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Matchup Reports

ST LOUIS (5-6) AT BUFFALO (5-7)
Sunday,  Dec 9 2012  at 1:00 PM
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 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
121: ST LOUIS
122: BUFFALO
42.0
-3.0
18.4 / 22.3
23.1 / 28.1
5-6
5-7
8-4-0
6-6-0
7-5-0
7-5-0
115.2
148.3
212.5
198.5
327.7
346.8
113.0
139.2
227.7
229.3
340.7
368.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
ST LOUIS  
BUFFALO-2 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ST LOUIS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -33-011-941-451-26-1436-523-09-1138-52
in all games8-421-22126-1617-519-24149-1405-614-29126-167
in all lined games8-421-22126-1617-519-24149-1405-614-29126-167
as an underdog8-318-1767-906-516-1976-805-511-2442-117
as a road underdog of 3 points or less1-05-214-111-03-412-151-03-410-17
in road games4-110-1160-813-28-1371-721-34-1651-92
in road lined games4-110-1160-813-28-1371-721-34-1651-92
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points0-01-416-240-02-321-190-01-415-25
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points1-25-1261-893-08-879-700-34-1369-84
when playing with 6 or less days rest5-416-1798-1285-413-21117-1115-414-2097-135
against AFC East division opponents1-21-211-122-12-116-80-30-39-15
off a division game3-15-854-581-35-961-512-23-1150-63
in games played on turf6-214-1591-1065-314-15107-925-312-1897-106
in December games1-03-532-400-12-734-371-03-632-41
in non-conference games1-25-534-362-14-744-280-33-832-41
off a win against a division rival3-03-328-240-31-529-232-12-431-21
after 2 or more consecutive wins1-01-233-250-11-236-250-10-340-21
when playing against a team with a losing record2-19-855-532-18-955-541-27-1055-55
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season1-16-533-432-07-440-361-15-635-42
in the last 4 weeks of the regular season0-02-530-370-03-534-320-01-729-39

BUFFALO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -33-26-1060-612-39-1050-793-27-1262-68
in all games6-619-22167-1647-525-19170-1725-715-29164-180
in all lined games6-619-22167-1647-525-19170-1725-715-29164-180
as a favorite4-15-679-753-26-683-764-17-5107-53
as a home favorite of 3 points or less2-02-321-151-12-415-242-03-324-15
in home games3-28-1084-764-111-986-803-29-1196-71
in home lined games3-28-1084-764-111-986-803-29-1196-71
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points1-03-312-91-03-49-131-03-411-11
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points4-410-1241-414-411-1337-474-47-1733-52
when playing with 6 or less days rest6-316-17130-1326-321-15139-1355-413-23131-143
against NFC West division opponents1-11-118-71-11-120-61-11-118-8
in games played on turf5-413-16112-1146-319-12124-1104-512-19123-112
in December games1-04-540-421-04-543-421-04-537-48
in non-conference games1-13-445-331-15-544-401-14-646-38
when playing against a team with a losing record2-25-753-493-18-556-482-26-764-42
when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season2-04-434-241-14-533-272-05-434-26
in the last 4 weeks of the regular season0-03-536-410-04-440-400-03-534-46
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ST LOUIS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games5-6+0.78-47-518.49.1327.7(5.5)1.322.211.9340.7(5.4)1.2
Road Games1-4-34-24-217.59.5337.3(5.7)1.225.513.7347.3(5.5)1.3
Last 3 Games2-1+22-12-120.07.0313.7(5.2)1.319.012.3334.3(4.9)1.7
ST LOUIS - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)18.49.117.230:3227-115(4.3)20-3360.9%212(6.5)59-328(5.5)(17.8)
Opponents Defensive Avg.20.19.919.130:0726-110(4.1)21-3559.0%224(6.3)62-334(5.4)(16.6)
Offense Road Games17.59.517.831:3527-123(4.5)20-3263.2%214(6.8)59-337(5.7)(19.3)
Defense (All Games)22.211.921.031:5628-113(4)23-3565.9%228(6.6)63-341(5.4)(15.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.811.320.231:6029-124(4.3)21-3361.7%220(6.6)62-344(5.5)(15)
Defense Road Games25.513.723.030:5426-102(4)24-3764.1%245(6.6)63-347(5.5)(13.6)
ST LOUIS - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.80.51.3-0.213-432.5%1-155.6%2-49(21.1)2-16(6.6)8-63
Opponents Avg. Stats Against1.10.71.8214-537.0%1-054.1%3-64(23.9)18-2(8.6)6-53
Stats For (Road Games)0.80.31.20.212-430.7%1-162.5%2-48(19.3)3-13(4.6)10-78
Stats Against (All Games)1.00.21.2 13-538.5%1-045.5%2-47(24.6)3-27(10.3)6-51
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.80.61.4 13-537.1%1-048.8%2-58(24.1)24-2(9.6)7-57
Stats Against (Road Games)1.30.01.3 12-435.2%1-171.4%3-63(23.6)3-32(11.2)6-46

