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Matchup Reports

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BALTIMORE (80-70) AT BOSTON (92-60) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
969: BALTIMORE
970: BOSTON
8.5
-137
80-70
92-60
69-72-9
68-77-7
4.7 / 4.3
5.2 / 4.0
(R) C TILLMAN
(R) J LACKEY
16-6
9-12
3.70
3.56
1.22
1.19
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Overcast   Temperature: 71.0 °
Humidity: 84   Wind: East at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BALTIMORETILLMAN +128 
BOSTONLACKEY-128 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALTIMORE team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games80-70+2.4246-236+35.81270-1489-124.869-72229-2311299-1323
when the total is 8 to 8.530-31-3.196-86+16.8241-319-54.827-3287-90279-266
as a road underdog of +100 to +12514-16-0.335-34+5.3142-193-3217-1233-33167-150
as a road underdog of +125 to +15010-5+8.536-38+11.4159-182+3611-439-33169-154
in road games38-37+3.5117-125+25.3598-782-21.336-36114-118664-647
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.514-18-2.537-42+3.7106-166-25.415-1638-39127-136
in September games9-7-0.344-29+24.3194-253-13.45-1034-33209-224
when playing on Thursday13-5+832-23+10.8163-177-7.86-1027-24165-150
when playing with a day off11-6+3.836-22+17.9166-162+14.77-830-26163-149
against division opponents31-33-1.9104-109+16.8485-663-93.827-3196-104538-543
in games played on a grass field73-61+3.7222-208+321111-1283-102.359-66205-2051135-1144
in night games56-44+6.8169-166+22.2879-1005-54.841-52154-166873-902
against right-handed starters55-45+5.8173-164+28.5917-1027-24.549-46164-157905-937
when playing against a team with a winning record44-37+7.2134-143+21.6593-864-110.234-43125-141697-688
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season15-21-6.967-81+8.9330-482-46.416-1869-73377-399

BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games92-60+20253-225-29.41564-1253-36.668-77228-2271304-1371
when the total is 8 to 8.535-23+9.587-61+13.4300-204+29.528-2969-78243-252
as a home favorite of -125 to -15015-12-1.738-29-2.4200-140+5.89-1837-27158-167
in home games50-26+12.2131-109-26.9833-575-21.933-39122-105668-664
at home when the total is 8 to 8.518-8+836-23+3.7122-74-0.213-1330-2999-94
in September games11-4+725-43-26231-217-498-735-29201-228
when playing on Thursday11-10-127-27-8178-146-13.28-1221-29137-171
when playing with a day off12-7+425-27-7.1207-142+21.29-1024-27155-173
against division opponents40-28+7.8104-108-25.3634-538-43.326-4199-107561-560
in games played on a grass field81-53+14.8224-200-34.71380-1073-7.559-68200-2011118-1203
in night games65-46+11.4173-165-34.11077-855-26.855-50164-155904-932
against right-handed starters59-41+9.9162-158-40.71125-866+10.748-48159-147920-966
when playing against a team with a winning record44-37+3129-126-10.8682-662-5634-45117-127604-679
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season24-19+257-75-22.5352-376-5815-2859-70325-373
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BALTIMORE - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/5/2013GONZALEZ(R)CHI WHITE SOXQUINTANA(L)3-1W-1608.5 evU730540
9/6/2013FELDMAN(R)CHI WHITE SOXDANKS(L)4-0W-1858 unU940541
9/7/2013CHEN(L)CHI WHITE SOXSANTIAGO(L)4-3W-1708.5 unU13121753
9/8/2013NORRIS(R)CHI WHITE SOXRIENZO(R)2-4L-2059 unU6801071
9/9/2013TILLMAN(R)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)4-2W-1308.5 unU750531
9/10/2013GONZALEZ(R)NY YANKEESNOVA(R)5-7L-1158.5 ovO6411171
9/11/2013FELDMAN(R)NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)4-5L-1259 unP1370630
9/12/2013CHEN(L)NY YANKEESHUGHES(R)5-6L-1559 unO1061861
9/13/2013HAMMEL(R)@ TORONTOREDMOND(R)5-3W-1159 unU1090730
9/14/2013TILLMAN(R)@ TORONTOROGERS(R)3-4L-1309 unU880621
9/15/2013GONZALEZ(R)@ TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)3-1W-1209 unU68010111
9/17/2013FELDMAN(R)@ BOSTONDEMPSTER(R)3-2W1058.5 evU663370
9/18/2013CHEN(L)@ BOSTONPEAVY(R) 
9/19/2013TILLMAN(R)@ BOSTONLACKEY(R) 
9/20/2013HAMMEL(R)@ TAMPA BAYPRICE(L) 
9/21/2013GONZALEZ(R)@ TAMPA BAYCOBB(R) 
9/22/2013FELDMAN(R)@ TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R) 
9/23/2013CHEN(L)@ TAMPA BAYARCHER(R) 
9/24/2013TILLMAN(R)TORONTOREDMOND(R) 
9/25/2013 TORONTO  
9/26/2013 TORONTO  

BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/5/2013PEAVY(R)@ NY YANKEESNOVA(R)9-8W-1058 unO161101061
9/6/2013DOUBRONT(L)@ NY YANKEESPETTITTE(L)12-8W-1109 unO15100750
9/7/2013LACKEY(R)@ NY YANKEESHUFF(L)13-9W-1159 unO14401290
9/8/2013LESTER(L)@ NY YANKEESKURODA(R)3-4L1008.5 ovU9801180
9/10/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ TAMPA BAYPRICE(L)2-0W1357 unU430440
9/11/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ TAMPA BAYCOBB(R)7-3W1307.5 unO9606100
9/12/2013PEAVY(R)@ TAMPA BAYHELLICKSON(R)3-4L-1058 unU671670
9/13/2013LACKEY(R)NY YANKEESKURODA(R)8-4W-1308.5 unO1181860
9/14/2013LESTER(L)NY YANKEESSABATHIA(L)5-1W-1559 unU980341
9/15/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)NY YANKEESNOVA(R)9-2W-1558.5 unO1181560
9/17/2013DEMPSTER(R)BALTIMOREFELDMAN(R)2-3L-1158.5 evU370663
9/18/2013PEAVY(R)BALTIMORECHEN(L) 
9/19/2013LACKEY(R)BALTIMORETILLMAN(R) 
9/20/2013LESTER(L)TORONTOBUEHRLE(L) 
9/21/2013DOUBRONT(L)TORONTOROGERS(R) 
9/22/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)TORONTODICKEY(R) 
9/24/2013DEMPSTER(R)@ COLORADOCHATWOOD(R) 
9/25/2013 @ COLORADO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games80-70+2.469-724.70.2620.3124.30.2570.316
Road Games38-37+3.536-364.60.2630.3124.30.2640.321
vs Right-handed Starters55-45+5.849-464.90.2640.3174.30.2560.317
Past 7 Games3-4-2.22-44.00.2440.2964.00.2190.275
Grass Games73-61+3.759-664.60.2610.3124.20.2530.313
Night Games56-44+6.841-524.60.2540.3074.30.2580.316
Division31-33-1.927-314.40.2540.3024.70.2600.321
BALTIMORE - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.70.2620.312150518313574901990.046753801030779721144615259
Road Games4.60.2630.312752659698253940.043351905354249764246635
Righty Starters4.90.2640.31710034329063331460.0447026966159635783311036
BALTIMORE - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.561.221462.71941834285413741225-23522171.2%
Road Games3.791.25822110093213266520312-12261170.3%

BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games92-60+2068-775.20.2750.3444.00.2470.313
Home Games50-26+12.233-395.30.2860.3544.00.2460.308
vs Right-handed Starters59-41+9.848-485.30.2770.3464.20.2490.314
Past 7 Games5-2+3.53-45.10.2370.3292.40.1750.269
Grass Games81-53+14.859-685.20.2800.3484.10.2490.313
Night Games65-46+11.455-505.30.2760.3444.20.2490.316
Division40-28+7.826-414.80.2590.3253.70.2380.306
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.20.2750.344152528514535361640.037635571224119114614677134127
Home Games5.30.2860.354762568735292780.033882685855455870436573
Righty Starters5.30.2770.34610035159723561050.0351037582691779101528580
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.581.2914431871764114616144330-20312258.5%
Home Games3.671.3262189689212227720816-8151157.7%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
CHRIS TILLMAN recent results and season statistics
CHRIS TILLMAN - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.701.21716-630187.36.27877164306415720-10+10.39-18
Road Starts3.301.2338-314906.43433838287110-4+7.35-7
Last 3 Starts4.431.0821-2320.36.810101537161-2-1.50-3
CHRIS TILLMAN - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/14/2013at TORONTO3-4-1309Loss,UnderL8446124ROGERS(R)
9/9/2013NY YANKEES4-2-1308.5Win,UnderW7224209SABATHIA(L)
9/3/2013at CLEVELAND3-4-1208Loss,UnderL5.3445053JIMENEZ(R)

