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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 8:10 PM
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TAMPA BAY (47-44) AT MINNESOTA (40-49) 
 Starting Pitchers
TeamsLineW-LOv/Un/PRF/RAStartersRECERAWHIP
965: TAMPA BAY
966: MINNESOTA
8.0
-101
47-44
40-49
37-51-3
42-44-3
4.0 / 3.8
4.3 / 4.6
(L) B SNELL
(R) K GIBSON
12-4
3-6
2.10
3.59
1.03
1.27
Current Weather Conditions 
Conditions: Mostly Cloudy   Temperature: 55.0 °
Humidity: 49   Wind: West at 9.2 MPH (8 KT)
 
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Line
TeamPitcherEstimateEdge
TAMPA BAYSNELL-134 
MINNESOTAGIBSON +134 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
TAMPA BAY team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games47-44+9.4195-219-251560-1798-133.937-51192-2081519-1691
when the total is 8 to 8.516-23-6.883-94-12.1440-453-1315-2289-84411-454
on the road when the money line is +125 to -12513-7+6.455-57-2.9308-356-49.310-1060-44312-314
in road games22-27-1.392-119-16.6708-976-105.420-29101-100788-816
on the road when the total is 8 to 8.57-13-5.437-49-7.2206-252-9.88-1243-42221-225
in July games6-3+2.627-32-7.5245-280-15.13-620-36219-278
when playing on Thursday4-5+0.320-20+2.2180-208-9.16-319-21173-196
when playing with a day off3-9-5.519-29-11147-207-43.34-722-24165-174
in night games27-24+5.3121-141-22.11019-1194-108.619-30124-1301020-1095
against right-handed starters29-31+0.7140-151-161120-1280-82.727-31135-1471081-1218
when playing against a team with a losing record21-11+7.491-80-2.1693-702-57.215-1782-84624-706
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season5-3+1.333-33-7.3342-309-33-526-38282-332

MINNESOTA team trends
 Win/Loss recordOver/Under
 Current YearLast 3 YearsSince 1997  CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LUnitsW-LUnitsW-LUnitsO-UO-UO-U
in all games40-49-10.8184-230-30.51696-1822-47.342-44211-1831610-1730
when the total is 8 to 8.516-16+1.160-77-11.1497-552-35.114-1772-61514-497
at home when the money line is +125 to -1257-12-646-70-26.8435-449-22.511-765-44415-426
in home games24-20+1.195-111-24904-855-47.919-23109-88822-849
at home when the total is 8 to 8.510-5+5.331-33-2.8267-257-16.76-936-26266-244
in July games5-5-0.630-31+0.4286-275+275-529-28250-279
when playing on Thursday5-7-2.126-31-5.2192-237-48.74-722-31204-202
when playing with a day off5-8-4.224-35-11.2211-200+14.78-535-22198-197
in night games22-29-8.5119-139-10.61128-1177-426-24135-1101072-1119
against left-handed starters10-15-557-63+3.3489-551-3610-1460-53479-522
when playing against a team with a winning record20-29-4.681-122-16.3714-937-79.725-23101-94756-817
when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season0-2-231-54-12351-499-71.10-239-41374-427
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
TAMPA BAY - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/28/2018STANEK(R)HOUSTONMCCULLERS JR.(R)0-1L+1407.5 evU670891
6/29/2018FONT(R)HOUSTONCOLE(R)3-2W+1657 evU580332
6/30/2018STANEK(R)HOUSTONVERLANDER(R)5-2W+1557 unP1071550
7/1/2018SNELL(L)HOUSTONMORTON(R)3-2W+1357 unU871550
7/2/2018EOVALDI(R)@ MIAMICHEN(L)2-3L-1307.5 unU66012101
7/3/2018YARBROUGH(L)@ MIAMIRICHARDS(R)9-6W1007.5 evO2013115141
7/4/2018ANDRIESE(R)@ MIAMIURENA(R)0-3L-1407.5 unU440670
7/6/2018STANEK(R)@ NY METSDEGROM(R)1-5L1507 unU572670
7/7/2018SNELL(L)@ NY METSMATZ(L)3-0W-1357 ovU9110770
7/8/2018EOVALDI(R)@ NY METSFLEXEN(R)9-0W-1158 ovO990220
7/9/2018ARCHER(R)DETROITLIRIANO(L)10-9W-2107.5 unO1710213110
7/10/2018STANEK(R)DETROITBOYD(L)5-2W-1807.5 unU650540
7/11/2018WOOD(R)DETROITZIMMERMANN(R) 
7/12/2018SNELL(L)@ MINNESOTAGIBSON(R) 
7/13/2018EOVALDI(R)@ MINNESOTAODORIZZI(R) 
7/14/2018ARCHER(R)@ MINNESOTABERRIOS(R) 
7/15/2018ANDRIESE(R)@ MINNESOTASLEGERS(R) 

