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Matchup Reports

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CHICAGO CUBS (63-86) AT MILWAUKEE (65-83) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
959: CHICAGO CUBS
960: MILWAUKEE
OFF
-135
63-86
65-83
64-77-8
72-71-5
3.9 / 4.2
3.9 / 4.4
(R) J SAMARDZIJA
(R) M ESTRADA
8-12
6-4
4.44
4.29
1.36
1.18
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 55.0 °
Humidity: 49   Wind: West at 9.2 MPH (8 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA +115 
MILWAUKEEESTRADA-115 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CHICAGO CUBS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games63-86-9195-279-51.31311-1453-269.764-77217-2351300-1346
when the total is 8 to 8.513-26-10.760-100-31.4433-482-86.621-1782-76458-432
as a road underdog of +100 to +12511-10+2.224-42-15.7144-194-31.89-932-30160-159
as a road underdog of +125 to +1507-10-0.525-42-7.2114-175-199-834-28142-134
in road games34-40+9.789-148-24.8608-772-106.129-42114-114638-680
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.56-12-3.227-60-24.6230-283-4011-747-40264-238
in September games6-8-0.627-40-8.3218-223-25.44-828-33194-226
when playing on Tuesday7-15-4.621-50-24172-236-89.712-833-33192-196
when playing with a day off4-12-7.917-35-16.4139-178-599-725-22157-142
against division opponents23-43-1388-140-38.4629-659-115.427-38107-116609-622
in games played on a grass field63-86-9195-279-51.31254-1369-247.564-77217-2351236-1275
in night games36-41+7.2100-146-18.9601-710-126.938-36123-112612-636
against right-handed starters42-65-16.6136-208-50.3957-1072-200.250-52167-165954-991
when playing against a team with a losing record32-31+2.293-116-24653-648-152.328-2897-99601-644
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season14-18-2.146-56-9.9366-335-5413-1544-50338-338

MILWAUKEE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games65-83-12.3250-234-21295-1458-101.472-71245-2191294-1330
when the total is 8 to 8.538-45-4.8132-109+10.2465-477+5.841-39116-116450-463
as a home favorite of -125 to -15010-14-8.848-33+3.2195-159-21.215-948-32172-167
in home games33-41-11.2144-99+23.8712-665-2538-34131-105665-645
at home when the total is 8 to 8.526-25-0.887-53+20.7293-231+38.827-2370-67266-241
in September games6-7+0.639-27+7.2202-237-23.54-732-28205-211
when playing on Tuesday15-9+8.246-27+18.6213-200+30.113-1136-34186-206
when playing with a day off7-8+0.428-27-0.1143-158-6.18-727-24124-162
against division opponents30-39-4129-106+13.5625-659-2.731-35117-107610-609
in games played on a grass field65-83-12.3250-234-21233-1371-94.172-71245-2191237-1243
in night games48-50+4173-145+20.3850-924-27.646-49160-145814-876
against right-handed starters52-56+2192-166+15.1957-1075-57.651-54182-161941-990
when playing against a team with a losing record30-33-4131-100+9.3661-655-52.232-28127-94624-614
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season16-17+0.278-47+21.2359-356-3713-1963-57321-349
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CHICAGO CUBS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/3/2013JACKSON(R)MIAMIKOEHLER(R)2-6L-1408 unP46112100
9/4/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)MIAMIFLYNN(L)9-7W-1458 unO11811181
9/6/2013RUSIN(L)MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)8-5W+1058.5 ovO13601081
9/7/2013ARRIETA(R)MILWAUKEEHELLWEG(R)3-5L-14010.5 ovU641591
9/8/2013BAKER(R)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)1-3L+1157.5 unU330860
9/9/2013WOOD(L)@ CINCINNATIARROYO(R)2-0W1657.5 ovU760790
9/10/2013JACKSON(R)@ CINCINNATICINGRANI(L)9-1W2258 ovO13801091
9/11/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ CINCINNATILEAKE(R)0-6L1608.5 unU670860
9/12/2013RUSIN(L)@ PITTSBURGHLOCKE(L)1-3L1607.5 unU450650
9/13/2013ARRIETA(R)@ PITTSBURGHMORTON(R)5-4W1607 unO981971
9/14/2013BAKER(R)@ PITTSBURGHCOLE(R)1-2L1757 unU560540
9/15/2013WOOD(L)@ PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)2-3L1656.5 unU350760
9/16/2013JACKSON(R)@ MILWAUKEEPERALTA(R) 
9/17/2013SAMARDZIJA(R)@ MILWAUKEEESTRADA(R) 
9/18/2013RUSIN(L)@ MILWAUKEETHORNBURG(R) 
9/19/2013ARRIETA(R)@ MILWAUKEELOHSE(R) 
9/20/2013BAKER(R)ATLANTAMAHOLM(L) 
9/21/2013WOOD(L)ATLANTAMEDLEN(R) 
9/22/2013JACKSON(R)ATLANTATEHERAN(R) 
9/23/2013 PITTSBURGH  
9/24/2013 PITTSBURGH  