JOHN LACKEY recent results and season statistics
JOHN LACKEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.561.1939-1227174.36.57569171223714813-14-3.95-21
Home Starts2.631.0985-312826.8292477713698-4+2.22-9
Last 3 Starts6.521.3451-1319.36.414142214142-1+0.62-1
JOHN LACKEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/13/2013NY YANKEES8-4-1308.5Win,Over 6.3447103KURODA(R)
9/7/2013at NY YANKEES13-9-1159Win,OverW5.7778036HUFF(L)
9/2/2013DETROIT0-3-1459Loss,UnderL7.3337015FISTER(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 29-21 (+15.3 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
23 of 47 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-2.4 Units, Under=-2.1 Units)
Games this season
BALTIMORE is 8-6 (+2.7 Units) against BOSTON this season
10 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.5 Units)

All games at BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 14-11 (+8.7 Units) against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
15 of 25 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.5 Units)
Games played at BOSTON this season.
BALTIMORE is 4-3 (+1.9 Units) against BOSTON this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.6 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
9/17/2013BALTIMORE3+105  61063FELDMAN(R) 5126
 BOSTON2-1158.5 evUnder31370DEMPSTER(R) 6234
8/29/2013BALTIMORE3+135  700100TILLMAN(R)W7260
 BOSTON2-1458.5 unUnder81150LESTER(L)L6353
8/28/2013BALTIMORE3+170 Under72140NORRIS(R) 5.3144
 BOSTON4-1809.5 unWin90290LACKEY(R) 7.3371
8/27/2013BALTIMORE2+110 Over40040CHEN(L)L3.7883
 BOSTON13-1209 unWin143050DOUBRONT(L)W6.7241
7/28/2013BOSTON5-115  101071LESTER(L)W7042
 BALTIMORE0+1059 unUnder50060HAMMEL(R)L5.3365
7/27/2013BOSTON7+110  103260DEMPSTER(R)W5.3262
 BALTIMORE3-1209 ovOver90090FELDMAN(R)L5462
7/26/2013BOSTON0-105 Under40061LACKEY(R)L6.3591
 BALTIMORE6-1059 unWin104050TILLMAN(R)W7023
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
CHRIS TILLMAN vs. BOSTON since 1997
TILLMAN is 4-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.15 and a WHIP of 1.172.
His team's record is 5-4 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.0 units)
CHRIS TILLMAN recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/29/2013at BOSTON3-2+1358.5Win,UnderW7226108LESTER(L)
7/26/2013BOSTON6-0-1059Win,UnderW7002038LACKEY(R)
6/14/2013BOSTON2-0-1109.5Win,UnderW6003043DEMPSTER(R)

JOHN LACKEY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
LACKEY is 12-5 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.49 and a WHIP of 1.256.
His team's record is 15-7 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 15-6. (+8.7 units)
JOHN LACKEY recent starts vs. BALTIMORE
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/28/2013BALTIMORE4-3-1809.5Win,Under 7.3337214NORRIS(R)
7/26/2013at BALTIMORE0-6-1059Loss,UnderL6.3559312TILLMAN(R)
6/15/2013at BALTIMORE5-4-1059.5Win,UnderW7227014GARCIA(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BOSTON in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1076, 4.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 52.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (218-197, +6.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (1117-1122, -147.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 53.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (215-187, +1.2 units)
Edge=BALTIMORE
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 49.8% of the time since 1997. (836-843, -122.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 52.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (156-143, -4.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 51.9% of the time since 1997. (947-877, -53.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 56.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (172-134, +21.2 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BALTIMORE
[P] 09/18/2013 - Miguel Gonzalez expected to miss 1 start ( Groin )
[LF] 09/18/2013 - Nate McLouth "?" Wednesday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Knee )
[P] 09/12/2013 - Bud Norris out indefinitely ( Elbow )
[LF] 07/19/2013 - Nolan Reimold 60-day DL (7/14) ( Neck )
[P] 07/16/2013 - Tsuyoshi Wada 60-day DL (3/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 06/06/2013 - Steve Johnson 15-day DL (6/6) ( Oblique )
BOSTON
[CF] 09/07/2013 - Jacoby Ellsbury out indefinitely ( Foot )
[3B] 08/10/2013 - Brandon Snyder 15-day DL (8/8) ( Elbow )
[P] 07/19/2013 - Andrew Bailey 15-day DL (7/13) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/10/2013 - Alex Wilson 60-day DL (7/9) ( Thumb )
[P] 07/07/2013 - Andrew Miller 60-day DL (7/7) ( Foot )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Joel Hanrahan 60-day DL (5/9), out for season ( Elbow )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
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