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Matchup Reports

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CHICAGO CUBS (24-19) AT CINCINNATI (16-31) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
903: CHICAGO CUBS
904: CINCINNATI
9.0
+126
24-19
16-31
19-23-1
21-24-2
5.4 / 3.8
4.0 / 5.2
(R) Y DARVISH
(R) T MAHLE
0-3
3-5
5.56
4.34
1.53
1.34
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 54.0 °
Humidity: 47   Wind: South at 3.5 MPH (3 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
CHICAGO CUBSDARVISH-165 
CINCINNATIMAHLE +165 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CHICAGO CUBS team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games24-19-4.5234-159-11.31719-1781-271.819-23179-1951637-1709
when the total is 9 to 9.57-4+2.260-34+5.5442-460-90.83-731-53381-456
as a road favorite of -125 to -1753-3-159-28+17.5204-136+11.92-443-40154-170
in road games11-11-3.1109-88-8.8798-950-113.48-1391-95809-852
on the road when the total is 9 to 9.56-3+2.826-21-3.6213-272-63.22-613-27197-244
in May games8-9-5.238-35-14.6293-304-57.78-837-34267-302
when playing on Sunday3-3-2.631-31-19.8261-293-65.71-524-33256-278
against division opponents11-9-0.7107-64+5.1818-804-100.77-1287-79772-779
in day games12-10-5.295-76-33.2875-892-17911-1082-80836-861
against right-handed starters17-15-4.1173-117-10.71267-1324-208.814-17135-1431211-1270
after shutting out their opponent3-2+0.119-12+1.295-105-292-310-1993-97
after a win12-12-6.3133-100-22.4833-882-200.89-14107-115804-831
when playing against a team with a losing record7-4-0.1106-64-9.8838-780-156.85-580-80743-803

CINCINNATI team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games16-31-11.4152-218-31.71650-1808-112.421-24191-1621637-1640
when the total is 9 to 9.55-17-11.669-91-11.7625-663-40.210-1175-75592-602
as a home underdog of +125 to +1751-6-4.719-37-10100-171-29.33-431-21130-122
at home when the money line is +125 to -1255-9-4.150-50+0.7424-436-237-647-51423-394
in home games7-17-10.284-102-13.7863-866-116.311-1297-81850-786
at home when the total is 9 to 9.53-14-11.450-54-2.1366-365-51.17-947-49341-333
in May games9-9+2.230-44-9.8299-311-12.47-939-30293-286
when playing on Sunday2-5-2.224-35-5.3250-301-51.65-230-26258-256
against division opponents4-17-12.474-99-3.3795-822-5.78-1293-71774-750
in day games6-12-4.558-74-1.7582-626-25.68-969-58570-567
against right-handed starters11-22-8124-160-9.91210-1310-59.414-18149-1231199-1185
after allowing 10 runs or more1-3-1.822-21+8.2148-151+142-122-17150-135
after getting shut out0-5-5.46-17-9.587-101-8.33-210-1283-91
after a loss10-21-9.586-131-21.1860-930-20.117-12116-91872-833
when playing against a team with a winning record7-15-7.570-123-27.9720-929-66.111-10106-78774-787
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
CHICAGO CUBS - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/6/2018LESTER(L)@ ST LOUISWACHA(R)3-4L-1108.5 ovU98010111
5/7/2018HENDRICKS(R)MIAMIGARCIA(L)14-2W-2307.5 ovO1560620
5/8/2018TSENG(R)MIAMIURENA(R)4-3W-2309 evU860650
5/9/2018QUINTANA(L)MIAMICHEN(L)13-4W-23511 ovO1780870
5/11/2018CHATWOOD(R)CHI WHITE SOXFULMER(R)11-2W-2358 unO15130572
5/12/2018LESTER(L)CHI WHITE SOXSHIELDS(R)8-4W-2507.5 evO991880
5/13/2018HENDRICKS(R)CHI WHITE SOXGIOLITO(R)3-5L-2558.5 evU371730
5/14/2018QUINTANA(L)ATLANTATEHERAN(R)5-6L-1508.5 ovO8619120
5/15/2018DARVISH(R)@ ATLANTAFOLTYNEWICZ(R)3-2W-1209 unU682541
5/16/2018CHATWOOD(R)@ ATLANTAMCCARTHY(R)1-4L-1059.5 ovU880770
5/18/2018LESTER(L)@ CINCINNATIBAILEY(R)8-1W-1659.5 unU15140231
5/19/2018HENDRICKS(R)@ CINCINNATICASTILLO(R)4-5L-1209 evP121418100
5/19/2018QUINTANA(L)@ CINCINNATIROMANO(R)10-0W-1609 evO1190350
5/20/2018DARVISH(R)@ CINCINNATIMAHLE(R) 
5/22/2018CHATWOOD(R)CLEVELANDTOMLIN(R) 
5/23/2018LESTER(L)CLEVELANDBAUER(R) 
5/25/2018HENDRICKS(R)SAN FRANCISCOHOLLAND(L) 
5/26/2018 SAN FRANCISCO  
5/27/2018 SAN FRANCISCO  

