ncaaf Expert Picks
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Risking 1.1u to win 1uUnlock my pick and get unlimited access with a Premium subscription which includes: daily expert picks for multiple sports, total, moneyline, spread, parlays, and more, and in-depth analysis with every pick.
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Risking 0.58u to win 0.5uUnlock my pick and get unlimited access with a Premium subscription which includes: daily expert picks for multiple sports, total, moneyline, spread, parlays, and more, and in-depth analysis with every pick.
Parker Navarro o24.5 Pass Attempts (-115)
Risking 0.58u to win 0.5uUNLV is going to score points in this game, and they are likely going to score them in a hurry. This is a dynamic offense... but also a team that struggles defensively. I expect Ohio to sustain more drives and have more time of possession even if they end up losing the game. As such, I'm going back to the method I have used all year in cases where I expect above-average play volume.
Give me a split of a unit on Navarro over 24.5 pass attempts and Bangura over 19.5 rush attempts. This only requires the duo to be involved in 45 total plays (25 passes for Navarro and 20 rushes for Bangura) in a game where Ohio should come close to running 70 plays if things break the way I expect. I don't see any way this goes 0-2 outside of injury, and the odds are much better for us to win both or at worst split.
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