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Matchup Reports

MIAMI (1-3) AT CINCINNATI (3-1)
Sunday,  Oct 7 2012  at 1:00 PM
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 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
421: MIAMI
422: CINCINNATI
44.5
-4.5
21.5 / 22.5
28.0 / 28.0
1-3
3-1
2-1-1
2-1-1
3-1-0
3-1-0
153.3
110.0
243.8
279.3
397.0
389.3
55.5
133.5
299.0
232.0
354.5
365.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIAMI  
CINCINNATI-1 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points1-07-534-331-04-832-350-13-921-46
in all games2-119-15159-1683-114-22148-1851-314-22173-165
in weeks 5 through 90-05-346-400-01-741-460-03-545-43
in all lined games2-119-15159-1683-114-22148-1851-314-22173-165
as an underdog2-113-982-743-110-1371-901-37-1659-103
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points1-06-422-221-03-722-220-13-713-31
in road games1-113-587-751-15-1375-890-28-1073-94
in road lined games1-113-587-751-15-1375-890-28-1073-94
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points0-04-224-170-02-417-240-03-318-23
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points0-09-753-390-07-936-560-06-1048-45
against conference opponents1-113-12123-1262-112-15115-1371-211-16133-124
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-015-11118-1283-010-17106-1411-29-18128-122
against AFC North division opponents0-03-219-210-01-417-220-01-419-21
in games played on turf1-07-138-371-04-435-380-14-434-41
in October games0-04-440-370-02-637-410-02-640-39
after 2 or more consecutive losses0-04-431-350-01-731-380-02-631-39
when playing against a team with a winning record1-011-577-661-07-1063-820-17-1066-81

CINCINNATI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points0-02-317-251-05-224-201-05-229-15
in all games2-117-17147-1723-123-13164-1573-116-21124-202
in weeks 5 through 90-04-437-450-06-145-370-04-427-58
in all lined games2-117-17147-1723-123-13164-1573-116-21124-202
as a favorite0-05-642-491-09-446-471-08-561-34
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points0-02-312-141-05-115-121-04-217-10
in home games0-07-970-901-012-587-731-08-975-87
in home lined games0-07-970-901-012-587-731-08-975-87
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points0-02-118-170-02-116-200-01-218-18
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points1-15-653-591-15-649-651-12-942-72
against conference opponents1-112-14106-1392-118-9127-1162-111-1787-162
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-014-12124-1402-115-13134-1323-014-15106-166
against AFC East division opponents0-01-417-250-03-223-180-01-49-33
in games played on turf0-09-1184-971-015-794-871-010-1277-107
in October games0-04-430-450-07-143-340-04-423-55
after 2 or more consecutive wins1-05-321-250-15-225-211-04-421-26
when playing against a team with a losing record1-05-351-590-16-355-541-07-257-55
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games1-3-22-13-121.58.2397.0(5.7)2.522.59.2354.5(5.3)1.2
Road Games0-2-21-11-115.58.0377.5(6)4.027.012.0317.0(4.9)1.0
Last 3 Games1-2-12-03-025.310.0437.7(5.9)2.020.04.3360.3(5.3)1.7
MIAMI - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)21.58.220.732:0733-153(4.6)20-3655.9%244(6.8)69-397(5.7)(18.5)
Opponents Defensive Avg.21.97.920.231:0928-124(4.3)21-3559.9%229(6.5)64-353(5.5)(16.1)
Offense Road Games15.58.018.030:0824-82(3.4)23-3859.7%295(7.7)62-377(6)(24.4)
Defense (All Games)22.59.219.231:4424-55(2.3)23-4354.7%299(7)67-354(5.3)(15.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.81218.430:4927-88(3.3)20-3459.5%223(6.5)61-311(5.1)(13.6)
Defense Road Games27.012.019.033:0725-55(2.2)24-3962.0%261(6.6)64-317(4.9)(11.7)
MIAMI - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.51.02.5-1.215-743.5%1-040.0%3-67(24.5)3-47(14.5)6-51
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.80.91.81.714-641.5%1-057.1%3-66(24.1)33-3(11.1)8-65
Stats For (Road Games)2.51.54.0-3.013-430.8%2-025.0%3-89(25.4)2-42(21.2)5-59
Stats Against (All Games)1.20.01.2 15-429.0%1-1100.0%3-63(21.1)3-34(10.4)6-62
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.50.61.1 14-536.2%1-060.0%2-47(24.3)28-3(10.5)6-51
Stats Against (Road Games)1.00.01.0 16-533.3%1-1100.0%3-68(22.8)2-16(6.4)5-48

