mlb Expert Picks
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Shohei Ohtani to Hit a Home Run (+340, FanDuel)
Risking 0.25u to win 0.85uI know that this is a lefty vs. lefty matchup, but that's probably why we are getting great odds on this bet. The dome is going to be open tonight, and the weather is fantastic for hitting. Ohtani gets a matchup vs. Henry, who is a lefty, but he has big reverse splits, giving up a 1.88 HR/9 in his career to go along with good fly ball and hard-contact numbers. I have the true odds on this around +250 for Ohtani, which makes this a fantastic bet.
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Griffin Canning Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+100)
Risking 1u to win 1uCanning has hit the over at this number only 1 time in 5 starts this season. On average, his fastball velocity is down 1.8 MPH, and his off-speed velocity is down 2.1 MPH. His velocity has been closer to last season's in his last 2 starts, but he's still struggling to generate swinging strikes. He has a 22.4% whiff rate with a 18.2% strikeout rate on the season. The Phillies projected lineup has a 21.7% strikeout rate with a .179 ISO and .319 wOBA against RHP this season. I think Canning continues to struggle and the Phillies stay hot tonight.
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