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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 1:10 PM
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CHICAGO CUBS (23-18) AT CINCINNATI (15-30) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
981: CHICAGO CUBS
982: CINCINNATI
9.0
+111
23-18
15-30
18-23-0
20-24-1
5.3 / 3.9
4.1 / 5.1
(R) K HENDRICKS
(R) L CASTILLO
3-3
3-4
3.20
6.02
1.03
1.42
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 47   Wind: South at 3.5 MPH (3 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CHICAGO CUBSHENDRICKS-259
CINCINNATICASTILLO +259 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CHICAGO CUBS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games23-18-4.3233-158-11.11718-1780-271.618-23178-1951636-1709
when the total is 9 to 9.56-3+2.459-33+5.6441-459-90.62-730-53380-456
on the road when the money line is +125 to -1256-6-0.231-37-7.6376-428-57.74-824-42358-408
in road games10-10-2.9108-87-8.6797-949-113.27-1390-95808-852
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.55-2+325-20-3.4212-271-631-612-27196-244
in May games7-8-537-34-14.4292-303-57.57-836-34266-302
when playing on Saturday5-2+2.833-30-10.8277-288-38.94-329-29255-286
against division opponents10-8-0.5106-63+5.3817-803-100.56-1286-79771-779
in day games12-9-495-75-32875-891-177.811-1082-80836-861
against right-handed starters16-14-3.9172-116-10.51266-1323-208.613-17134-1431210-1270
after a win11-11-6.1132-99-22.2832-881-200.68-14106-115803-831
when playing against a team with a losing record6-3+0.1105-63-9.6837-779-156.64-579-80742-803

CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games15-30-11.5151-217-31.81649-1807-112.520-24190-1621636-1640
when the total is 9 to 9.54-16-11.768-90-11.8624-662-40.39-1174-75591-602
at home when the money line is +125 to -1254-9-5.249-50-0.4423-436-24.17-647-51423-394
in home games6-16-10.283-101-13.8862-865-116.410-1296-81849-786
at home when the total is 9 to 9.52-13-11.549-53-2.2365-364-51.26-946-49340-333
in May games8-8+2.129-43-9.9298-310-12.56-938-30292-286
when playing on Saturday2-5-2.424-34-4.8272-289-10.42-531-27279-256
against division opponents3-16-12.673-98-3.4794-821-5.87-1292-71773-750
in day games5-12-5.657-74-2.8581-626-26.78-969-58570-567
against right-handed starters10-22-9.1123-160-111209-1310-60.514-18149-1231199-1185
after a loss9-20-9.685-130-21.2859-929-20.216-12115-91871-833
when playing against a team with a winning record6-14-7.669-122-28719-928-66.210-10105-78773-787
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CHICAGO CUBS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/5/2018CHATWOOD(R)@ ST LOUISWEAVER(R)6-8L1158.5 ovO1291790
5/6/2018LESTER(L)@ ST LOUISWACHA(R)3-4L-1108.5 ovU98010111
5/7/2018HENDRICKS(R)MIAMIGARCIA(L)14-2W-2307.5 ovO1560620
5/8/2018TSENG(R)MIAMIURENA(R)4-3W-2309 evU860650
5/9/2018QUINTANA(L)MIAMICHEN(L)13-4W-23511 ovO1780870
5/11/2018CHATWOOD(R)CHI WHITE SOXFULMER(R)11-2W-2358 unO15130572
5/12/2018LESTER(L)CHI WHITE SOXSHIELDS(R)8-4W-2507.5 evO991880
5/13/2018HENDRICKS(R)CHI WHITE SOXGIOLITO(R)3-5L-2558.5 evU371730
5/14/2018QUINTANA(L)ATLANTATEHERAN(R)5-6L-1508.5 ovO8619120
5/15/2018DARVISH(R)@ ATLANTAFOLTYNEWICZ(R)3-2W-1209 unU682541
5/16/2018CHATWOOD(R)@ ATLANTAMCCARTHY(R)1-4L-1059.5 ovU880770
5/18/2018LESTER(L)@ CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)8-1W-1659.5 unU15140231
5/19/2018HENDRICKS(R)@ CINCINNATICASTILLO(R) 
5/19/2018QUINTANA(L)@ CINCINNATIROMANO(R) 
5/20/2018DARVISH(R)@ CINCINNATIMAHLE(R) 
5/22/2018CHATWOOD(R)CLEVELANDTOMLIN(R) 
5/23/2018LESTER(L)CLEVELANDBAUER(R) 
5/25/2018 SAN FRANCISCO  
5/26/2018 SAN FRANCISCO  

CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/5/2018MAHLE(R)MIAMISMITH(L)0-6L-1258.5 ovU441832
5/6/2018FINNEGAN(L)MIAMISTRAILY(R)5-8L-1359.5 ovO910210122
5/7/2018BAILEY(R)NY METSCONLON(L)6-7L-1059.5 evO8401370
5/8/2018CASTILLO(R)NY METSVARGAS(L)7-2W-1309.5 unU1280671
5/9/2018ROMANO(R)NY METSWHEELER(R)2-1W-10510 unU560450
5/10/2018MAHLE(R)@ LA DODGERSBUEHLER(R)4-1W1557.5 evU961481
5/11/2018HARVEY(R)@ LA DODGERSMAEDA(R)6-2W1828.5 unU10100550
5/12/2018BAILEY(R)@ LA DODGERSSTRIPLING(R)5-3W1658.5 evU139012111
5/13/2018CASTILLO(R)@ LA DODGERSHILL(L)5-3W1407.5 evO9112522
5/14/2018ROMANO(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOSTRATTON(R)7-10L1258 ovO136214101
5/15/2018MAHLE(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOBLACH(L)3-5L1208 unP7501171
5/16/2018HARVEY(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOSUAREZ(L)6-3W1358 evO9401290
5/18/2018BAILEY(R)CHICAGO CUBSLESTER(L)1-8L+1559.5 unU23115140
5/19/2018CASTILLO(R)CHICAGO CUBSHENDRICKS(R) 
5/19/2018ROMANO(R)CHICAGO CUBSQUINTANA(L) 
5/20/2018MAHLE(R)CHICAGO CUBSDARVISH(R) 
5/22/2018HARVEY(R)PITTSBURGHTAILLON(R) 
5/23/2018BAILEY(R)PITTSBURGHKUHL(R) 
5/24/2018CASTILLO(R)PITTSBURGHNOVA(R) 
5/25/2018 @ COLORADO  
5/26/2018 @ COLORADO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CHICAGO CUBS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games23-18-4.318-235.30.2560.3260.4100.7363.90.2210.3100.3600.671
Road Games10-10-2.97-135.00.2520.3210.3940.7153.60.2200.3150.3470.662
vs Right-handed Starters16-14-3.913-174.80.2520.3230.3950.7173.70.2160.3070.3650.672
Past 7 Games4-3-1.13-45.60.2670.3740.4000.7743.40.1970.3030.3530.656
Grass Games23-18-4.318-235.30.2560.3260.4100.7363.90.2210.3100.3600.671
Day Games12-9-411-105.20.2530.3300.4180.7484.50.2270.3190.3780.697
Division10-8-0.56-124.30.2570.3180.3890.7073.10.1890.2800.3130.593
CHICAGO CUBS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.30.2560.3264114513727413410.4102051503421332026323420
Road Games5.00.2520.32120761192426180.3949277191417515152210
Righty Starters4.80.2520.323301041262479280.3951371092441023519242714
CHICAGO CUBS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.741.196154.7534710912761529-511473.3%
Road Games2.211.19381.3222056341854-54357.1%