MILWAUKEE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/3/2013GALLARDO(R)PITTSBURGHCOLE(R)3-4L+1058 unU740880
9/4/2013PERALTA(R)PITTSBURGHLIRIANO(L)9-3W+1407.5 unO137012121
9/6/2013LOHSE(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSRUSIN(L)5-8L-1158.5 ovO10811360
9/7/2013HELLWEG(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSARRIETA(R)5-3W13010.5 ovU591641
9/8/2013GALLARDO(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSBAKER(R)3-1W-1257.5 unU860330
9/10/2013PERALTA(R)@ ST LOUISMILLER(R)2-4L1758.5 unU782680
9/11/2013ESTRADA(R)@ ST LOUISLYNN(R)1-5L1358 unU661641
9/12/2013THORNBURG(R)@ ST LOUISKELLY(R)5-3W1608 unP1160642
9/13/2013LOHSE(R)CINCINNATILATOS(R)5-1W+1357.5 unU980441
9/14/2013HELLWEG(R)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)3-7L+1808 ovO61021090
9/15/2013GALLARDO(R)CINCINNATIARROYO(R)6-5W+1208 unO531880
9/16/2013PERALTA(R)CHICAGO CUBSJACKSON(R) 
9/17/2013ESTRADA(R)CHICAGO CUBSSAMARDZIJA(R) 
9/18/2013THORNBURG(R)CHICAGO CUBSRUSIN(L) 
9/19/2013LOHSE(R)CHICAGO CUBSARRIETA(R) 
9/20/2013HELLWEG(R)ST LOUISMILLER(R) 
9/21/2013GALLARDO(R)ST LOUISLYNN(R) 
9/22/2013PERALTA(R)ST LOUISKELLY(R) 
9/23/2013 @ ATLANTA  
9/24/2013 @ ATLANTA  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CHICAGO CUBS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games63-86-964-773.90.2370.2954.20.2450.312
Road Games34-40+9.729-423.50.2260.2843.90.2370.304
vs Right-handed Starters42-65-16.650-524.00.2360.2944.40.2450.311
Past 7 Games3-4+1.52-52.90.2060.2762.70.2330.278
Grass Games63-86-964-773.90.2370.2954.20.2450.312
Night Games36-41+7.238-364.00.2400.2934.40.2570.321
Division23-43-1327-383.10.2160.2794.00.2410.308
CHICAGO CUBS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.90.2370.295149507512044531630.03548418112660100812689122101
Road Games3.50.2260.284742570581206650.032422075713252652385449
Righty Starters4.00.2360.29410736758693261150.034032978053571986658373
CHICAGO CUBS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.061.368425.32031923944818835620-28372559.7%
Road Games3.681.346198.38481179298814612-13261366.7%

MILWAUKEE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games65-83-12.372-713.90.2530.3054.40.2580.316
Home Games33-41-11.238-344.00.2570.3134.60.2700.327
vs Right-handed Starters52-56+251-544.00.2520.3064.20.2550.310
Past 7 Games4-3+2.22-43.60.2370.3213.70.2010.275
Grass Games65-83-12.372-713.90.2530.3054.40.2580.316
Night Games48-50+446-494.10.2630.3144.10.2540.311
Division30-39-3.931-353.80.2510.3084.50.2600.320
MILWAUKEE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.90.2530.305148501112694011420.03555373107812998613110613689
Home Games4.00.2570.313742457631200760.032872025096850362458448
Righty Starters4.00.2520.30610836169112961040.03411284756106722897810361
MILWAUKEE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.201.227483.31921724295216441923-25362064.3%
Home Games3.221.220271.310297240299122713-1116769.6%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
JEFF SAMARDZIJA recent results and season statistics
JEFF SAMARDZIJA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.441.3568-1230194.76.510296192237219513-17-317-12
Road Starts3.871.2045-714936.64440811131927-7+1.75-8
Last 3 Starts8.341.7450-1318.36.117172557201-2-1.42-1
JEFF SAMARDZIJA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/11/2013at CINCINNATI0-6+1608.5Loss,UnderL5.7668235LEAKE(R)
9/4/2013MIAMI9-7-1458Win,Over 6669229FLYNN(L)
8/30/2013PHILADELPHIA5-6-1359.5Loss,Over 6.7558126HALLADAY(R)

