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Matchup Reports

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BOSTON (99-65) AT TAMPA BAY (93-73) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
929: BOSTON
930: TAMPA BAY
7.0
-104
99-65
93-73
76-81-7
78-79-9
5.3 / 4.0
4.3 / 4.0
(R) C BUCHHOLZ
(R) A COBB
12-1
12-3
1.74
2.64
1.02
1.16
Current Weather Conditions 
Dome Stadium 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
BOSTONBUCHHOLZ-120 
TAMPA BAYCOBB +120 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BOSTON team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games99-65+20.4260-230-291571-1258-36.276-81236-2311312-1375
when the total is 7 or less4-2+210-11-1.233-27-9.62-37-921-31
on the road with a money line of -100 to -12515-13+0.540-31+5157-141-1.714-1334-32135-138
in road games44-37+6124-119-4.3732-680-16.540-38111-122640-706
on the road when the total is 7 or less4-2+28-11-3.125-21-2.92-36-916-25
in October games2-0+22-3-159-40+202-04-149-45
when playing on Monday8-6+0.628-23-2.8163-131-14.17-628-21143-137
when playing with a day off13-8+3.526-28-7.6208-143+20.711-1026-27157-173
against division opponents46-32+8.6110-112-24.4640-542-42.432-45105-111567-564
in games played in a dome6-3+4.515-12+5.9103-100-16.25-414-1396-101
in night games70-50+10.8178-169-34.81082-859-27.461-53170-158910-935
in games played on artificial turf11-7+5.229-25+5.2184-180-29.29-928-26186-168
against right-handed starters64-43+12.4167-160-38.21130-868+13.253-50164-149925-968
in playoff games2-0+22-0+240-32+6.32-02-035-34
after a win54-44-0.9139-114-5.5867-699-34.346-49123-120758-739
when playing against a team with a winning record48-40+3.3133-129-10.5686-665-55.639-47122-129609-681
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season28-22+2.361-78-22.1356-379-57.620-3064-72330-375

TAMPA BAY team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games93-73-0.5275-219+10.21208-1411-65.878-79209-2601179-1328
when the total is 7 or less14-14-4.942-40-11.449-52-17.815-1039-3545-48
at home with a money line of -100 to -1259-5+3.224-25-4.9117-117-15.88-520-27109-119
in home games51-30+6.4144-101-0.8670-635+13.638-3993-140558-694
at home when the total is 7 or less12-8030-23-5.333-28-8.410-823-2425-30
in October games1-2-13-6-3.626-28-3.22-14-519-33
when playing on Monday11-7+2.828-24+0.5120-135+3.610-721-26107-133
when playing with a day off5-12-9.620-27-10.8109-158-29.111-621-26125-132
against division opponents43-35-0.3126-96+10.8519-597+26.535-4093-120509-565
in games played in a dome51-30+6.4144-101-0.8688-671+3.738-3993-140581-717
in night games65-47+4.2182-144+9.8790-941-63.355-49138-168793-862
in games played on artificial turf56-34+6.6161-111+5.4758-752+14.943-43108-150650-794
against right-handed starters62-48+2.1185-150-2.4872-1008-28.954-51139-181839-959
in playoff games1-2-12-5-2.712-15-2.92-14-311-15
after a loss37-35-4.8117-102-2.7615-792-57.940-2896-111644-707
when playing against a team with a winning record50-44-0.9146-135-6.4589-779-47.140-50116-151610-702
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season22-20-280-66+6.5326-432-11.918-2359-83337-394
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BOSTON - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/24/2013LACKEY(R)@ COLORADOCHATWOOD(R)3-8L-15010 ovO7601172
9/25/2013PEAVY(R)@ COLORADOCHACIN(R)15-5W-12010 ovO16701061
9/27/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ BALTIMOREFELDMAN(R)12-3W-1307.5 ovO1660850
9/28/2013LESTER(L)@ BALTIMORECHEN(L)5-6L-1258 unO14901271
9/29/2013WEBSTER(R)@ BALTIMORETILLMAN(R)6-7L1358.5 unO13901081
10/4/2013LESTER(L)TAMPA BAYMOORE(L)12-2W-1407.5 ovO1480450
10/5/2013LACKEY(R)TAMPA BAYPRICE(L)7-4W-1057.5 unO1150871
10/7/2013BUCHHOLZ(R)@ TAMPA BAYCOBB(R) 