MINNESOTA - Schedule
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateTeam StarterOpponentOpp StarterScoreW/LLineTot.O/UHLOBEHLOBE
6/28/2018ODORIZZI(R)@ CHI WHITE SOXGIOLITO(R)2-1W-1159.5 ovU713010131
6/29/2018BERRIOS(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSMONTGOMERY(L)6-10L1259.5 evO10901282
6/30/2018MEJIA(L)@ CHICAGO CUBSCHATWOOD(R)9-14L12510.5 evO117020110
7/1/2018LYNN(R)@ CHICAGO CUBSLESTER(L)10-11L17012 unO1611114101
7/2/2018GIBSON(R)@ MILWAUKEESUTER(L)5-6L1258 unO115214122
7/3/2018ODORIZZI(R)@ MILWAUKEEGUERRA(R)0-2L1408.5 ovU281461
7/4/2018BERRIOS(R)@ MILWAUKEEANDERSON(R)2-3L1058.5 evU641640
7/5/2018SLEGERS(R)BALTIMORECASHNER(R)5-2W-13510 unU970551
7/6/2018LYNN(R)BALTIMOREBUNDY(R)6-2W-1358.5 ovU115111101
7/7/2018GIBSON(R)BALTIMOREGAUSMAN(R)5-4W-1408.5 ovO850761
7/8/2018ODORIZZI(R)BALTIMORECOBB(R)10-1W-14010 evO1140761
7/9/2018BERRIOS(R)KANSAS CITYDUFFY(L)3-1W-2058.5 ovU11120770
7/10/2018SLEGERS(R)KANSAS CITYKENNEDY(R)4-9L-16510 evO9601591
7/11/2018LYNN(R)KANSAS CITYSMITH(R) 
7/12/2018GIBSON(R)TAMPA BAYSNELL(L) 
7/13/2018ODORIZZI(R)TAMPA BAYEOVALDI(R) 
7/14/2018BERRIOS(R)TAMPA BAYARCHER(R) 
7/15/2018SLEGERS(R)TAMPA BAYANDRIESE(R) 
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
TAMPA BAY - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games47-44+9.437-514.00.2510.3160.3810.6973.80.2230.2900.3550.645
Road Games22-27-1.320-293.80.2450.3060.3800.6864.30.2370.3060.3820.688
vs Right-handed Starters29-31+0.627-313.90.2500.3140.3780.6924.20.2270.2930.3700.663
Past 7 Games5-2+2.63-45.30.2650.3420.4200.7633.60.2140.2850.2860.571
Grass Games22-27-1.320-293.80.2450.3060.3800.6864.30.2370.3060.3820.688
Night Games27-24+5.319-304.20.2540.3170.3850.7023.50.2210.2800.3480.628
TAMPA BAY - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.00.2510.31691309677613219780.3813382948045564699497734
Road Games3.80.2450.3064917214217210470.3801771534552633957304123
Righty Starters3.90.2500.3146020505138614490.3782171925334242564354528
TAMPA BAY - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games3.501.1974161761623544114437022-22271171.1%
Road Games4.251.30821411010120324771949-1414766.7%

MINNESOTA - Current Season Performance
 Team RecordsTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsO-URunsAvgOBPSLGOPSRunsAvgOBPSLGOPS
All Games40-49-10.842-444.30.2400.3080.3880.6964.60.2560.3220.4090.731
Home Games24-20+1.119-234.30.2510.3210.4080.7294.20.2470.3110.3820.693
vs Left-handed Starters10-15-510-143.70.2310.2970.3510.6484.30.2560.3140.3960.711
Past 7 Games5-2+2.43-45.00.2750.3210.4360.7583.10.2460.2940.4070.700
Grass Games40-46-7.839-444.30.2400.3080.3870.6954.40.2530.3190.4040.723
Night Games22-29-8.526-244.20.2390.3060.3830.6894.80.2600.3230.4180.741
MINNESOTA - Team Hitting and Fielding Statistics
Team BattingTeam BattingTeam Fielding
 RunsAVGOBPGABH2B3BHRSLGRBIBBSOSBLOBGIDPERRDPOSB
All Games4.30.2400.30889304273017012850.3883632997432959062467044
Home Games4.30.2510.321441432359898400.4081801483481328234203518
Lefty Starters3.70.2310.29725841194394180.3518879227416313172212
MINNESOTA - Bullpen Pitching Statistics
 ERAWHIPIPRERHHRBBSOW-LSVBSVPct.
All Games4.431.381318.71661573374810333014-18201655.6%
Home Games4.191.309156.7767315820471496-713668.4%
Starting Pitcher Season to Date Performance
BLAKE SNELL recent results and season statistics
BLAKE SNELL - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts2.101.02612-4191166.1292775124413212-7+6.89-10
Road Starts3.081.1506-31164.35.8232243831816-5+2.74-7
Last 3 Starts0.420.8773-0321.77.2111118293-0+3.41-2
BLAKE SNELL - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/7/2018at NY METS3-0-1357Win,UnderW7.3006039MATZ(L)
7/1/2018HOUSTON3-2+1357Win,UnderW7.31141110MORTON(R)
6/25/2018WASHINGTON11-0-1157Win,OverW70010410GONZALEZ(L)

