2022 U.S. Open Open Golf Betting Tips: Outrights, Top-10 Picks and Longshots
Justin “STLCardinals84” Van Zuiden is a lead DFS and golf betting analyst for RotoGrinders and ScoresAndOdds. In this week’s preview, he will breaks his favorite U.S. Open outright bets, top-10 picks, and longshots!
Welcome back to the weekly golf betting roundup article! We have our third major of the year on the calendar this week with the U.S. Open!
The Country Club of Brookline will host this year’s U.S. Open. Brookline is not a common host venue for this tournament, having hosted just three times in the past — most recently in 1988. For the second straight week, course history will be irrelevant.
However, even though course history is irrelevant, U.S. Open history is not. We know that the USGA always sets these up as very difficult tests that demand both distance and accuracy. Golfers who tend to play well in the U.S. Open style of course tend to play well most years.
Let’s try to find some winning bets!
STL’s Top Outright Winner Picks
Tony Finau
I really like the way his game translates to U.S. Open courses, and this projects as a place where he should do well. I was sort of hoping he would not play well last week in order to give us longer odds. Instead, he went and finished 2nd behind Rory McIlroy in an event that he would have won if not for McIlroy finally stringing together four great rounds. Finau grades out as a top 20 option in all the non-short game metrics over the last three months, and he has his confidence back. We’re not getting as generous of a number now, but the uptick in form is extremely encouraging.
Hideki Matsuyama
- Current Odds: +4000 on DraftKings
Matsuyama was forced to withdraw after nine holes at The Memorial a few weeks ago for a seemingly innocuous marking on his driver. It was a bit strange, but he should be all rested and ready to go for this major. He did finish 14th at The Masters and 3rd at the AT&T Byron Nelson within the last two months, and his performance at the Byron Nelson was encouraging for talks of him still being injured. He did make the cut at the PGA Championship as well. He has posted top 30 finish in each of the last five U.S. Open tournaments, and we’re getting him at solidly discounted odds with his up and down 2022 season. I’m willing to take a shot at 40-to-1.
STL’s Top 10 Finish Picks
Louis Oosthuizen
- Current Odds: +650 on Bet365
This is simply a numbers play. This line sits at +350 on DraftKings and +500 in a few other places. If you can get +600 or +650, grab it while you can. Oosthuizen is always a wild card, and you never know how healthy he truly is. However, he tends to bring his “A” game for majors (this year to date notwithstanding), and 6-to-1 odds on a top ten are fantastic with his talent and ability to play well on difficult courses.
Ryan Fox
- Current Odds: +1000 on FanDuel
Since Fox doesn’t play all that often on the PGA Tour, casual golf fans probably aren’t familiar with the name. However, he is quietly having a very strong year. He has top 15 finishes in each of his last SIX starts on the DP World Tour, and he also made the cut at last month’s PGA Championship. He is plenty long off the tee and could thrive in this course setup if he is accurate enough. Fox is getting a lot of steam in projection models and is a decent bet at 10-to-1 odds.
Long Shots and Other Bets
Long Shots – Difficult U.S. Open venues with strong fields generally aren’t the best spots to find true long shot winners. Your last seven winners have been Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau, Gary Woodland, Dustin Johnson, Jordan Spieth, and Brooks Koepka twice.
Woodland is the only semi long shot in that group, and he was in better form back in 2019. Tread carefully with those 100-to-1+ tickets this week. If you do want a name or two, Sergio Garcia, Luke List, and the aforementioned Woodland are reasonable darts in the 150-to-1 range.
Matchup Pick: Davis Riley over Scott Stallings
- Current Odds: -152 on BetRivers
This is my favorite head-to-head bet of the week. Riley has quietly put together SIX straight top 15 finishes on the PGA Tour. It started with a fourth place finish at the team event in New Orleans. He has followed that up with a 5th, 9th, 13th (at a major), 4th, and 13th on his resume.
I keep waiting for him to slow down, but the talent is definitely there. The top 15 at the PGA Championship was very impressive. He’s a significantly better golfer than Stallings, so take this at reasonable odds.
Good luck this week everyone! Let’s win some money!