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Matchup Reports

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CINCINNATI (84-66) AT HOUSTON (51-98) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
979: CINCINNATI
980: HOUSTON
8.5
+156
84-66
51-98
71-72-7
75-68-6
4.3 / 3.7
4.0 / 5.2
(R) M LEAKE
(R) J LYLES
13-6
7-7
3.35
4.88
1.24
1.42
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Overcast   Temperature: 57.0 °
Humidity: 96   Wind: from the North at 16.1 gusting to 20.7 MPH (14 gusting to 18
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATILEAKE-160 
HOUSTONLYLES +160 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games84-66-2.1263-217-0.31355-1400-27.171-72218-2311288-1314
when the total is 8 to 8.541-32-3.7115-101-15.4418-446-25.934-36103-100410-421
as a road favorite of -150 to -1755-4-1.211-6+1.719-19-114-55-1115-20
in road games36-39-8.4122-117-1.5651-724+52.636-36104-124613-688
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.59-13-6.640-41-5.6192-218+10.79-1335-44172-222
in September games8-6-1.235-31-5.8224-214+14.16-722-36183-215
when playing on Tuesday10-12-7.239-32-0.8197-213-13.49-1230-38176-214
when playing with a day off9-8-0.825-27-10.4141-161-17.711-625-26142-145
in an inter-league game8-9-321-29-11.8112-140-26.27-1019-30115-131
in games played on a grass field84-66-2.1261-216-2.11124-1186-17.471-72218-2291068-1109
in night games50-42-4.7163-141-8.6876-906-24.242-46132-153833-858
against right-handed starters60-42+2187-152-1976-1008-11.854-44157-160938-931
when playing against a team with a losing record47-30+1.8147-105+2.2707-624-10.438-39114-124624-630
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season20-18-7.884-59+2.2403-326+22.117-2159-72334-344

HOUSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games51-98-13.5163-311-77.71369-1412-116.175-68242-2141315-1361
when the total is 8 to 8.521-51-18.872-147-50.8496-496-39.741-29118-95496-470
as a home underdog of +150 to +1756-12-2.314-29-6.225-40+0.27-1020-2033-29
in home games24-51-19.291-146-35.3750-639-32.138-33123-105634-694
at home when the total is 8 to 8.513-28-11.351-84-25285-242-13.723-1669-61249-262
in September games7-7+3.130-37+8.6235-199+22.58-530-33204-207
when playing on Tuesday7-16-5.725-47-14213-206+1.912-1037-31209-192
when playing with a day off7-9+2.318-29-0.8134-152-249-725-19130-143
in an inter-league game8-9+418-29-2.8121-145-25.68-922-22122-135
in games played on a grass field49-93-13.3159-305-79.41146-1255-137.473-63239-2071135-1175
in night games40-65+2.2124-209-30.4960-962-44.158-43178-147944-912
against right-handed starters38-69-4.8113-228-63.31020-1059-9254-48173-153999-1008
when playing against a team with a winning record17-55-20.169-167-55.3569-724-85.339-30121-105620-627
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season9-26-6.833-87-27297-352-5.617-1654-60310-313
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/3/2013BAILEY(R)ST LOUISWACHA(R)1-0W-1408 unU560240
9/4/2013ARROYO(R)ST LOUISMILLER(R)4-5L-1158 unO10911270
9/5/2013CINGRANI(L)ST LOUISLYNN(R)6-2W-1508 unP10110540
9/6/2013LEAKE(R)LA DODGERSCAPUANO(L)3-2W-1209 unU760520
9/7/2013LATOS(R)LA DODGERSGREINKE(R)4-3W-1207.5 ovU111111090
9/8/2013BAILEY(R)LA DODGERSKERSHAW(L)3-2W+1156.5 ovU671640
9/9/2013ARROYO(R)CHICAGO CUBSWOOD(L)0-2L-1757.5 ovU790760
9/10/2013CINGRANI(L)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R)1-9L-2508 ovO10911380
9/11/2013LEAKE(R)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R)6-0W-1708.5 unU860670
9/13/2013LATOS(R)@ MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)1-5L-1457.5 unU441980
9/14/2013BAILEY(R)@ MILWAUKEEHELLWEG(R)7-3W-1908 ovO10906102
9/15/2013ARROYO(R)@ MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)5-6L-1308 unO880531
9/16/2013CUETO(R)@ HOUSTONBEDARD(L) 
9/17/2013LEAKE(R)@ HOUSTONLYLES(R) 
9/18/2013REYNOLDS(R)@ HOUSTONPEACOCK(R) 
9/20/2013LATOS(R)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L) 
9/21/2013BAILEY(R)@ PITTSBURGHBURNETT(R) 
9/22/2013ARROYO(R)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L) 
9/23/2013 NY METS  
9/24/2013 NY METS  

HOUSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/3/2013COSART(R)MINNESOTAHERNANDEZ(L)6-9L-1158.5 unO104116131
9/4/2013LYLES(R)MINNESOTAHENDRIKS(R)6-5W-1108.5 unO1280741
9/5/2013PEACOCK(R)@ OAKLANDGRAY(R)3-2W2407.5 ovU850661
9/6/2013KEUCHEL(L)@ OAKLANDGRIFFIN(R)5-7L2357.5 ovO119213101
9/7/2013OBERHOLTZER(L)@ OAKLANDSTRAILY(R)1-2L1958 ovU5311080
9/8/2013HARRELL(R)@ OAKLANDCOLON(R)2-7L2358 ovO8801171
9/9/2013COSART(R)@ SEATTLEWALKER(R)6-4W1557.5 ovO871583
9/10/2013LYLES(R)@ SEATTLESAUNDERS(L)13-2W1408 ovO17111591
9/11/2013PEACOCK(R)@ SEATTLEMAURER(R)6-1W1359.5 unU1151580
9/13/2013KEUCHEL(L)LA ANGELSVARGAS(L)9-7W+1209 unO14401290
9/14/2013OBERHOLTZER(L)LA ANGELSWEAVER(R)2-6L+1408 ovP981970
9/15/2013CLEMENS(R)LA ANGELSWILLIAMS(R)1-2L+1459 ovU770641
9/16/2013BEDARD(L)CINCINNATICUETO(R) 
9/17/2013LYLES(R)CINCINNATILEAKE(R) 
9/18/2013PEACOCK(R)CINCINNATIREYNOLDS(R) 
9/19/2013KEUCHEL(L)@ CLEVELANDJIMENEZ(R) 
9/20/2013OBERHOLTZER(L)@ CLEVELANDMCALLISTER(R) 
9/21/2013CLEMENS(R)@ CLEVELANDKAZMIR(L) 
9/22/2013BEDARD(L)@ CLEVELANDKLUBER(R) 
9/23/2013 @ TEXAS  
9/24/2013 @ TEXAS  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games84-66-2.171-724.30.2510.3223.70.2360.291
Road Games36-39-8.436-364.20.2490.3203.60.2440.298
vs Right-handed Starters60-42+254-444.60.2560.3303.70.2400.297
Past 7 Games3-4-3.83-43.30.2360.2953.90.2360.323
Grass Games84-66-2.171-724.30.2510.3223.70.2360.291
Night Games50-42-4.742-464.10.2510.3173.60.2370.291
Interleague8-9-37-103.60.2360.3003.90.2250.292
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2510.322150507912744201480.0361453111575110991407211465
Road Games4.20.2490.320752556636202670.033042695502754485355942
Righty Starters4.60.2560.33010234588862781010.034463787824175097558050
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.511.2004211741643405316544521-24411474.5%
Road Games3.671.263181.3777415519741667-14191065.5%

HOUSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games51-98-13.575-684.00.2430.2985.20.2730.346
Home Games24-51-19.238-333.80.2360.2925.70.2770.351
vs Right-handed Starters38-69-4.754-484.00.2430.2965.20.2790.344
Past 7 Games4-3+2.54-25.60.2950.3424.10.2300.324
Grass Games49-93-13.373-634.00.2450.3005.20.2730.345
Night Games40-65+2.258-434.30.2520.3075.30.2740.348
Interleague8-9+48-94.20.2350.3024.60.2750.333
HOUSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.00.2430.298149501712204041420.03546390140010892012010916285
Home Games3.80.2360.292752483587197800.032661947135645255487837
Righty Starters4.00.2430.29610736278803041090.03401274100670661808011867
HOUSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games5.111.547482.33062745168223037314-37322655.2%
Home Games5.841.613257.3186167289521262294-21151550%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
MIKE LEAKE recent results and season statistics
MIKE LEAKE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.351.23713-629182.76.37468180204611417-12+2.316-13
Road Starts3.051.3047-21594.36.3363298625518-7+0.18-7
Last 3 Starts4.071.3022-1317.75.9881726152-1+0.81-2
MIKE LEAKE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/11/2013CHICAGO CUBS6-0-1708.5Win,UnderW5.7004046SAMARDZIJA(R)
9/6/2013LA DODGERS3-2-1209Win,UnderW7.7225105CAPUANO(L)
9/1/2013at COLORADO4-7-12010Loss,OverL4.3668124CHATWOOD(R)

JORDAN LYLES recent results and season statistics
JORDAN LYLES - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Games4.921.4267-725135.3-8274150164391---
All Starts4.881.4177-723132.75.880721481540889-14+0.116-5
Home Starts6.041.5074-513735.65049861024475-8-1.29-3
Last 3 Starts3.440.9271-1318.36.1871235132-1+1.42-1
JORDAN LYLES - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/10/2013at SEATTLE13-2+1408Win,OverW6214025SAUNDERS(L)
9/4/2013MINNESOTA6-5-1108.5Win,Over 6.3334114HENDRIKS(R)
8/29/2013SEATTLE2-3+1309Loss,UnderL6334224RAMIREZ(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 19-11 (+1.2 Units) against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
15 of 28 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.2 Units)
Games this season
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 10-5 (+3.3 Units) against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)
Games played at HOUSTON this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
MIKE LEAKE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
LEAKE is 5-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.323.
His team's record is 5-4 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-4. (+0.8 units)
MIKE LEAKE recent starts vs. HOUSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/31/2012at HOUSTON9-3-1808.5Win,OverW6227226ABAD(L)
7/24/2012at HOUSTON4-2-1357.5Win,UnderW8227116HARRELL(R)
6/1/2012at HOUSTON4-1-1308.5Win,UnderW7114037HAPP(L)

JORDAN LYLES vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LYLES is 2-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)
JORDAN LYLES recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
6/3/2012CINCINNATI5-3+1258.5Win,UnderW7225123ARROYO(R)
4/29/2012at CINCINNATI5-6+1858Loss,Over 6334135LATOS(R)
8/3/2011CINCINNATI5-4+1308.5Win,OverW7336203WILLIS(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1127, -101.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 49.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (200-202, -23.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in HOUSTON games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (1170-1108, -87.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in HOUSTON games 56.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (229-174, +4.5 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (888-809, -32.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (161-143, +0.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in HOUSTON games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (930-867, -61.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in HOUSTON games 51.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (141-132, -8.5 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[P] 09/10/2013 - Tony Cingrani left last game, "?" Tuesday vs. Houston Astros ( Back )
[P] 08/22/2013 - Jonathan Broxton 60-day DL (8/21) ( Elbow )
[C] 08/10/2013 - Corky Miller 15-day DL (8/10) ( Quad )
[P] 06/28/2013 - Johnny Cueto 60-day DL (6/29) ( Side )
[P] 05/24/2013 - Sean Marshall 15-day DL (5/21) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Nick Masset 60-day DL (3/22) ( Shoulder )
HOUSTON
[C] 09/15/2013 - Jason Castro "?" Monday vs. Cincinnati Reds ( Knee )
[CF] 09/10/2013 - Robbie Grossman out indefinitely ( Oblique )
[DH] 08/23/2013 - Max Stassi 7-day DL (8/22) ( Concussion )
[P] 07/16/2013 - Edgar Gonzalez 15-day DL (5/26) ( Shoulder )
[C] 03/31/2013 - Alex White 60-day DL (3/30), out for season ( Elbow )
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