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Matchup Reports

MIAMI (3-3) AT NEW ENGLAND (5-2)
Sunday,  Oct 27 2013 at 1:00 PM
Back to Games
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
0: MIAMI
0: NEW ENGLAND
OFF
OFF
22.5 / 23.3
21.7 / 18.1
3-3
5-2
3-3-0
3-4-0
4-1-1
3-4-0
78.0
116.1
234.7
225.0
312.7
341.1
102.8
127.1
269.3
225.6
372.2
352.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
MIAMI  
NEW ENGLAND-10 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points0-15-434-341-04-633-360-11-921-48
in all games3-319-16167-1774-113-23154-1953-316-22182-174
in all lined games3-319-16167-1774-113-23154-1953-316-22182-174
as an underdog2-113-1087-782-110-1475-952-18-1764-108
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points0-14-322-231-03-423-220-11-613-32
in road games2-111-891-802-16-1278-942-16-1377-99
in road lined games2-111-891-802-16-1278-942-16-1377-99
in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points0-12-38-51-02-33-100-10-55-8
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points2-310-1157-464-08-1240-622-37-1452-52
against conference opponents2-213-12129-1322-18-18117-1462-212-16139-131
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-115-11123-1353-09-19110-1502-111-17134-129
versus division opponents0-15-562-820-04-771-760-15-872-80
off a division game0-04-566-710-04-662-770-02-877-63
in games played on turf1-17-441-412-05-537-421-14-737-45
in October games0-23-642-401-01-638-430-23-643-41
off a loss against a division rival0-02-332-380-03-340-310-02-438-34
after 2 or more consecutive losses0-16-534-370-01-932-410-14-734-41
when playing against a team with a winning record0-19-679-711-06-1166-870-17-1069-86
in weeks 5 through 90-24-648-441-01-742-490-24-648-46

NEW ENGLAND - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points1-115-969-640-217-973-642-021-5108-29
in all games3-423-19197-1633-427-17186-1815-233-11237-137
in all lined games3-423-19197-1633-427-17186-1815-233-11237-137
as a favorite2-420-19118-1182-424-17120-1214-231-10185-61
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points1-04-430-280-15-332-271-07-145-14
in home games2-112-1194-871-214-992-923-019-4134-54
in home lined games2-112-1194-871-214-992-923-019-4134-54
in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points0-02-79-240-04-515-180-06-321-12
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points1-311-1164-711-314-967-712-216-787-53
against conference opponents0-418-13154-1171-320-12144-1332-226-6179-104
when playing with 6 or less days rest2-315-14152-1233-221-9142-1363-221-9176-106
versus division opponents0-37-783-621-211-472-752-113-297-55
off a division game1-111-279-610-28-672-712-014-089-55
in games played on turf3-415-1676-633-420-1178-625-223-897-46
in October games1-25-648-382-17-448-401-27-452-38
off a loss against a division rival0-01-026-220-00-121-290-01-024-26
in weeks 5 through 91-24-749-432-17-446-471-26-553-42
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games3-3-1.53-34-122.511.7312.7(5.5)1.823.313.5372.2(5.6)1.7
Road Games2-1+1.22-12-121.311.0334.7(5.7)2.022.715.0401.3(6.1)1.7
Last 3 Games0-3-4.70-32-020.312.3306.0(5.5)2.329.014.7372.3(5.7)1.3
Division Games0-1-2.20-10-021.014.0293.0(4.7)3.023.017.0268.0(4.3)1.0
MIAMI - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)22.511.717.227:2820-78(3.9)22-3660.7%235(6.4)56-313(5.5)(13.9)
Opponents Defensive Avg.21.810.819.430:0627-110(4.1)21-3659.7%239(6.6)63-350(5.6)(16)
Offense Road Games21.311.019.329:2823-79(3.4)23-3664.5%256(7.2)59-335(5.7)(15.7)
Defense (All Games)23.313.520.832:3227-103(3.8)24-3960.8%269(6.8)67-372(5.6)(15.9)
Opponents Offensive Avg.23.712.519.730:0626-97(3.8)23-3861.5%251(6.6)64-349(5.5)(14.7)
Defense Road Games22.715.022.030:3221-83(3.9)27-4560.0%319(7.1)66-401(6.1)(17.7)
MIAMI - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.20.71.8-0.213-537.5%0-033.3%2-53(26.7)1-6(3.8)4-35
Opponents Avg. Stats Against10.61.61.914-639.0%1-044.4%2-47(23.6)22-2(8.8)7-58
Stats For (Road Games)1.30.72.0-0.313-643.6%0-00.0%2-55(27.5)1-4(3)5-34
Stats Against (All Games)1.20.51.7 15-638.6%1-040.0%2-57(26.5)3-26(9.9)6-48
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.80.51.3 14-638.8%1-038.4%2-44(24.5)24-2(10.3)6-53
Stats Against (Road Games)1.30.31.7 14-533.3%2-140.0%2-56(23.9)2-30(13)6-38