KYLE GIBSON recent results and season statistics
KYLE GIBSON - Season Statistics in Games Started
 Starter StatisticsTeam Records
 ERAWHIPW-LGIPIP/SRERHHRBBSOW-LUnitsO-U
All Starts3.591.2733-618107.76.045439112461058-10-2.59-9
Home Starts4.441.4611-4950.75.6262551923474-5-26-3
Last 3 Starts5.211.5791-13196.312112337191-2-1.42-1
KYLE GIBSON - Recent Starts
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
7/7/2018BALTIMORE5-4-1408.5Win,OverW7334149GAUSMAN(R)
7/2/2018at MILWAUKEE5-6+1258Loss,Over 5438123SUTER(L)
6/27/2018at CHI WHITE SOX1-6-1409Loss,UnderL75511117SHIELDS(R)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
Games over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 11-5 (+4.5 Units) against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
12 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.6 Units)
Games this season
TAMPA BAY is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

All games at MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 5-2 (+2.7 Units) against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)
Games played at MINNESOTA this season.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Pitcher Versus Team Past History
BLAKE SNELL vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SNELL is 1-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.102.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)
BLAKE SNELL recent starts vs. MINNESOTA
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/21/2018MINNESOTA10-1-1207.5Win,OverW7115006GIBSON(R)
9/6/2017MINNESOTA6-10-1708.5Loss,Over 4667207SLEGERS(R)
8/5/2016MINNESOTA2-6-1257.5Loss,Over 5.3114027SANTANA(R)

KYLE GIBSON vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
GIBSON is 1-5 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 6.81 and a WHIP of 1.757.
His team's record is 1-6 (-4.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-6. (-5.8 units)
KYLE GIBSON recent starts vs. TAMPA BAY
DateOpponentScoreLine TotalResultDecIPRERHHRBBSOOpp Starter
4/21/2018at TAMPA BAY1-10+1107.5Loss,OverL6.3445117SNELL(L)
5/28/2017TAMPA BAY6-8-1059.5Loss,Over 5.3325044COBB(R)
8/7/2016at TAMPA BAY6-3+1158Win,OverW5226142ANDRIESE(R)
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring TAMPA BAY in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 54.4% of the time since 1997. (1502-1260, +93.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TAMPA BAY games 50% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (185-185, -19.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (1398-1437, -218.6 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 47.8% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (165-180, -34.2 units)
No Edge.
 
The betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game.
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 52.4% of the time since 1997. (1185-1076, -35.2 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in TAMPA BAY games 50% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (189-189, -24.4 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 50.1% of the time since 1997. (1197-1191, -150.8 units)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 49.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (184-185, -22.0 units)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
TAMPA BAY
[CF] 07/11/2018 - Mallex Smith is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Wednesday vs Detroit Tigers ( Leg )
[SS] 07/11/2018 - Adeiny Hechavarria is not in the starting lineup Wednesday vs Detroit Tigers ( Rest )
[CF] 07/11/2018 - Carlos Gomez is not in the starting lineup Wednesday vs Detroit Tigers ( Rest )
[P] 07/11/2018 - Jose Alvarado is out indefinitely ( Personal )
[C] 07/11/2018 - Wilson Ramos is not in the starting lineup Wednesday vs Detroit Tigers ( Rest )
[P] 07/08/2018 - Chaz Roe 10-day DL (07/08) ( Knee )
[P] 07/04/2018 - Vidal Nuno 10-day DL (07/04) ( Hamstring )
[P] 06/30/2018 - Wilmer Font 60-day DL (06/30) ( Side )
[P] 06/26/2018 - Jonny Venters 10-day DL (06/25) ( Rest )
[3B] 06/18/2018 - Christian Arroyo 10-day DL (06/17) ( Oblique )
[P] 05/23/2018 - Jake Faria 60-day DL (05/23) ( Side )
[P] 04/11/2018 - Jose De Leon 60-day DL (03/28) ( Elbow )
MINNESOTA
[P] 07/11/2018 - Addison Reed 10-day DL (07/11) ( Triceps )
[SS] 07/03/2018 - Ehire Adrianza 10-day DL (07/03) ( Hamstring )
[SS] 06/29/2018 - Taylor Motter 7-day DL (06/29) ( Concussion )
[C] 06/10/2018 - Jason Castro is out for season ( Knee )
[CF] 05/31/2018 - Byron Buxton 10-day DL (05/30) ( Toe )
[P] 05/06/2018 - Ervin Santana 60-day DL (03/29) ( Finger )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Michael Pineda 60-day DL (03/26) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/26/2018 - Trevor May 60-day DL (03/26) ( Elbow )
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