) ( Elbow )
[C] 04/28/2013 - Lou Marson 15-day DL (4/25) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/27/2013 - Chris Perez 15-day DL (5/26) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 06/04/2013 - Asdrubal Cabrera 15-day DL (6/3) ( Quad )
[P] 06/04/2013 - Zach McAllister 15-day DL (5/3) ( Finger )
[1B] 06/22/2013 - Nick Swisher is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Minnesota Twins ( Shoulder )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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