MARCO ESTRADA recent results and season statistics
MARCO ESTRADA - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.291.1786-4181075.9525110118259710-8+3.810-8
Home Starts7.061.6162-2843.35.43434591311463-5-3.27-1
Last 3 Starts2.180.8711-0320.76.9551216231-2-0.81-2
MARCO ESTRADA - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/11/2013at ST LOUIS1-5+1358Loss,Under 6.7112036LYNN(R)
8/31/2013LA ANGELS5-6-1258.5Loss,Over 7449118WILLIAMS(R)
8/25/2013at CINCINNATI3-1+1408.5Win,UnderW7001029REYNOLDS(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 33-15 (+15.5 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
24 of 47 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-4.9 Units)
Games this season
MILWAUKEE is 10-5 (+5.1 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-1.0 Units)

All games at MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 19-5 (+12.9 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last 3 seasons
12 of 23 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.3 Units)
Games played at MILWAUKEE this season.
MILWAUKEE is 4-2 (+1.6 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
9/8/2013MILWAUKEE3-125  80260GALLARDO(R)W7131
 CHICAGO CUBS1+1157.5 unUnder31030BAKER(R) 5021
9/7/2013MILWAUKEE5+130  50091HELLWEG(R)W6343
 CHICAGO CUBS3-14010.5 ovUnder62041ARRIETA(R)L5433
9/6/2013MILWAUKEE5-115 Over102281LOHSE(R)L57111
 CHICAGO CUBS8+1058.5 ovWin131160RUSIN(L) 3.7272
7/31/2013MILWAUKEE1+125 Under90082PERALTA(R)L5352
 CHICAGO CUBS6-1358 unWin82060JACKSON(R)W8180
7/30/2013MILWAUKEE6+105  103251GALLARDO(R) 4.7363
 CHICAGO CUBS5-1158 ovOver1200130VILLANUEVA(R) 6.3462
7/30/2013MILWAUKEE3+120  61192THORNBURG(R) 6043
 CHICAGO CUBS2-1308.5 unUnder70091ARRIETA(R) 6123
7/29/2013MILWAUKEE5+115  70061LOHSE(R) 6053
 CHICAGO CUBS0-1257 ovUnder60091SAMARDZIJA(R) 7032
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 0-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.90 and a WHIP of 0.968.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)
JEFF SAMARDZIJA recent starts vs. MILWAUKEE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/29/2013MILWAUKEE0-5-1257Loss,Under 7003027LOHSE(R)
4/19/2013at MILWAUKEE4-5+1007.5Loss,OverL7546214ESTRADA(R)
8/29/2012MILWAUKEE1-3+1057.5Loss,UnderL73270010FIERS(R)

MARCO ESTRADA vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
ESTRADA is 4-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.10 and a WHIP of 1.100.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)
MARCO ESTRADA recent starts vs. CHICAGO CUBS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/19/2013CHICAGO CUBS5-4-1107.5Win,OverW6337224SAMARDZIJA(R)
4/8/2013at CHICAGO CUBS7-4+1059.5Win,OverW7225116JACKSON(R)
8/27/2012at CHICAGO CUBS15-4-1258.5Win,OverW5306038GERMANO(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1085, -18.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 53.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (208-184, +0.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 53.6% of the time since 1997. (1181-1022, +65.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MILWAUKEE games 55.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (223-178, +24.9 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring the OVER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (974-938, -105.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 54.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (173-143, +13.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (837-826, -99.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MILWAUKEE games 49.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (147-148, -20.4 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CHICAGO CUBS
[RF] 09/15/2013 - Nate Schierholtz is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates ( Rest )
[LF] 08/10/2013 - Thomas Neal 60-day DL (8/7) ( Shoulder )
[P] 08/08/2013 - Matt Guerrier 60-day DL (8/7) ( Elbow )
[P] 06/12/2013 - Zach Putnam 60-day DL (6/12) ( Elbow )
[P] 06/08/2013 - Rafael Dolis 15-day DL (5/27) ( Forearm )
[P] 05/28/2013 - Kyuji Fujikawa 60-day DL (5/27), out for season ( Arm )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Arodys Vizcaino 60-day DL (3/27) ( Elbow )
MILWAUKEE
[3B] 09/16/2013 - Aramis Ramirez is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Monday vs. Chicago Cubs ( Wrist )
[2B] 08/09/2013 - Rickie Weeks 60-day DL (8/8); out for season ( Hamstring )
[LF] 07/22/2013 - Ryan Braun out for season ( Suspension )
[P] 07/05/2013 - Miguel De Los Santos is on the restricted list ( Shoulder )
[1B] 06/28/2013 - Corey Hart 60-day DL (3/22); out for season ( Knee )
[P] 03/31/2013 - Mark Rogers 60-day DL (3/25) ( Shoulder )
[1B] 03/31/2013 - Mat Gamel 60-day DL (3/20), out for season ( Knee )
[3B] 03/31/2013 - Taylor Green 60-day DL (3/22), out for season ( Hip )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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