BUFFALO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games5-7-26-67-523.112.7346.7(5.8)2.028.112.5368.5(5.9)1.5
Home Games3-2+0.23-24-130.018.2364.8(6.1)2.027.29.0362.4(5.8)2.0
Last 3 Games2-1+12-11-222.014.0309.7(5.2)1.017.310.0244.0(4.1)2.3
Turf Games3-4-1.84-36-129.916.4385.0(6.3)2.431.613.7363.3(5.7)1.6
BUFFALO - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)23.112.719.230:2029-148(5.2)19-3161.0%198(6.4)60-347(5.8)(15)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.811.220.131:4628-115(4.2)21-3560.7%239(6.8)63-354(5.6)(15.5)
Offense Home Games30.018.218.831:4933-163(5)17-2762.0%201(7.4)60-365(6.1)(12.2)
Defense (All Games)28.112.522.729:5928-139(4.9)20-3458.6%229(6.7)63-368(5.9)(13.1)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.811.520.530:2429-119(4.2)21-3559.7%229(6.5)64-348(5.5)(15.3)
Defense Home Games27.29.023.228:1127-141(5.3)20-3655.0%222(6.2)63-362(5.8)(13.3)
BUFFALO - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.10.92.0-0.512-538.9%0-060.0%2-65(27.8)2-32(18.4)7-60
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.90.81.71.913-537.7%1-053.8%3-68(24)21-2(10)7-56
Stats For (Home Games)1.20.82.00.013-542.9%0-00.0%2-77(34.8)2-42(23.1)7-66
Stats Against (All Games)0.80.71.5 12-544.0%1-044.4%3-71(23.2)2-37(16)6-48
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.80.71.5 14-538.7%1-050.4%3-66(23.4)26-2(11.1)6-54
Stats Against (Home Games)0.81.22.0 12-437.3%1-020.0%4-91(25.3)2-25(12.7)4-42
Average power rating of opponents played: ST LOUIS 22.4,  BUFFALO 19.9
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
ST LOUIS - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/14/2012@ MIAMI14-17L5.5W37.5U27-16226-39-300118-1921-29-1730
10/21/2012GREEN BAY20-30L4L45O22-10821-34-246126-7030-37-3320
10/28/2012*NEW ENGLAND7-45L7L46O23-10723-32-219228-15224-38-3210
11/11/2012@ SAN FRANCISCO24-24T13.5W37.5O37-15928-41-299134-18318-25-1580
11/18/2012NY JETS13-27L-3.5L39O20-11423-44-167341-12416-21-1650
11/25/2012@ ARIZONA31-17W1.5W36O34-1738-18-194123-7431-52-3014
12/2/2012SAN FRANCISCO16-13W7.5W41U27-8526-39-208036-14821-32-1911
12/9/2012@ BUFFALO            
12/16/2012MINNESOTA            
12/23/2012@ TAMPA BAY            
12/30/2012@ SEATTLE            

BUFFALO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
10/14/2012@ ARIZONA19-16W5.5W44.5U33-16518-33-141230-18216-36-1502
10/21/2012TENNESSEE34-35L-4.5L46.5O24-16627-35-216227-19722-33-1930
11/4/2012@ HOUSTON9-21L11L48U16-7825-38-230132-11819-27-2560
11/11/2012@ NEW ENGLAND31-37L13.5W54O28-16227-40-319329-11723-38-2300
11/15/2012MIAMI19-14W-3W46U31-12017-27-161024-6014-28-1243
11/25/2012@ INDIANAPOLIS13-20L2L51U23-13517-33-169129-8720-37-2252
12/2/2012JACKSONVILLE34-18W-6W41.5O46-2329-17-112218-5018-41-1862
12/9/2012ST LOUIS            
12/16/2012*SEATTLE            
12/23/2012@ MIAMI            
12/30/2012NY JETS            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
BUFFALO is 4-1 against the spread versus ST LOUIS since 1992
BUFFALO is 4-1 straight up against ST LOUIS since 1992
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games played at BUFFALO since 1992
BUFFALO is 2-1 against the spread versus ST LOUIS since 1992
BUFFALO is 2-1 straight up against ST LOUIS since 1992
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 45% of the time since 1992. (113-138)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ST LOUIS games 41.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-20)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 48.7% of the time since 1992. (127-134)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 44.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-19)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 49.3% of the time since 1992. (132-136)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ST LOUIS games 57.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (20-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUFFALO games 47.9% of the time since 1992. (139-151)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUFFALO games 40% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-24)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ST LOUIS
[DT] 09/05/2012 - Trevor Laws IR ( Knee )
[T] 09/19/2012 - Rokevious Watkins IR ( Ankle )
[LB] 11/22/2012 - Mario Haggan out indefinitely ( Shoulder )
[S] 11/23/2012 - Matthew Daniels IR ( Knee )
[WR] 12/02/2012 - Danny Amendola "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Foot )
BUFFALO
[DT] 09/05/2012 - Torell Troup IR ( Undisclosed )
[TE] 09/05/2012 - Mike Caussin PUP ( Knee )
[WR] 09/10/2012 - David Nelson IR ( ACL )
[DE] 10/10/2012 - Mark Anderson out indefinitely ( Knee )
[G] 10/10/2012 - Colin Brown IR ( Hamstring )
[G] 12/02/2012 - Chad Rinehart IR ( Leg )
[CB] 11/07/2012 - Terrence McGee IR ( Knee )
[T] 11/07/2012 - Erik Pears IR ( Hip )
[CB] 12/02/2012 - Aaron Williams "?" Sunday vs. St. Louis ( Ankle )
[DE] 12/02/2012 - Chris Kelsay "?" Sunday vs. St. Louis ( Neck )
[WR] 12/02/2012 - Donald Jones "?" Sunday vs. St. Louis ( Calf )
[C] 12/02/2012 - Eric Wood injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. St. Louis ( Knee )
[CB] 12/02/2012 - Ron Brooks injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. St. Louis ( Leg )
[WR] 12/03/2012 - Stevie Johnson is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. St. Louis ( Hamstring )
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