NFL Futures and Season Props

Bet Typenfl championship winner
Joe Burrow +170+180
Patrick Mahomes +190+180
Matthew Stafford +250+250
Jimmy Garoppolo +470+575
KCChiefs14-5-0-130-125
LARRams14-5-0+350+350
CINBengals12-7-0+450+450
SF49ers12-7-0+600+650
SF49ers12-7-0+155+150
CINBengals12-7-0+220+225
LARRams14-5-0+260+280
KCChiefs14-5-0+700+750
Elijah Mitchell even-120
Elijah Mitchell +190+200
Joe Mixon +240+275
Cam Akers +250+300
Cam Akers +340+475
Deebo Samuel +430+525
Joe Mixon +600+650
Patrick Mahomes +600+800
Deebo Samuel +600+800
Clyde Edwards-Helaire +850+750
Jerick McKinnon +1000+1000
Jerick McKinnon +900+1200
Sony Michel +1100+1500
Sony Michel +1600+1600
Darrel Williams +2400+2500
Patrick Mahomes +2400+2500
Clyde Edwards-Helaire +3400
Samaje Perine +3400+4000
Derrick Gore +5000+7000
Chris Evans +5000+8000
Joe Burrow +6000+7000
Kyle Juszczyk +6000+8000
Tyreek Hill +7000
J'Marr Chase +7000
Ja'Marr Chase +10000
Darrel Williams +11000+10000
Derrick Gore +11000
Jimmy Garoppolo +11000+15000
Matthew Stafford +11000+15000
Mecole Hardman +15000
Samaje Perine +11000+25000
Kyle Juszczyk +25000
Joe Burrow +25000
Cooper Kupp -125-125
Cooper Kupp +210+220
Tyreek Hill +250+250
Travis Kelce +250+275
Ja'Marr Chase +340+320
Ja'Marr Chase +430
J'Marr Chase +450
Tyreek Hill +600+600
Travis Kelce +750+700
Tee Higgins +900+875
Deebo Samuel +1200+1100
George Kittle +1200+1200
Odell Beckham Jr. +1600+1500
Brandon Aiyuk +1800+2000
C.J. Uzomah +2400+2500
Tyler Boyd +2400+2500
Tyler Higbee +2400+2800
Van Jefferson +3400+3300
Byron Pringle +3400+3500
Tee Higgins +3400+4000
Mecole Hardman +4300+4000
Deebo Samuel +4300+4000
Odell Beckham Jr. +5000+4500
Jauan Jennings +5000+4500
Demarcus Robinson +5000+5000
Jerick McKinnon +6000+5000
Joe Mixon +6000+5000
George Kittle +5000+6000
Cam Akers +6000+5500
C.J. Uzomah +5000+7000
Trent Sherfield +6000+7000
Jerick McKinnon +7000
Sony Michel +7500
Elijah Mitchell +7500+8000
Samaje Perine +7500+8000
Clyde Edwards-Helaire +7500+8000
Tyler Higbee +6000+10000
Tyler Boyd +11000+5500
Van Jefferson +7500+10000
Chris Evans +9500
Byron Pringle +9500+10000
Mecole Hardman +9500+10000
Demarcus Robinson +9500+10000
Auden Tate +10000
Joe Mixon +10000
Jauan Jennings +10000
Travis Benjamin +10000
Travis Benjamin +10000
Brandon Aiyuk +11000+10000
Noah Gray +11000+10000
Kyle Juszczyk +11000+10000
Kendall Blanton +11000
Blake Bell +11000
Ben Skowronek +11000
Cam Akers +15000
Elijah Mitchell +20000
Patrick Mahomes +180+170+170
Matthew Stafford +300+300+350
Jimmy Garoppolo +650+900+850
Cooper Kupp +900+1000+900
Joe Burrow +1000+1000+1000
Deebo Samuel +2000+1600+2000
Tyreek Hill +2000+2000+2000
Travis Kelce +2000+2000+2000
Aaron Donald +3500+3000+3000
George Kittle +3000+4000+4000
Ja'Marr Chase +4000+5000+4000
Cam Akers +5000+5000+5000
Elijah Mitchell +5000+5000+5000
Odell Beckham Jr. +5000+6000+6000
Von Miller +10000+7500+6000
Jerick McKinnon +8000+7500+8000
Clyde Edwards-Helaire +8000+7500+8000
Arik Armstead +8000
Nick Bosa +10000+7500+8000
Mecole Hardman +8000+10000+10000
Joe Mixon +8000+10000+10000
Van Jefferson +10000+10000+10000
Jesse Bates III +10000
Tee Higgins +10000+10000+10000
Sony Michel +10000+10000+15000
Trey Hendrickson +20000+10000
Demarcus Robinson +15000
Tyler Higbee +25000+10000+10000
Byron Pringle +15000+15000+15000
Jalen Ramsey +15000+15000
Darrel Williams +15000
Chris Jones +20000+15000+15000
Harrison Butker +20000+15000
Brandon Aiyuk +25000+15000
Jessie Bates III +20000
C.J. Uzomah +30000+10000
Melvin Ingram III +20000
Jauan Jennings +20000+20000
Fred Warner +20000+20000
Leonard Floyd +20000
Tyler Boyd +30000+20000+20000
Matt Gay +25000
Robbie Gould +50000+20000
Kendall Blanton +50000
Evan McPherson +50000
Eric Weddle +50000
KCChiefs14-5-0+120+125+120+130
LARRams14-5-0+200+210+210+210
SF49ers12-7-0+450+450+475+450
CINBengals12-7-0+800+800+800+750

