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Luka Bogavac o12.5 Points (-112)
Risking 1.12u to win 1uWithout Caleb Wilson and Henri Veesaar, the scoring burden will fall predominantly into the laps of two Tar Heels, Seth Trimble and Bogavac. Trimble's number looks pretty spot on, but Bogavac's is enticing. On Saturday against Pitt in this situation, Bogavac got up 15 shots, including 7 shots from 3-point territory. That's going to be key tonight, as NC State loads up to take away the rim, giving up a huge number of 3s (34th most at 45%), and Bogavac is a high-volume 3-point shooter for the Heels.
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North Carolina State Wolfpack -6.5 (-110)
Risking 1.1u to win 1uLove this bounce-back spot for NC State at home after that brutal collapse against Miami, where they blew a 7-point lead in the final minute. That’s the kind of loss that sharpens focus the next time out — especially back in your own building.
On top of that, Caleb Wilson being unavailable is massive. He would’ve been tailor-made for this type of game and atmosphere. Add in Veesaar battling both illness and a leg issue, and there are real question marks on the other side.
This sets up beautifully for NC State. They bring one of the most dangerous three-point attacks in the country, and they’re facing a North Carolina team that has struggled defending the perimeter all season. That’s a clear matchup edge.
It’s also worth noting that four of North Carolina’s five losses have come on the road. Different team away from home.
Everything lines up for a focused response. Back the Wolfpack to handle business in Raleigh.
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