CINCINNATI - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
5/6/2018FINNEGAN(L)MIAMISTRAILY(R)5-8L-1359.5 ovO910210122
5/7/2018BAILEY(R)NY METSCONLON(L)6-7L-1059.5 evO8401370
5/8/2018CASTILLO(R)NY METSVARGAS(L)7-2W-1309.5 unU1280671
5/9/2018ROMANO(R)NY METSWHEELER(R)2-1W-10510 unU560450
5/10/2018MAHLE(R)@ LA DODGERSBUEHLER(R)4-1W1557.5 evU961481
5/11/2018HARVEY(R)@ LA DODGERSMAEDA(R)6-2W1828.5 unU10100550
5/12/2018BAILEY(R)@ LA DODGERSSTRIPLING(R)5-3W1658.5 evU139012111
5/13/2018CASTILLO(R)@ LA DODGERSHILL(L)5-3W1407.5 evO9112522
5/14/2018ROMANO(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOSTRATTON(R)7-10L1258 ovO136214101
5/15/2018MAHLE(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOBLACH(L)3-5L1208 unP7501171
5/16/2018HARVEY(R)@ SAN FRANCISCOSUAREZ(L)6-3W1358 evO9401290
5/18/2018BAILEY(R)CHICAGO CUBSLESTER(L)1-8L+1559.5 unU23115140
5/19/2018CASTILLO(R)CHICAGO CUBSHENDRICKS(R)5-4W+1109 evP810012141
5/19/2018ROMANO(R)CHICAGO CUBSQUINTANA(L)0-10L+1509 evO3501190
5/20/2018MAHLE(R)CHICAGO CUBSDARVISH(R) 
5/22/2018HARVEY(R)PITTSBURGHTAILLON(R) 
5/23/2018BAILEY(R)PITTSBURGHKUHL(R) 
5/24/2018CASTILLO(R)PITTSBURGHNOVA(R) 
5/25/2018ROMANO(R)@ COLORADOGRAY(R) 
5/26/2018 @ COLORADO  
5/27/2018 @ COLORADO  
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CHICAGO CUBS - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games24-19-4.519-235.40.2580.3310.4140.7453.80.2190.3100.3540.664
Road Games11-11-3.18-135.20.2560.3300.4040.7343.50.2150.3130.3360.649
vs Right-handed Starters17-15-4.114-174.90.2540.3290.4020.7313.60.2130.3060.3560.662
Past 7 Games3-4-3.32-44.90.2550.3630.3810.7443.30.1880.2950.3300.625
Grass Games24-19-4.519-235.40.2580.3310.4140.7453.80.2190.3100.3540.664
Day Games12-10-5.211-105.10.2550.3330.4220.7564.50.2270.3210.3740.695
Division11-9-0.77-124.60.2610.3290.4010.7303.00.1870.2810.3040.585
CHICAGO CUBS - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games5.40.2580.3314315303958015430.4142191663611434328333722
Road Games5.20.2560.33022840215488200.40410693210519817162512
Righty Starters4.90.2540.3293211202855311300.4021511252631125821253016
CHICAGO CUBS - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games2.671.200161.7544811312811619-611473.3%
Road Games2.141.20088.3232160346944-64357.1%

