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Matchup Reports

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ATLANTA (12-5) AT MIAMI (13-5) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
705: ATLANTA
706: MIAMI
195.5
-7.0
97.2 / 93.6
103.8 / 100.0
12-5
13-5
7-9
8-10
8-8
11-7
45.6%
49.3%
69.6%
76.1%
37.5%
41.8%
43.3%
44.5%
81.5%
74.9%
35.9%
36.1%
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
ATLANTA  
MIAMI-4 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ATLANTA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games7-989-91645-6738-882-100655-64312-5104-79605-729
as an underdog4-343-39361-4051-530-51370-3884-332-50221-551
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points2-113-1272-830-29-1561-942-16-1929-127
in road games5-249-39314-3432-438-51309-3395-244-46216-448
in a road game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points1-13-443-340-14-237-401-12-527-51
in December games2-011-1293-1072-18-1694-1043-016-892-111
first half of the season7-924-31206-2228-822-33201-21912-536-20202-237
vs. division opponents1-425-15191-1863-314-28174-1945-129-13187-200
after a non-conference game3-428-26213-2142-524-31206-2207-137-19188-249
revenging a home loss vs opponent1-118-11119-1480-214-16120-1431-110-2076-198
revenging a loss vs opponent4-338-40341-3623-435-44349-3484-336-43279-440
off an upset win as an underdog0-316-15100-1150-313-18103-1072-116-1596-123
after allowing 85 points or less0-115-19102-1281-015-20109-1161-021-14116-123
after a win by 10 points or more1-218-25118-1381-219-24126-1293-027-16148-119
after 3 or more consecutive wins2-211-1771-743-113-1575-713-113-1582-74
when playing against a team with a winning record3-345-48316-3412-434-59306-3404-237-56246-425
versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game2-427-26179-1772-424-30188-1683-334-20193-173
versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game3-225-29170-1812-322-32174-1793-221-33136-221

MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996CurrentLast 3   Since 1996
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games8-10105-102691-70411-7102-105654-73213-5147-63808-614
as a favorite7-1094-88423-42911-689-92411-43112-5136-48628-240
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points2-119-1890-942-121-1587-913-027-10141-46
in home games5-554-52341-3638-254-53334-3659-187-21478-240
in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points0-310-1043-403-012-845-392-117-362-22
in December games2-214-9115-943-110-1397-1112-221-3131-84
first half of the season8-1025-30213-22711-728-27202-23313-542-14248-201
vs. division opponents1-116-16170-1801-113-18147-1951-123-9211-148
after a non-conference game5-330-33223-2164-431-32221-2177-142-23252-199
after 3 or more consecutive overs1-08-1274-660-110-1160-801-010-1180-63
after a win by 10 points or more2-242-39188-2021-333-46169-2182-259-23241-158
after scoring 105 points or more3-432-34132-1324-326-38114-1495-244-22174-97
when playing against a team with a winning record2-560-58353-3734-358-61330-3964-374-47351-396
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ATLANTA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games12-5+6.87-98-897.249.645.6%48.993.647.543.3%51.2
Road Games5-2+6.95-22-495.648.947.5%47.690.449.342.9%48.6
Last 5 Games4-1+1.52-23-2102.052.044.9%51.297.248.044.9%49.4
Division Games5-1+41-43-395.048.544.1%52.590.743.841.9%53.5
ATLANTA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)97.249.638-8245.6%8-2237.5%14-2069.6%491123189145
vs opponents surrendering98.449.437-8244.5%8-2135.9%18-2375.1%521222208156
Team Stats (Road Games)95.648.937-7847.5%8-2139.3%14-2067.6%48922179166
Stats Against (All Games)93.647.535-8043.3%7-2035.9%17-2081.5%511120219175
vs opponents averaging97.648.337-8344.3%7-2035.0%17-2375.6%511221218155
Stats Against (Road Games)90.449.334-7942.9%7-1934.6%16-2080.6%4910202010175

MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-5-3.98-1011-7103.852.649.3%47.7100.051.944.5%49.6
Home Games9-1+25-58-2109.454.951.2%46.6100.052.044.6%50.5
Last 5 Games3-2-8.52-34-1101.253.649.0%44.899.252.645.4%50.6
Division Games1-1-4.51-11-198.048.047.3%49.097.053.045.0%47.5
MIAMI Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)103.852.639-7949.3%8-2041.8%18-2376.1%48823208145
vs opponents surrendering97.649.137-8145.3%7-1937.5%17-2275.5%511122208155
Team Stats (Home Games)109.454.940-7951.2%8-1945.2%20-2579.1%47724209135
Stats Against (All Games)100.051.937-8344.5%9-2536.1%17-2274.9%501121207144
vs opponents averaging98.550.237-8344.8%8-2135.6%16-2274.6%511222208145
Stats Against (Home Games)100.052.038-8544.6%8-2631.9%16-2272.1%501119217143
Average power rating of opponents played: ATLANTA 94.5,  MIAMI 96.4
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ATLANTA - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
11/2/2012HOUSTON102-109L-5L203O40-8547.1%371338-9042.2%6621
11/4/2012@ OKLAHOMA CITY104-95W9W199P41-8349.4%441033-7146.5%4420
11/7/2012INDIANA89-86W-4L191.5U38-8743.7%601735-8541.2%4615
11/9/2012MIAMI89-95L4L197.5U34-8142.0%451337-7648.7%4714
11/11/2012@ LA CLIPPERS76-89L6.5L195.5U30-7241.7%502238-8246.3%4513
11/12/2012@ PORTLAND95-87W2.5W193.5U35-7944.3%491630-8336.1%5720
11/14/2012@ GOLDEN STATE88-92L1L192.5U34-7843.6%351233-7146.5%5623
11/16/2012@ SACRAMENTO112-96W-2W188.5O42-7655.3%471539-8545.9%4414
11/19/2012ORLANDO81-72W-10.5L186U34-8938.2%561331-8237.8%6119
11/21/2012WASHINGTON101-100W-9.5L185.5O40-9243.5%521338-8942.7%6720
11/23/2012@ CHARLOTTE101-91W-3.5W190.5O42-7853.8%522131-8337.3%4913
11/24/2012LA CLIPPERS104-93W2W188O38-7550.7%481832-7542.7%4114
11/28/2012CHARLOTTE94-91W-9.5L193U36-9040.0%52930-7639.5%5716
11/30/2012CLEVELAND111-113L-8.5L189.5O38-7848.7%381241-8548.2%5618
12/5/2012DENVER108-104W-2W199O42-9544.2%521438-7948.1%4920
12/7/2012WASHINGTON104-95W-9T192O41-8548.2%581436-7945.6%4011
12/8/2012@ MEMPHIS93-83W7.5W188.5U34-7744.2%561433-7742.9%4516
12/10/2012@ MIAMI              
12/12/2012@ ORLANDO              
12/13/2012CHARLOTTE              
12/15/2012GOLDEN STATE              
12/18/2012@ WASHINGTON              
12/19/2012OKLAHOMA CITY              
12/21/2012@ PHILADELPHIA              
12/22/2012CHICAGO              
12/26/2012DETROIT              

MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/UShotsPctREBTOShotsPctREBTO
11/2/2012@ NEW YORK84-104L-6L199U33-7146.5%462136-8442.9%4412
11/3/2012DENVER119-116W-8.5L199O43-8351.8%37849-9551.6%6013
11/5/2012PHOENIX124-99W-13W203O47-8654.7%541535-8839.8%4911
11/7/2012BROOKLYN103-73W-10.5W208U40-7751.9%461230-8037.5%5119
11/9/2012@ ATLANTA95-89W-4W197.5U37-7648.7%471434-8142.0%4513
11/11/2012@ MEMPHIS86-104L-1.5L194.5U30-7938.0%621338-8644.2%5114
11/12/2012@ HOUSTON113-110W-5.5L194.5O45-8950.6%541136-8045.0%4811
11/14/2012@ LA CLIPPERS100-107L-1L197.5O35-7745.5%461935-7248.6%4618
11/15/2012@ DENVER98-93W3.5W202.5U36-7746.8%421137-8842.0%5913
11/17/2012@ PHOENIX97-88W-6.5W202U38-7153.5%451934-7943.0%4516
11/21/2012MILWAUKEE113-106W-9.5L203.5O41-8647.7%651546-10942.2%5611
11/24/2012CLEVELAND110-108W-15L197.5O36-6952.2%511835-7944.3%4310
11/29/2012SAN ANTONIO105-100W-13L201.5O42-8648.8%421036-8045.0%5519
12/1/2012BROOKLYN102-89W-8W192.5U40-7851.3%381033-7544.0%5618
12/4/2012@ WASHINGTON101-105L-10L194.5O41-8946.1%511238-7948.1%5010
12/6/2012NEW YORK92-112L-9.5L199O32-7642.1%511441-9145.1%567
12/8/2012NEW ORLEANS106-90W-14.5W194O40-6958.0%421635-7844.9%3617
12/10/2012ATLANTA              
12/12/2012GOLDEN STATE              
12/15/2012WASHINGTON              
12/18/2012MINNESOTA              
12/20/2012@ DALLAS              
12/22/2012UTAH              
12/25/2012OKLAHOMA CITY              
12/26/2012@ CHARLOTTE              
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1996
MIAMI is 43-25 against the spread versus ATLANTA since 1996
MIAMI is 46-23 straight up against ATLANTA since 1996
38 of 67 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MIAMI since 1996
MIAMI is 23-11 against the spread versus ATLANTA since 1996
MIAMI is 28-6 straight up against ATLANTA since 1996
23 of 34 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996
Games played at MIAMI over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
11/09/2012MIAMI95-4SU ATS4237-7648.7%7-2231.8%14-1687.5%47814
 ATLANTA89197.5 Under4634-8142.0%9-2536.0%12-1675.0%45713
03/07/2012ATLANTA86188.5 ATS4535-7646.1%8-2334.8%8-988.9%43921
 MIAMI89-12SU Under4335-8043.7%0-100.0%19-2576.0%501314
02/12/2012MIAMI107-4SU ATS6338-8345.8%5-1241.7%26-3183.9%58139
 ATLANTA87189.5 Over4135-9038.9%11-2740.7%6-785.7%481213
01/05/2012MIAMI116186SU ATS5445-10244.1%8-2828.6%18-2378.3%651421
 ATLANTA109-4.5 Over4936-9438.3%6-2227.3%31-4667.4%701517
01/02/2012ATLANTA100193.5SU ATS4739-8247.6%9-1656.2%13-2065.0%471010
 MIAMI92-9.5 Under5034-7346.6%5-1338.5%19-2867.9%51916
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 50.4% of the time since 1996. (531-522)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ATLANTA games 43.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (62-82)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 49.1% of the time since 1996. (531-551)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 49.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (81-82)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 50% of the time since 1996. (577-577)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ATLANTA games 47% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (77-87)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 52.5% of the time since 1996. (632-572)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 49.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (94-95)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ATLANTA
[G/F] 12/09/2012 - Kyle Korver expected to miss Monday vs. Miami ( Back )
MIAMI
[F] 12/09/2012 - LeBron James probable Monday vs. Atlanta ( Groin )
[G] 12/09/2012 - Dwyane Wade probable Monday vs. Atlanta ( Ankle )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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