NEW ENGLAND - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games5-2+2.53-43-421.714.0341.1(5)1.118.17.1352.7(5.2)1.9
Home Games3-0+32-11-222.015.7322.0(4.6)0.713.34.3334.0(5.2)2.3
Last 3 Games1-2-1.81-22-121.013.7306.3(4.6)1.323.36.7361.7(5.1)1.7
Turf Games4-2+1.22-42-420.314.7323.3(4.6)1.317.36.7335.3(5)2.0
Division Games2-1+0.50-31-221.017.0319.3(4.4)1.320.39.0329.0(4.6)2.3
NEW ENGLAND - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)21.714.019.929:4828-116(4.1)23-4155.4%225(5.5)69-341(5)(15.7)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.311.918.930:3025-97(3.8)22-3759.8%241(6.5)63-338(5.4)(15.1)
Offense Home Games22.015.718.730:1731-117(3.8)23-3958.5%205(5.2)70-322(4.6)(14.6)
Defense (All Games)18.17.120.331:3631-127(4)20-3655.3%226(6.2)68-353(5.2)(19.4)
Opponents Offensive Avg.21.311.619.531:1428-107(3.8)22-3661.5%244(6.8)64-351(5.5)(16.5)
Defense Home Games13.34.317.729:4327-119(4.5)17-3745.5%215(5.8)64-334(5.2)(25)
NEW ENGLAND - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.70.41.10.715-533.3%1-037.5%2-46(23.1)3-35(11.6)5-49
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.80.51.31.815-537.7%1-043.1%2-44(23.4)23-2(9.7)6-56
Stats For (Home Games)0.70.00.71.716-531.2%2-140.0%1-33(25)4-37(10)4-38
Stats Against (All Games)1.10.71.9 16-639.4%1-014.3%1-21(21)2-15(8.2)7-58
Opponents Avg. Stats For1.10.61.8 14-639.4%1-035.6%2-36(21.8)19-2(8.6)7-63
Stats Against (Home Games)1.70.72.3 15-534.8%1-00.0%1-18(17.7)2-13(6.5)6-57
Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 22.5,  NEW ENGLAND 19.1
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/8/2013@ CLEVELAND23-10W2.5W40.5U23-2024-38-255113-4726-53-2443
9/15/2013@ INDIANAPOLIS24-20W1.5W43.5O27-10123-34-297126-13325-43-3151
9/22/2013ATLANTA27-23W-3W45O15-9024-35-195230-14623-38-2312
9/30/2013@ NEW ORLEANS17-38L6.5L48.5O19-11522-35-216424-6830-39-3971
10/6/2013BALTIMORE23-26L-3L43O11-2221-40-272040-13319-32-2512
10/20/2013BUFFALO21-23L-5.5L44P25-12019-37-173330-9021-32-1781
10/27/2013@ NEW ENGLAND            
10/31/2013CINCINNATI            
11/11/2013@ TAMPA BAY            
11/17/2013SAN DIEGO            
11/24/2013CAROLINA            

NEW ENGLAND - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/8/2013@ BUFFALO23-21W-10L51U35-15829-52-273334-13618-27-1502
9/12/2013NY JETS13-10W-10.5L43.5U24-5419-39-178032-12915-35-1894
9/22/2013TAMPA BAY23-3W-7W44.5U33-15625-36-202122-9719-41-2261
9/29/2013@ ATLANTA30-23W3W49.5O31-13220-31-316015-5834-54-3991
10/6/2013@ CINCINNATI6-13L-2L45.5U18-8218-38-166239-16220-27-1792
10/13/2013NEW ORLEANS30-27W-2.5W51O35-14125-43-235126-13117-36-2302
10/20/2013@ NY JETS27-30L-3L43O20-9022-46-205152-17717-33-2061
10/27/2013MIAMI            
11/3/2013PITTSBURGH            
11/18/2013@ CAROLINA            
11/24/2013DENVER            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 22-19 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 24-19 straight up against MIAMI since 1992
21 of 42 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 2-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 4-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NEW ENGLAND since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 12-9 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
NEW ENGLAND is 15-7 straight up against MIAMI since 1992
11 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
12/30/2012MIAMI048 Under01624:2215-4720-35209113-23
 NEW ENGLAND28-11.5SU ATS212835:3838-16722-36276006-48
12/2/2012NEW ENGLAND23-7SU172533:2432-10824-40213016-50
 MIAMI1651 Under101526:3627-10113-29176108-92
12/24/2011MIAMI2449 ATS172029:0427-11517-33266116-39
 NEW ENGLAND27-7SU Over02630:5631-11927-46281005-50
9/12/2011NEW ENGLAND38-7SU ATS142728:2722-10632-48516017-50
 MIAMI2446.5 Over72531:3320-9830-49390018-60
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NEW ENGLAND in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 50% of the time since 1992. (136-136)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 67.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-9)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ENGLAND games 45.2% of the time since 1992. (126-153)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ENGLAND games 52.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-16)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 53.9% of the time since 1992. (158-135)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ENGLAND games 53.8% of the time since 1992. (164-141)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ENGLAND games 59% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-16)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
MIAMI
[LB] 10/20/2013 - Jason Trusnik "?" Sunday vs. New England ( Ribs )
[LB] 10/20/2013 - Dannell Ellerbe "?" Sunday vs. New England ( Knee )
[TE] 08/18/2013 - Dustin Keller IR ( Knee )
NEW ENGLAND
[WR] 10/20/2013 - Danny Amendola "?" Sunday vs. Miami ( Concussion )
[CB] 10/20/2013 - Aqib Talib "?" Sunday vs. Miami ( Hip )
[KR] 10/20/2013 - Leon Washington "?" Sunday vs. Miami ( Ankle )
[DT] 10/20/2013 - Tommy Kelly "?" Sunday vs. Miami ( Knee )
[LB] 10/16/2013 - Jerod Mayo IR ( Pectoral )
[DT] 09/30/2013 - Vince Wilfork IR ( Ankle )
[WR] 09/17/2013 - Matt Slater out indefinitely ( Hand )
[RB] 09/10/2013 - Shane Vereen IR (eligible to return week 10) ( Wrist )
[S] 09/02/2013 - Adrian Wilson IR ( Undisclosed )
[DE] 09/02/2013 - Armond Armstead PUP ( Illness )
[WR] 09/02/2013 - Mark Harrison PUP ( Foot )
[T] 09/02/2013 - Markus Zusevics IR ( Arm )
[G] 09/02/2013 - Tyronne Green IR ( Undisclosed )
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