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Bryce Young u210.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Risking 1.1u to win 1uCarolina started the season throwing at a substantial level. They ranked 3rd in pass rate through 2 games. Young was tied for the league lead at 90 attempts. Carolina's passing numbers were somewhat skewed by a Week 2 game against Arizona, when they stormed back from a big deficit and nearly pulled off a crazy comeback. Young chucked it 55 times in that game. But, even in normal situations, Carolina was still leaning into the aerial attack. They were 4th in neutral pass rate through Week 2.
The offensive approach changed starting in Week 3. Carolina ranks 29th in pass rate and 28th in neutral pass rate over the past 4 games. They have the 2nd-lowest pass rate over expectation. Young has averaged 27.3 attempts over this stretch. He hasn't topped 30 passes in any game.
The crucial factor here is that the change has actually worked. Carolina is 3-1 since emphasizing the run game. Their run-blocking scheme has made Rico Dowdle look like the best running back in the league over the past 2 weeks. Carolina is actually favored this week against the Jets. The Jets' defense is top 10 in passing yards allowed per game and bottom 10 in rushing yards allowed per game. Carolina should be able to focus on the ground game once again.

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