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Matchup Reports

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CINCINNATI (18-21) AT PHILADELPHIA (17-21) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
957: CINCINNATI
958: PHILADELPHIA
OFF
-118
18-21
17-21
15-22-2
20-15-3
3.7 / 3.4
3.8 / 4.7
(R) H BAILEY
(L) C HAMELS
3-2
0-2
4.72
5.32
1.51
1.73
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Partly Cloudy   Temperature: 55.0 °
Humidity: 42   Wind: South at 8.1 MPH (7 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CINCINNATIBAILEY-117 
PHILADELPHIAHAMELS +117 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games19-21-3.8208-162+5.91380-1428-34.915-23156-1921309-1344
as a road underdog of +100 to +1252-3-0.822-23+1.1199-195+30.21-419-25173-202
in road games8-11-3.498-86+4.5664-737+52.37-1177-98625-701
in May games6-6-0.542-25+14.3251-243+3.43-829-35231-239
when playing on Saturday1-5-4.934-26+1.6230-228+3.24-228-29223-209
when playing with a day off7-5+1.825-23-3.4149-168-17.12-920-26146-155
in games played on a grass field19-21-3.8208-162+5.91149-1214-25.215-23156-1921089-1139
in night games8-14-7.2124-107-8.2889-924-31.49-1195-122846-874
against left-handed starters3-4-1.263-49+6.4385-398-16.23-445-62356-389
when playing against a team with a losing record9-10-2.8116-76+7.9720-636-13.66-1280-103632-646

PHILADELPHIA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games17-21-2.8171-191-40.61468-1369-67.120-15186-1621382-1329
at home with a money line of -100 to -1253-3-0.420-24-7.9142-161-43.95-123-15145-136
in home games6-11-6.289-90-23.6767-651-74.79-793-76694-659
in May games4-8-4.434-35-6.1258-228+9.97-540-28238-225
when playing on Saturday5-1+4.223-35-16223-227-27.54-231-25232-203
in games played on a grass field17-19-0.7171-186-35.61114-1016-31.818-15183-1601034-1004
in night games9-17-7.9123-133-23.81010-935-38.415-8132-114946-909
against right-handed starters12-15-2.9122-134-28.21084-992-36.218-8138-1081035-948
when playing against a team with a losing record8-7+1.582-77-10.9678-579-66.28-677-77594-612
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/3/2014CUETO(R)MILWAUKEEGALLARDO(R)6-2W-1457 unO1180321
5/4/2014SIMON(R)MILWAUKEELOHSE(R)4-3W-1057.5 unU1180640
5/6/2014BAILEY(R)@ BOSTONDOUBRONT(L)3-4L1158.5 unU1010011131
5/7/2014LEAKE(R)@ BOSTONPEAVY(R)3-4L1458.5 unU4301090
5/9/2014CUETO(R)COLORADOCHACIN(R)4-3W-1657 ovP630650
5/10/2014SIMON(R)COLORADOLYLES(R)2-11L-1158 unO5701672
5/11/2014BAILEY(R)COLORADONICASIO(R)4-1W-1257.5 evU640452
5/13/2014LEAKE(R)SAN DIEGOCASHNER(R)1-2L-1107.5 unU780341
5/15/2014CUETO(R)SAN DIEGOKENNEDY(R)5-0W-1406.5 unU14100320
5/15/2014FRANCIS(L)SAN DIEGOROSS(R)1-6L+1057.5 unU370960
5/16/2014SIMON(R)@ PHILADELPHIAKENDRICK(R) 
5/17/2014BAILEY(R)@ PHILADELPHIAHAMELS(L) 
5/18/2014LEAKE(R)@ PHILADELPHIALEE(L) 
5/19/2014CINGRANI(L)@ WASHINGTONSTRASBURG(R) 
5/20/2014CUETO(R)@ WASHINGTONFISTER(R) 
5/21/2014SIMON(R)@ WASHINGTONROARK(R) 
5/23/2014 ST LOUIS  
5/24/2014 ST LOUIS  

PHILADELPHIA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/3/2014BURNETT(R)WASHINGTONROARK(R)7-2W-1057.5 unO1281460
5/4/2014HERNANDEZ(R)WASHINGTONGONZALEZ(L)1-0W+1157.5 evU451590
5/5/2014KENDRICK(R)TORONTOHAPP(L)0-3L+1008.5 unU7110771
5/6/2014HAMELS(L)TORONTOHUTCHISON(R)5-6L-1157.5 unO10501260
5/7/2014LEE(L)@ TORONTOBUEHRLE(L)0-10L1008 unO3501130
5/8/2014BURNETT(R)@ TORONTODICKEY(R)6-12L1309 unO10811331
5/9/2014HERNANDEZ(R)@ NY METSMEJIA(R)3-2W1157 unU917110150
5/10/2014KENDRICK(R)@ NY METSGEE(R)5-4W1207 evO1190780
5/11/2014HAMELS(L)@ NY METSNIESE(L)4-5L1156.5 unO912116170
5/13/2014LEE(L)LA ANGELSSHOEMAKER(R)3-4L-1707.5 unU443781
5/14/2014BURNETT(R)LA ANGELSRICHARDS(R)0-3L+1057.5 unU560890
5/16/2014KENDRICK(R)CINCINNATISIMON(R) 
5/17/2014HAMELS(L)CINCINNATIBAILEY(R) 
5/18/2014LEE(L)CINCINNATILEAKE(R) 
5/20/2014BURNETT(R)@ MIAMIDESCLAFANI(R) 
5/21/2014KENDRICK(R)@ MIAMIEOVALDI(R) 
5/22/2014HAMELS(L)@ MIAMIALVAREZ(R) 
5/23/2014 LA DODGERS  
5/24/2014 LA DODGERS  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games18-21-4.815-223.70.2450.3113.40.2260.293
Road Games7-11-4.47-103.50.2440.3053.40.2430.318
vs Left-handed Starters3-4-1.23-44.90.2560.3283.60.2330.304
Past 7 Games3-4-1.21-52.90.2120.2833.90.2250.287
Grass Games18-21-4.815-223.70.2450.3113.40.2260.293
Night Games8-14-7.29-113.50.2350.3094.20.2440.308
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.70.2450.311391292317106330.031351242873328228122912
Road Games3.50.2440.305186141504370.01585414118129157166
Lefty Starters4.90.2560.3287242622290.043326524534022
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.841.59187.34947891350823-97653.8%
Road Games5.081.71839222246421330-64450%