Searching for Super Bowl odds, have a hunch on a darkhorse NFL MVP candidate, or just want to bet on a division winner? Whatever your NFL futures bet might be, you’ve come to the right place.

What Is An NFL Futures Bet?

A futures bet is a wager that is placed on a future event. Unlike spreads and totals, it might take months to cash out rather than hours or a few days, but it’s worth the wait if your bold prediction comes to fruition.

Unsurprisingly, betting on the Super Bowl winner in advance is the most popular futures bet at online sportsbooks. Patrons can begin wagering on Super Bowl odds for the next season within hours of the Lombardi Trophy being won. Super Bowl odds are available throughout the offseason, and then the regular season, with oddsmakers adjusting prices based on money coming in, news, and game outcomes.

For example, the Buccaneers are among Super Bowl favorites and their current Super Bowl odds (as of Nov. 8) are +600. Using our odds comparison tool, you can quickly find which sportsbook has the best price for all 32 teams. In this case, if you’re betting on the Bucs, you want to sign up and place your wager at Caesars.

Another team of potential interest, especially with online sports betting in Arizona now live, is the Arizona Cardinals +1000. In this case, a $100 bet at will return $1100 — $1000 profit plus the original $100 wagered. And again, using the odds comparison tool we see that Ceasars has the best odds.

Conveniently, new users can get a risk-free bet up to $1,001 by signing up at Ceasars Sportsbook with this link!

NFL Futures Betting Examples

While Super Bowl futures are most popular, they’re only one of the many futures markets NFL bettors can dip their toes into throughout the year.

You can bet on everything from conference and division futures to individual player futures — for example, who will win awards like NFL MVP, Defensive Player of the Year, Rookie of the Year, and Coach of the Year, as well as which player will end the season with the most passing yards, touchdowns, rushing yards, receiving yards, etc.

How To Win Money Betting On Super Bowl and MVP Odds

Because NFL futures are less efficient than game lines, sportsbooks manage their risk by increasing the hold percentage when it comes to Super Bowl odds and other futures markets. Rather than the typical -110 you see alongside game spreads and totals (which comes out to roughly five percent hold) oddsmakers adjust futures prices so that their theoretical hold is often closer to 20 percent.

That may sound like a lot—and it is— but that doesn’t mean futures markets aren’t beatable with the right approach.

Shopping Futures Odds

First, the most important step is shopping odds.

This page does exactly that, pulling odds from multiple sportsbooks and updating them throughout the day, all year long. Instead of logging into each sportsbook account one by one, you can simply come here for a quick, clean view of updated Super Bowl odds, MVP pricing, and more from across the sports betting industry.

There are often discrepancies in odds from one sportsbook to the next. By finding the best price, you drastically decrease the sportsbooks’ theoretical hold. For example, if you were only betting at BetMGM a $100 bet on the Bucs would pay merely $250 in winnings, but since our odds comparisons show you where to find the best odds, you now know you can make the same bet at Caesars or PointsBet and profit $600.

Timing The Market

Secondly, timing is everything.

Betting futures at sportsbooks is a lot like buying and selling shares of companies on the stock market. Odds fluctuate throughout the season and it’s better to be early than late. Just look at the Dallas Cowboys who started the season +3500 to win the Super Bowl. They’re 6-2 through eight weeks and are only +1200.

In hindsight, there were some good read reasons to bet on the Cowboys before the season began: 1) Playing a weak division meant they had a fairly easy road to the playoffs, 2) They returned their starting quarterback, Dak Prescott, from injury, 3) Used offseason capital on defense and brought in a new defensive coordinator.