TAMPA BAY - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
9/23/2013ARCHER(R)BALTIMORECHEN(L)5-4W-1257 ovO9801080
9/24/2013MOORE(L)@ NY YANKEESKURODA(R)7-0W-1057.5 unU9604112
9/25/2013PRICE(L)@ NY YANKEESHUGHES(R)8-3W-1607.5 unO1590872
9/26/2013COBB(R)@ NY YANKEESNOVA(R)4-0W-1307.5 unU1160330
9/27/2013HELLICKSON(R)@ TORONTODICKEY(R)3-6L-1307.5 ovO753872
9/28/2013ARCHER(R)@ TORONTOHAPP(L)2-7L-1657.5 ovO6401280
9/29/2013MOORE(L)@ TORONTOREDMOND(R)7-6W-1807.5 ovO93012110
9/30/2013PRICE(L)@ TEXASPEREZ(L)5-2W-1207.5 unU780741
10/2/2013COBB(R)@ CLEVELANDSALAZAR(R)4-0W-1107 unU860991
10/4/2013MOORE(L)@ BOSTONLESTER(L)2-12L1307.5 ovO4501480
10/5/2013PRICE(L)@ BOSTONLACKEY(R)4-7L-1057.5 unO8711150
10/7/2013COBB(R)BOSTONBUCHHOLZ(R) 
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BOSTON - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games99-65+20.476-815.30.2780.3454.00.2470.313
Road Games44-37+640-385.40.2690.3384.10.2530.321
vs Right-handed Starters64-43+12.453-505.40.2790.3484.20.2490.314
Past 7 Games4-3+0.27-08.60.3400.3885.00.2720.340
Dome Games6-3+4.55-44.80.2060.2923.80.2420.339
Night Games70-50+10.861-535.40.2780.3454.20.2500.316
Division46-32+8.732-454.90.2660.3303.70.2380.305
Playoff games2-0+22-09.50.3520.4103.00.1940.275
BOSTON - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.30.2780.345164572215895821800.038375881322126122416080145134
Road Games5.40.2690.338812914784265950.034133036776862579347457
Righty Starters5.40.2790.348107376410493861170.0355739788094822108549286
BOSTON - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.681.3094752051944484717446830-23342359.6%
Road Games3.751.296240104100220249124814-14161257.1%

TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games93-73-0.578-794.30.2560.3274.00.2410.302
Home Games51-30+6.438-394.20.2550.3303.70.2290.284
vs Right-handed Starters62-48+254-514.20.2560.3264.20.2430.301
Past 7 Games3-4-25-23.90.2140.2775.70.3030.364
Dome Games51-30+6.438-394.20.2550.3303.70.2290.284
Night Games65-47+4.255-494.50.2680.3393.90.2370.296
Division43-35-0.335-404.40.2580.3234.10.2330.301
Playoff games1-2-12-13.30.2080.2766.30.3210.368
TAMPA BAY - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2560.327166563414414911680.03680598119974119016161150122
Home Games4.20.2550.330812695686231810.033323055733958673217755
Righty Starters4.20.2560.32611037419563291140.0344438879649774114459886
TAMPA BAY - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.601.210505.72122024154319752627-24421870%
Home Games2.791.018261.48481187207926420-9191065.5%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
CLAY BUCHHOLZ recent results and season statistics
CLAY BUCHHOLZ - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts1.741.02512-116108.36.82321754369614-2+11.26-8
Road Starts1.400.9336-07456.47729413397-0+7.53-3
Last 3 Starts2.371.1052-13196.375152692-1+0.62-1
CLAY BUCHHOLZ - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/27/2013at BALTIMORE12-3-1307.5Win,OverW7337204FELDMAN(R)
9/21/2013TORONTO2-4-1458Loss,UnderL6326022BUEHRLE(L)
9/15/2013NY YANKEES9-2-1558.5Win,OverW6102043NOVA(R)