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games15-30-11.520-244.10.2430.3150.3770.6925.10.2640.3330.4390.772
Home Games6-16-10.210-124.00.2280.3120.3770.6895.50.2610.3310.4380.770
vs Right-handed Starters10-22-9.114-184.10.2510.3210.3730.6955.30.2590.3340.4370.771
Past 7 Games4-3+3.23-34.70.2580.3090.4430.7524.90.2950.3440.4540.799
Grass Games15-30-11.520-244.10.2430.3150.3770.6925.10.2640.3330.4390.772
Day Games5-12-5.58-93.10.2090.2840.3370.6214.50.2530.3260.4350.761
Division3-16-12.67-122.80.2080.2920.2910.5835.50.2810.3620.4590.821
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.10.2430.315451529372704420.3771791603651633341313623
Home Games4.00.2280.31222727166322240.3778488188615918151915
Righty Starters4.10.2510.321321106278483270.3731281142691425327232219
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.051.340175.3837916017751756-89375%
Home Games4.981.470854747861039852-43350%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
KYLE HENDRICKS recent results and season statistics
KYLE HENDRICKS - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.201.0263-3850.76.319184399383-5-6.43-5
Road Starts4.501.3751-03165.3881834121-2-2.32-1
Last 3 Starts3.320.8311-2321.77.2981642141-2-3.21-2
KYLE HENDRICKS - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/13/2018CHI WHITE SOX3-5-2558.5Loss,UnderL6436106GIOLITO(R)
5/7/2018MIAMI14-2-2307.5Win,OverW8226003GARCIA(L)
5/1/2018COLORADO1-3-16010.5Loss,UnderL7.7334325GRAY(R)

LUIS CASTILLO recent results and season statistics
LUIS CASTILLO - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts6.021.4243-4946.35.13231511015464-5-0.66-3
Home Starts5.401.2601-2316.75.610101843201-2-11-2
Last 3 Starts3.061.0192-1317.75.9761642222-1+1.31-2
LUIS CASTILLO - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/13/2018at LA DODGERS5-3+1407.5Win,OverW6324208HILL(L)
5/8/2018NY METS7-2-1309.5Win,UnderW5.7223117VARGAS(L)
5/2/2018MILWAUKEE1-3-1059.5Loss,UnderL6229117MILEY(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO CUBS is 28-12 (+6.5 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
27 of 38 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+15.5 Units)
Games this season
CINCINNATI is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

All games at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO CUBS is 14-7 (+3.2 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
13 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.7 Units)
Games played at CINCINNATI this season.
CINCINNATI is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/18/2018CHICAGO CUBS8-165  1501140LESTER(L)W6121
 CINCINNATI1+1559.5 unUnder21031BAILEY(R)L4.76105
4/2/2018CHICAGO CUBS0-140 Under20061CHATWOOD(R)L6146
 CINCINNATI1+1308.5 ovWin500100MAHLE(R)W6012
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
KYLE HENDRICKS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HENDRICKS is 4-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.41 and a WHIP of 1.293.
His team's record is 7-3 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-3. (+3.9 units)
KYLE HENDRICKS recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/15/2017CINCINNATI1-2-1557.5Loss,Under 6005046CASTILLO(R)
5/17/2017CINCINNATI7-5-16511.5Win,OverW6226124FELDMAN(R)
10/2/2016at CINCINNATI7-4-2408.5Win,Over 5446014STEPHENSON(R)

LUIS CASTILLO vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
CASTILLO is 0-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)
LUIS CASTILLO recent starts vs. CHICAGO CUBS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/15/2017at CHICAGO CUBS2-1+1457.5Win,Under 6002027HENDRICKS(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (1510-1387, +0.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 51.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (182-169, +4.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (1450-1432, -124.0 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (157-170, -34.5 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring the OVER in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (1325-1250, -112.5 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 53% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (187-166, -3.1 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 51.6% of the time since 1997. (1200-1125, -83.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 49.4% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (159-163, -24.6 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CHICAGO CUBS
[RF] 05/19/2018 - Jason Heyward is not in the starting lineup Saturday vs Cincinnati Reds ( Rest )
[C] 05/19/2018 - Willson Contreras is not in the starting lineup Saturday vs Cincinnati Reds ( Rest )
[P] 04/21/2018 - Eddie Butler 10-day DL (04/20) ( Groin )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Drew Smyly 60-day DL (02/16) ( Elbow )
CINCINNATI
[3B] 05/19/2018 - Eugenio Suarez is in the starting lineup Saturday vs Chicago Cubs ( Ankle )
[LF] 05/19/2018 - Adam Duvall is not in the starting lineup Saturday vs Chicago Cubs ( Rest )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Michael Lorenzen 10-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Rookie Davis 60-day DL (03/02) ( Hip )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Anthony DeSclafani 60-day DL (03/29) ( Oblique )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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