There was a lot unknown about the Cowboys, but that wasn’t necessarily a bad thing since they entered the season with lengthy odds.

The Cowboys are still unlikely to pull off the tall feat, but there is a lesson here: Try to find teams or players to bet on whose current odds are more likely to get shorter than longer.

That’s easier said than done, of course. So before placing a bet you should be able to paint a plausible narrative of the team/player exceeding expectations and ultimately completing the task at hand.

Conversely, the Kansas City Chiefs opened as favorites to win the 2022 Super Bowl. Hindsight is 20/20, but at +550, their odds were unlikely to get much shorter than they already were. Fast forward to Week 10 and the Chiefs are +1200. If you’re still interested in backing the defending AFC Championship, you can get much better odds than were available a few months ago.

Value On Super Bowl Longshots?

Ahead of the 2019 NFL season, the San Francisco 49ers were between +4000 and +5000 to win the Super Bowl, as were the Baltimore Ravens. In 2018, Mahomes’ first year as a starter in Kansas City, the Chiefs were roughly +4000. In 2017, the Philadelphia Eagles were as long as +6000 in the offseason before making their miraculous Super Bowl run with Nick Foles at the helm. Clearly bettors can find value for teams that are farther down the betting board before each NFL season kicks off in September.

With all of that said, let’s now take a look at historic MVP, Rookie of the Year, and Coach of the Year winners as we search for some notable futures betting trends. Hopefully these tips can help guide you to some winning futures tickets.

NFL MVP Winners

YearPositionPlayerMVP Odds (Open)Team (Record)
2020QBAaron Rodgers+2500Packers (13-3)
2019QBLamar Jackson+12500Ravens (14-2)
2018QBPatrick Mahomes+5000Chiefs (12-4)
2017QBTom Brady+400Patriots (13-3)
2016QBMatt Ryan+7500Falcons (11-5)
2015QBCam Newton+5000Panthers (15-1)
2014QBAaron Rodgers+600Packers (12-4)
2013QBPeyton Manning+600Broncos (13-3)
2012RBAdrian Peterson+4000Vikings (10-6)
2011QBAaron Rodgers+400Packers (15-1)
2010QBTom Brady+800Patriots (14-2)
2009QBPeyton Manning+500Colts (14-2)
2008QBPeyton Manning+2000Colts (12-4)
2007QBTom BradyN/APatriots (16-0)
2006QBLaDanian TomlinsonN/AChargers (14-2)
2005RBShaun AlexanderN/ASeahawks (13-3)
2004QBPeyton ManningN/AColts (12-4)
2003QBPeyton Manning/Steve McNairN/AColts/Titans (12-4)
2002QBRich GannonN/ARaiders (11-5)
2001QBKurt WarnerN/ARams (14-2)
2000RBMarshall FaulkN/ARams (10-6)

NFL MVP Betting Trends

Looking at past NFL MVP winners illuminates historic betting trends to consider while perusing MVP odds at sportsbooks:

  • 54 of 57 NFL MVPs have played an offensive position
  • Quarterbacks have won the award 38 times, running backs 16 times, while there have been two defensive winners, and one placekicker
  • During the 2020 season, Aaron Rodgers became the eighth-consecutive QB to win MVP
  • The last running back to win was Adrian Peterson in 2012
  • Linebacker Lawrence Taylor was the last defensive player to win the award (’86)
  • No wide receiver has ever been named MVP
  • Since 2001, only one winner has played on a team with fewer than 11 wins

In short, bet on quarterbacks. Don’t waste money on receivers, running backs, or defensive players. Invest in players who play on teams that have a plausible road to success (11 or more wins). And similar to betting on the Super Bowl, there has been plenty of value on longshots in recent years.

Coach Of The Year Betting Trends

  • Joe Gibbs was the last back-to-back COY winner in 1982 and 1983
  • Since 2009, the award has gone to coaches whose teams win on average 5.9 games more than they did the previous season
  • On that same note, the median improvement for these teams has been +7 wins
  • Five of the last 10 Coach of the Year winners have been in their first year with a new team
  • Eight of the last 10 Coach of the Year awards went to division winners; the other two went to coaches of wild-card teams

Avoid coaches who won the previous season as they do appear to be victims of voter fatigue. Instead, find coaches who are in their first year with a new team, which often means there’s plenty of room for improvement (roughly six wins worth), and have a reasonable shot at winning their division or at the very least making the playoffs.