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games16-31-11.421-244.00.2400.3140.3700.6845.20.2650.3370.4410.778
Home Games7-17-10.211-123.80.2240.3100.3640.6745.60.2640.3390.4430.783
vs Right-handed Starters11-22-814-184.10.2500.3220.3710.6945.30.2600.3360.4390.775
Past 7 Games3-4-0.14-13.90.2200.2930.3790.6726.10.3070.3800.4710.851
Grass Games16-31-11.421-244.00.2400.3140.3700.6845.20.2650.3370.4410.778
Day Games6-12-4.48-93.20.2090.2880.3350.6234.50.2550.3310.4390.770
Division4-17-12.58-122.80.2050.2930.2840.5775.60.2820.3670.4630.830
CINCINNATI - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.00.2400.314471593383734420.3701841713871834844313824
Home Games3.80.2240.31024791177352240.3648999210817421152116
Righty Starters4.10.2500.322331142286513270.3711331212811626328232420
CINCINNATI - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.131.354185.3898517118801847-89469.2%
Home Games5.021.484955353971144943-43442.9%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
YU DARVISH recent results and season statistics
YU DARVISH - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts5.561.5290-37344.9232134718424-3-1.42-5
Road Starts5.681.2630-14194.712121539223-1+1.81-3
Last 3 Starts3.771.3960-1314.34.8861347212-1-0.11-2
YU DARVISH - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/15/2018at ATLANTA3-2-1209Win,Under 4113125FOLTYNEWICZ(R)
5/2/2018COLORADO2-11-21510.5Loss,OverL4.3657338ANDERSON(L)
4/27/2018MILWAUKEE3-2-1707.5Win,Under 6103028SUTER(L)

TYLER MAHLE recent results and season statistics
TYLER MAHLE - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts4.341.3433-5947.75.32423481016464-5+0.42-6
Home Starts4.240.9431-2423.35.811111864272-2+0.11-3
Last 3 Starts4.401.3961-2314.34.887153581-2-0.70-2
TYLER MAHLE - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
5/15/2018at SAN FRANCISCO3-5+1208LossL3.3447112BLACH(L)
5/10/2018at LA DODGERS4-1+1557.5Win,UnderW5103042BUEHLER(R)
5/5/2018MIAMI0-6-1258.5Loss,UnderL6335204SMITH(L)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO CUBS is 29-13 (+6.3 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
28 of 39 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+16.5 Units)
Games this season
CINCINNATI is 2-2 (+0.4 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

All games at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO CUBS is 15-8 (+3.0 Units) against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
14 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.7 Units)
Games played at CINCINNATI this season.
CINCINNATI is 2-2 (+0.4 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

 Team StatsStarting Pitcher Stats
DateTeamsScoreLineTotalResultHHRSBLOBERRStarterW/LIPERHBB
5/19/2018CHICAGO CUBS4-120  1211141HENDRICKS(R) 5362
 CINCINNATI5+1109 evWin802100CASTILLO(R) 5165
5/19/2018CHICAGO CUBS10-160  111090QUINTANA(L)W7014
 CINCINNATI0+1509 evOver30050ROMANO(R)L5766
5/18/2018CHICAGO CUBS8-165  1501140LESTER(L)W6121
 CINCINNATI1+1559.5 unUnder21031BAILEY(R)L4.76105
4/2/2018CHICAGO CUBS0-140 Under20061CHATWOOD(R)L6146
 CINCINNATI1+1308.5 ovWin500100MAHLE(R)W6012
Pitcher Versus Team Past History
YU DARVISH vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
DARVISH is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.13 and a WHIP of 1.342.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)
YU DARVISH recent starts vs. CINCINNATI
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
8/24/2016at CINCINNATI6-5-2108.5Win,Over 6534055ADLEMAN(R)
6/30/2013CINCINNATI3-2-1458Win,UnderW6.7004048LATOS(R)

TYLER MAHLE vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
MAHLE is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.500.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)
TYLER MAHLE recent starts vs. CHICAGO CUBS
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/2/2018CHICAGO CUBS1-0+1308.5Win,UnderW6001027CHATWOOD(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (1512-1387, +2.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CHICAGO CUBS games 52.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (184-169, +6.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (1452-1432, -121.9 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48.3% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (159-170, -32.4 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (1325-1251, -113.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CHICAGO CUBS games 52.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (187-167, -4.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 51.6% of the time since 1997. (1200-1126, -84.3 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 49.2% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (159-164, -25.7 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CHICAGO CUBS
[P] 04/21/2018 - Eddie Butler 10-day DL (04/20) ( Groin )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Drew Smyly 60-day DL (02/16) ( Elbow )
CINCINNATI
[C] 05/19/2018 - Tucker Barnhart is OUT Saturday vs Chicago Cubs ( Rest )
[CF] 05/19/2018 - Billy Hamilton is not in the starting lineup Saturday vs Chicago Cubs ( Rest )
[P] 03/30/2018 - Michael Lorenzen 10-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Rookie Davis 60-day DL (03/02) ( Hip )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Anthony DeSclafani 60-day DL (03/29) ( Oblique )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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