Krayton’s NFL Week 3 Player Props Picks (9/22/22)

Our NFL experts are backing St. Brown's player props in Week 3.
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NFL betting analyst and 12-time daily fantasy sports live finalist Kristi Metzger (a.k.a. Krayton) takes a look at NFL player props this week and gives free picks!

It’s Week 3 and I’m back with a few of my favorite player props for the week. We now have a few weeks of data that really helps when it comes to finding some of the great plays.

Free NFL Week 3 Player Props Picks

Amon-Ra St. Brown OVER 69.5 receiving yards

St. Brown has been phenomenal to start the season and he is now third overall amongst all wide receivers with target share at 33.8%. He has also seen double-digit targets in eight-straight games and he now gets one of the best games on the main slate going against the Vikings. This game should be a shootout and he is the guy that Goff continues to rely on. I think this is the game that he continues with another 100 receiving yard game. The BLITZ is projecting St. Brown with 78 receiving yards.

Davante Adams OVER 77.5 receiving yards

We just watched Stefon Diggs absolutely obliterate Tennessee last week, and although Adams disappointed as a popular play last week, this is a week he should absolutely smash and I love the over on this prop. I think the targets are back up and The BLITZ has Adams projected for 84 yards on Sunday.

Tom Brady UNDER 246.5 passing yards

Brady has not looked sharp, however, he has been missing huge part of his receiving core with Godwin out and Mike Evans facing his suspension. Julio Jones is still up in the air, but he is clearly not healthy yet. I am going to continue to look at the under on Brady until his receivers are fully healthy and the total has continued to come down this week.

Jacoby Brissett UNDER 188.5 passing yards

This game should be more of a defensive game and Brissett isn’t being utilized as pass-first option in the Browns’ offense. Chubb continues to dominate in the run game and I see no reason why they will go away from that game script again this week. I see this as a run game on both sides, with both Chubb and Harris getting a ton of carries, so I really like the under on Brissett’s passing yards on Thursday night.