ALEX COBB recent results and season statistics
ALEX COBB - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.641.16012-3231506.54644128134613915-8+5.411-11
Home Starts2.811.1407-01383.36.4262669626879-4+3.37-5
Last 3 Starts0.410.9553-03227.3111605213-0+30-3
ALEX COBB - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
10/2/2013at CLEVELAND4-0-1107Win,UnderW6.7008015SALAZAR(R)
9/26/2013at NY YANKEES4-0-1307.5Win,UnderW7003024NOVA(R)
9/21/2013BALTIMORE5-1-1457.5Win,UnderW8.31150212GONZALEZ(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 29-28 (+0.4 Units) against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
34 of 57 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+7.7 Units)
Games this season
BOSTON is 14-7 (+8.2 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
14 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.1 Units)

All games at TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 15-12 (+5.9 Units) against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
14 of 27 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)
Games played at TAMPA BAY this season.
BOSTON is 6-3 (+4.5 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
10/5/2013TAMPA BAY4-105 Over80171PRICE(L)L7792
 BOSTON7-1057.5 unWin112150LACKEY(R)W5.3473
10/4/2013TAMPA BAY2+130 Over42050MOORE(L)L4.3782
 BOSTON12-1407.5 ovWin140280LESTER(L)W7.7233
9/12/2013BOSTON3-105 Under62171PEAVY(R) 6345
 TAMPA BAY4-1058 unWin61070HELLICKSON(R) 5.3343
9/11/2013BOSTON7+130  91060DEMPSTER(R) 5145
 TAMPA BAY3-1407.5 unOver610100COBB(R) 5.7373
9/10/2013BOSTON2+135  40130BUCHHOLZ(R)W5031
 TAMPA BAY0-1457 unUnder40040PRICE(L)L8230
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 7-5 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.41 and a WHIP of 1.079.
His team's record is 8-8 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-10. (-5.4 units)
CLAY BUCHHOLZ recent starts vs. TAMPA BAY
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/10/2013at TAMPA BAY2-0+1357Win,UnderW5003016PRICE(L)
4/14/2013TAMPA BAY5-0-1358.5Win,UnderW80020411COBB(R)
9/25/2012TAMPA BAY2-5+1508Loss,UnderL6548125PRICE(L)

ALEX COBB vs. BOSTON since 1997
COBB is 2-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.19 and a WHIP of 1.345.
His team's record is 2-5 (-4.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.5 units)
ALEX COBB recent starts vs. BOSTON
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
9/11/2013BOSTON3-7-1407.5Loss,Over 5.7337034DEMPSTER(R)
6/10/2013BOSTON8-10-1407.5Loss,Over 4667034LACKEY(R)
5/16/2013BOSTON3-4-1408Loss,Under 6.3113026DOUBRONT(L)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TAMPA BAY in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1127, -147.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOSTON games 53.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (220-192, +1.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 55.4% of the time since 1997. (1161-935, +114.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 56.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (236-181, +23.2 units)
Edge=BOSTON
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 52% of the time since 1997. (954-882, -52.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOSTON games 56.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (179-139, +22.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 52.8% of the time since 1997. (844-753, -5.7 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 51.6% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (157-147, -8.7 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BOSTON
[P] 07/19/2013 - Andrew Bailey 15-day DL (7/13) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/10/2013 - Alex Wilson 60-day DL (7/9) ( Thumb )
[P] 07/07/2013 - Andrew Miller 60-day DL (7/7) ( Foot )
[P] 05/09/2013 - Joel Hanrahan 60-day DL (5/9), out for season ( Elbow )
[LF] 03/31/2013 - Ryan Kalish 60-day DL (2/20) ( Knee )
TAMPA BAY
[OF] 08/03/2013 - Brandon Guyer 15-day DL (8/4) ( Finger )
[P] 04/05/2013 - Jeff Niemann 60-day DL (3/28), out for season ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/02/2013 - Juan Oviedo 60-day DL (3/31) ( Elbow )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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