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-1+2.42-13-128.017.0389.2(6.4)1.728.011.0365.5(6.2)1.0
Home Games1-0+10-01-034.017.0375.0(6.7)1.027.010.0439.0(7.3)1.0
Last 3 Games3-0+3.42-02-133.019.3411.7(7)1.722.79.0344.0(5.7)1.3
Turf Games1-0+10-01-034.017.0375.0(6.7)1.027.010.0439.0(7.3)1.0
CINCINNATI - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)28.017.020.731:0229-110(3.8)21-3267.7%279(8.8)60-389(6.4)(13.9)
Opponents Defensive Avg.25.113.122.731:1929-113(3.9)24-3961.5%291(7.5)68-403(6)(16.1)
Offense Home Games34.017.021.032:5325-80(3.2)24-3177.4%295(9.5)56-375(6.7)(11)
Defense (All Games)28.011.023.728:5824-133(5.4)23-3467.9%232(6.8)59-365(6.2)(13.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.23.710.920.329:5925-118(4.7)21-3560.5%235(6.6)61-353(5.8)(14.9)
Defense Home Games27.010.021.027:0723-130(5.7)26-3770.3%309(8.4)60-439(7.3)(16.3)
CINCINNATI - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.00.71.7-0.712-327.7%1-166.7%2-57(23)3-41(13.8)6-56
Opponents Avg. Stats Against1.10.81.82.114-535.7%1-169.2%2-60(23.9)32-3(11.5)8-76
Stats For (Home Games)1.00.01.00.012-433.3%1-1100.0%4-103(25.7)3-90(30)6-54
Stats Against (All Games)0.20.71.0 12-431.9%0-050.0%4-106(26.4)1-7(7)6-62
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.80.41.2 13-429.2%1-036.4%3-76(24.2)23-2(9.5)8-72
Stats Against (Home Games)0.01.01.0 15-746.7%0-00.0%6-165(27.5)1-9(9)10-103
Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 20,  CINCINNATI 18
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/9/2012@ HOUSTON10-30L13L41.5U19-7920-36-196435-8320-31-2540
9/16/2012OAKLAND35-13W1.5W41O43-26318-30-189014-2324-48-3731
9/23/2012NY JETS20-23L3T40.5O43-18516-36-196233-8821-45-3002
9/30/2012@ ARIZONA21-24L4W39O29-8626-41-394415-2829-48-2692
10/7/2012@ CINCINNATI            
10/14/2012ST LOUIS            
10/28/2012@ NY JETS            
11/4/2012@ INDIANAPOLIS            

CINCINNATI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/10/2012@ BALTIMORE13-44L7L43O28-12922-37-193223-12223-32-3080
9/16/2012CLEVELAND34-27W-7T39.5O25-8024-31-295123-13026-37-3091
9/23/2012@ WASHINGTON38-31W3W49.5O28-9320-28-385234-21321-34-1681
9/30/2012@ JACKSONVILLE27-10W1.5W45.5U34-13820-31-244218-6923-34-1432
10/7/2012MIAMI            
10/14/2012@ CLEVELAND            
10/21/2012PITTSBURGH            
11/4/2012DENVER            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
MIAMI is 4-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992
MIAMI is 4-2 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at CINCINNATI since 1992
MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
10/31/2010MIAMI22-1SU ATS122033:2931-13724-37217114-42
 CINCINNATI1444 Under141626:3126-10617-38156014-36
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring MIAMI in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 49.4% of the time since 1992. (128-131)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 66.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-9)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 52.1% of the time since 1992. (122-112)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 54.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-11)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 54.3% of the time since 1992. (152-128)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 53.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-13)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 48.7% of the time since 1992. (129-136)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 44.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-16)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
[G] 09/06/2012 - Artis Hicks IR ( Neck )
[DT] 09/30/2012 - Tony McDaniel "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Knee )
[WR] 09/30/2012 - Marlon Moore "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Hamstring )
[LB] 09/30/2012 - Austin Spitler "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Groin )
CINCINNATI
[CB] 09/05/2012 - Shaun Prater IR ( Knee )
[CB] 09/05/2012 - Taveon Rogers IR ( Shoulder )
[G] 09/05/2012 - Travelle Wharton IR ( Knee )
[CB] 09/05/2012 - Brandon Ghee IR ( Wrist )
[S] 09/05/2012 - Robert Sands IR ( Undisclosed )
[C] 09/05/2012 - Kyle Cook out indefinitely ( Foot )
[CB] 09/30/2012 - Dre Kirkpatrick "?" Sunday vs. Miami ( Knee )
[LB] 09/14/2012 - Thomas Howard IR ( ACL )
[CB] 09/30/2012 - Leon Hall "?" Sunday vs. Miami ( Calf )
[CB] 09/30/2012 - Jason Allen "?" Sunday vs. Miami ( Thigh )
[RB] 09/30/2012 - Bernard Scott "?" Sunday vs. Miami ( Ankle )
[CB] 09/30/2012 - Nate Clements "?" Sunday vs. Miami ( Calf )
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