Staff Best Bets: Free Expert Player Props and Picks For Today (3/3/23)

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Our ScoresAndOdds experts offer a variety of free picks for today’s NBA and NCAAB games!

There’s plenty of basketball to choose from right now! It’s officially March Madness and the NBA is hitting the home stretch.

Conference tournament play begins, while the pros in the Association jockey for playoff positioning.

Let’s check out some of free plays for Friday from our hoops squad.

Free Expert Best Bets For Friday

Paul George Over 35.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists

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The Clippers will be without both Kawhi Leonard and Ivica Zubac tonight, while Norman Powell is listed as questionable. PG13’s usage rate jumps 4.1% this season with Kawhi/Zubac off the floor and he has owned this Sacramento defense, averaging 50.5 PRA in the previous two meetings. We have a massive 239.5 point total in this one and it wouldn’t surprise me to see him get there on points alone in this game, give me the over here tonight! – Chris Prince (beermakersfan)

Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 Rebounds

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According to, Jokic covered this over in just 13 of 29 games played at this market number this season. However, there are reasons to believe he can get there tonight. Since Steven Adams last played for the Memphis Grizzlies on Jan. 22, the team ranks 27th in rebound percentage and 28th in opponent rebounds per game. Since Feb. 15, Memphis has allowed 14 rebounds to Walker Kessler, 19 rebounds to Joel Embiid, and 13 rebounds to Jokic – the three true centers who they have faced during that time period. On Feb. 25, Jokic had 13 rebounds on 20 rebound chances in only 27 minutes of action on the road in a blowout game script. Across the season, Jokic is averaging 12.8 rebounds and 19.3 rebound chances per game at home, compared to 10.5 rebounds and 17.3 rebound chances per game on the road. In a favorable matchup this evening, on his home floor, Jokic should be able to get the job done here. – Nick (The Commish)

Kelly Oubre Under 1.5 Assists

I know that this number is low, but it’s not nearly low enough. Oubre isn’t a guy who’s going to dish out the ball much, even without LaMelo in the offense. Oubre has hit the under at this number in seven-straight games and has only hit the over four times in the last 17 games. He averages just 1.1 assists per game on the season and that’s heavily weighted by a 5-assist outlier game earlier in the year. – Grant Neiffer (gneiffer07)

Toledo vs. Ball State Over 157.5 Total Points

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Toledo has scored less than 80 points just once across the last 14 games. They are just so efficient offensively, ranking 10th in adjusted efficiency, fifth in eFG%, second in 3P% and 38th in 2P% (KenPom). Plus, they don’t turn the ball over. They can do their part against almost anyone. Ball State’s defense ranks worse than 200th in terms of efficiency, which also bodes well for this thing. But can they hold their own and put up points? I think the answer is yes. They’re top third in the country in offensive efficiency, top 60 in eFG% and top 25 in 3P%. Back to Toledo here – not only do they play effect, but they play fast, ranking 58th in average possession length. Those are two great qualities to have when targeting an over. Hopefully, fast and efficient forces Ball State to speed up and launch some more long balls than usual. This total opened up at 159 and was bet down a bit, so I’m happily taking advantage of this lower number. – Justin Carlucci (TheLuuch)