PHILADELPHIA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPRunsAvgOBP
All Games17-21-2.820-153.80.2460.3084.70.2710.332
Home Games6-11-6.29-73.10.2340.3004.40.2550.322
vs Right-handed Starters12-15-2.818-84.30.2510.3155.30.2840.343
Past 7 Games2-5-3.44-33.00.2080.2895.70.2800.351
Grass Games17-19-0.718-153.80.2480.3114.30.2660.328
Night Games9-17-7.915-83.50.2330.2944.90.2760.334
PHILADELPHIA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABHEBHR/ABRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games3.80.2460.308381319324104250.021351193092529029232529
Home Games3.10.2340.3001755513044110.025052135611515151515
Righty Starters4.30.2510.3152794723878190.02108882232120518181720
PHILADELPHIA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.681.368109.76057105174510710-711857.9%
Home Games4.531.08451.7272641815514-44357.1%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
HOMER BAILEY recent results and season statistics
HOMER BAILEY - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.721.5113-2847.76.0252556816443-5-2.26-2
Road Starts4.701.6961-14235.7121229210221-3-23-1
Last 3 Starts2.951.1722-0321.37.1771718152-1+11-2
HOMER BAILEY - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/11/2014COLORADO4-1-1257.5Win,UnderW7.3114126NICASIO(R)
5/6/2014at BOSTON3-4+1158.5Loss,Under 6335055DOUBRONT(L)
5/1/2014MILWAUKEE8-3-1157Win,OverW8338014ESTRADA(R)

COLE HAMELS recent results and season statistics
COLE HAMELS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts5.321.7320-2423.75.9141431210240-4-4.53-0
Home Starts9.282.2490-1210.75.31111182690-2-2.51-0
Last 3 Starts6.111.9240-1317.75.912122529190-3-3.52-0
COLE HAMELS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/11/2014at NY METS4-5+1156.5Loss,Over 71170310NIESE(L)
5/6/2014TORONTO5-6-1157.5Loss,Over 65510216HUTCHISON(R)
4/29/2014NY METS1-6-1357LossL4.7668053NIESE(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-7 (-0.6 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)
Games this season
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games at PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 (+0.7 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)
Games played at PHILADELPHIA this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
HOMER BAILEY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
BAILEY is 0-3 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.61 and a WHIP of 1.078.
His team's record is 2-6 (-4.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.8 units)
HOMER BAILEY recent starts vs. PHILADELPHIA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/19/2013at PHILADELPHIA2-3-1508Loss,Under 7005013PETTIBONE(R)
4/16/2013PHILADELPHIA1-0-1558Win,Under 80020010KENDRICK(R)
8/21/2012at PHILADELPHIA5-4+1457.5Win,Over 6.3327006LEE(L)

COLE HAMELS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HAMELS is 8-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.51 and a WHIP of 0.888.
His team's record is 11-0 (+11.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-7. (-4.7 units)
COLE HAMELS recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/23/2012CINCINNATI4-3-1057Win 6336034CUETO(R)
8/29/2011at CINCINNATI3-2-1408Win,Under 6112007BAILEY(R)
5/23/2011CINCINNATI10-3-1657.5Win,OverW6335124ARROYO(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1145, -96.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 53.7% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (166-143, +7.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PHILADELPHIA games 51.3% of the time since 1997. (1187-1125, -48.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PHILADELPHIA games 52.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (167-151, -13.0 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (912-832, -34.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (139-123, -1.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PHILADELPHIA games 50.4% of the time since 1997. (910-897, -116.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PHILADELPHIA games 54.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (145-121, +7.2 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[C] 05/16/2014 - Devin Mesoraco 15-day DL (4/26); expected to be activated and start Friday vs. Philadelphia Phillies ( Hamstring )
[1B] 05/16/2014 - Joey Votto expected to miss Friday vs. Philadelphia Phillies ( Knee )
[P] 05/15/2014 - Tony Cingrani 15-day DL (5/1), expected to start Sunday vs. Philadelphia ( Shoulder )
[RF] 05/05/2014 - Jay Bruce 15-day DL (5/5) ( Knee )
[P] 04/09/2014 - Trevor Bell 15-day DL (4/08) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/02/2014 - Brett Marshall 60-day DL (3/30) ( Finger )
[3B] 03/28/2014 - Jack Hannahan 60-day DL (3/30) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Mat Latos 60-day DL (3/21) ( Knee )
PHILADELPHIA
[2B] 05/13/2014 - Freddy Galvis out 6-8 weeks ( Collarbone )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Ethan Martin 15-day DL (3/21) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/28/2014 - Miguel Gonzalez 60-day DL (3/21) ( Shoulder )
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