NFL Top Trends

Falcons
vs.
Steelers

Steelers are 3-7 (30%) in over bets in their Last 10 Away Games for -4.27 total units lost

Cowboys
vs.
Browns

Browns are 3-7 (30%) in moneyline bets in their Last 10 Games as Underdog for -4.27 total units lost

Packers
vs.
Eagles

Eagles are 3-7 (30%) in spread bets in their Last 10 Games for -4.27 total units lost

Patriots
vs.
Bengals

Bengals are 3-7 (30%) in moneyline bets in their Last 10 Games vs NE for -4.27 total units lost

Cardinals
vs.
Bills

Bills are 5-1 (83.3%) in spread bets in their Last 10 Games vs ARI for 3.55 total units won

Broncos
vs.
Seahawks

Seahawks are 7-2 (77.8%) in moneyline bets in their Last 10 Games as Favorite vs DEN for 4.36 total units won

Chiefs
vs.
Ravens

Ravens are 5-0 (100%) in moneyline bets in their Last 5 Away Games for 4.55 total units won

Jaguars
vs.
Dolphins

Dolphins are 8-2 (80%) in moneyline bets in their Last 10 Home Games for 5.27 total units won

Jets
vs.
49ers

49ers are 8-2 (80%) in moneyline bets in their Last 10 Games vs NYJ for 5.27 total units won

Raiders
vs.
Chargers

Chargers are 2-8 (20%) in over bets in their Last 10 Home Games vs LV for -6.18 total units lost

Packers
vs.
Eagles

Eagles are 5-0 (100%) in over bets in their Last 5 Home Games for 4.55 total units won

Buccaneers
vs.
Commanders

Commanders are 0-5 (0%) in moneyline bets in their Last 5 Games as Underdog for -5 total units lost

Titans
vs.
Bears

Bears are 4-0 (100%) in spread bets in their Last 5 Home Games for 3.64 total units won

Raiders
vs.
Chargers

Chargers are 3-7 (30%) in over bets in their Last 10 Games for -4.27 total units lost

Rams
vs.
Lions

Lions are 5-0 (100%) in moneyline bets in their Last 5 Games as Favorite for 4.55 total units won

Rams
vs.
Lions

Lions are 8-2 (80%) in over bets in their Last 10 Games as Favorite for 5.27 total units won

Steelers
vs.
Falcons

Falcons are 3-7 (30%) in moneyline bets in their Last 10 Games for -4.27 total units lost

Panthers
vs.
Saints

Saints are 3-7 (30%) in over bets in their Last 10 Home Games for -4.27 total units lost

Bears
vs.
Titans

Titans are 1-9 (10%) in moneyline bets in their Last 10 Away Games for -8.09 total units lost

Seahawks
vs.
Broncos

Broncos are 3-7 (30%) in moneyline bets in their Last 10 Away Games for -4.27 total units lost

Saints
vs.
Panthers

Panthers are 0-5 (0%) in moneyline bets in their Last 5 Away Games for -5 total units lost

Bengals
vs.
Patriots

Patriots are 3-7 (30%) in moneyline bets in their Last 10 Games as Underdog for -4.27 total units lost

Packers
vs.
Eagles

Eagles are 8-2 (80%) in over bets in their Last 10 Home Games for 5.27 total units won

Texans
vs.
Colts

Colts are 3-7 (30%) in moneyline bets in their Last 10 Games as Underdog for -4.27 total units lost

Chargers
vs.
Raiders

Raiders are 3-7 (30%) in over bets in their Last 10 Away Games for -4.27 total units lost

NFL Betting Trends

The National Football League (NFL) is the most popular sport to bet on at online sportsbooks, which means there’s a ton of public money on these games, especially for primetime slots like Monday Night Football, Sunday Night Football, Thursday Night Football, and NFL Playoff matchups. Sharp football bettors will use NFL betting trends to find games with value, particularly on underdogs.

Our NFL Betting Trends will show you just that. By combining historical football data with our NFL consensus picks data, bettors can see how often a team covers the spread when, for example, 80% of the public is betting against them. This usually means that there is value because the spread has moved an additional half-point (or more!) from its opening line. In general, novice bettors underrate the value of a half-point, especially when it comes to NFL key numbers.

Additionally, one of my favorite trends involves the Kansas City Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes. Despite being one of the most popular teams to bet, the Chiefs have been extremely profitable in games with shorter spreads (within one possession), but have routinely failed to cover when the spread involves more points. Why the difference? Like our NBA example with the Golden State Warriors, this trend also make sense when you dig in.

As Super Bowl favorites who have dominated regular-season moneylines, the Chiefs often play with a cushion. They haven’t had to worry about their playoff spot or close divisional races, so there’s little reason to risk the health of their star players or for Andy Reid to show all his cards and tricks against bad teams, in games with larger spreads. This means Mahomes is using his legs less, the Chiefs are not as creative with their play-calling, among other things. However, games with shorter spreads tend to be high-leverage situations, since they’re against better opponents who could potentially compete for home-field advantage. In these games, Mahomes is more likely to scramble and Reid is more likely to use his full arsenal to ensure victory.

Our sports betting experts will often use NFL betting trends, among other stats and pieces of information, when making Premium Picks.