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Krayton’s NFL Week 1 Player Props Picks (9/7/22)

Kristi Metzger Wed 9/7 7:06am PT
Our NFL betting experts are backing a Matthew Stafford player prop line this week.
Image Credit: Imagn

NFL betting analyst and 12-time daily fantasy sports live finalist Kristi Metzger takes a look at NFL player props this week and gives free picks!

This is one of my favorite weeks of the year with the start of NFL!  The excitement of the upcoming season is tough to beat, and this year, I am going to the start the week by sharing with you a few player props that I like.

Free NFL Week 1 Player Props Picks

Thursday night is the start of the NFL season and I like targeting Matthew Stafford in a game where we should see a ton of points scored and I see Stafford airing it out often to Cooper Kupp and newly acquired receiver Allen Robinson. Given the high total of the game at 52.5, and a game where both quarterbacks will be throwing it a ton, I will take the over on Stafford’s pass attempts in an extremely fast-paced game where Stafford will be looking to throw it first.

Another running back I like a lot this week is Joe Mixon. Against Pittsburgh, last year, he rushed for 90 yards last September, and in November of 2021, he rushed for 165 yards and 2 touchdowns.  The Blitz has also projects Mixon to have 18.7 rushing attempts, which is only behind Derrick Henry and Jonathan Taylor.  This will be Joe Burrow’s first game back after an appendectomy, so I could see his passing numbers being down a little as they may have Mixon more involved in the running game to start the season.  Joe Mixon is still one of the best running backs in a high-powered offense led by Joe Burrow. 

Even though I like Joe Burrow and the Bengals offense this week, this will be his first game for Burrow after having an appendectomy not that long ago.  As I mentioned above, I really like Mixon to get a ton of usage and he has great history against Pittsburgh in the past.  I think it will be a little tougher for Burrow to surpass the 261.5 mark this week so this is an under that I am targeting Week 1.

The Kansas City/Arizona game is another great game environment this week with a 54 total.  We will get a first glance at KC without Tyreek Hill. CEH has been disappointing since coming into the league, however he is the starting RB in one of the league’s best offenses and I could see him breaking off a few big runs to get past the 46.5 number quickly.  I think this is the year that he finally has a big season and I think we will see his upside in week 1.