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Chiefs Chiefs
Jaguars Jaguars
I. Pacheco Rush Attempts +21% (44% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
69% u7.5 +110
X. Worthy Receptions +20% (40% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
70% o4.5 even
X. Worthy Rushing Yards +17% (32% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
70% o2.5 -110
K. Hunt Rush Attempts +17% (32% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
70% u8.5 -110
B. Tuten Rushing Yards +17% (31% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
72% u18.5 -120

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P. Washington Receiving Yards +17% (32% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
70% o14.5 -110
T. Etienne Rush Attempts +15% (26% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
72% u15.5 -130
P. Washington Receptions +14% (23% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
75% o1.5 -155
P. Mahomes Completions +14% (25% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
70% o23.5 -125
D. Brown Receptions +13% (27% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
61% u2.5 +110
T. Lawrence Touchdown +12% (102% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
24% o0.5 +750
N. Gray Receiving Yards +12% (22% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
67% o12.5 -118
J. Smith-Schuster Receptions +11% (18% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
71% o2.5 -150
K. Hunt Rushing Yards +11% (20% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
65% u28.5 -115
D. Brown Receiving Yards +10% (19% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
63% u28.5 -110
M. Brown Receiving Yards +9% (16% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
63% u41.5 -115
X. Worthy Rush Attempts +9% (13% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
78% o0.5 -220
N. Gray Receptions +8% (14% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
65% o1.5 -130
X. Worthy Receiving Yards +7% (13% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
61% o51.5 -115
I. Pacheco Receiving Yards +7% (13% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
60% o6.5 -110
Jaguars Moneyline +6% (15% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
44% +165
T. Lawrence Rushing Yards +6% (11% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
60% o9.5 -115
T. Etienne Receiving Yards +6% (11% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
61% o9.5 -120
I. Pacheco Touchdown +6% (24% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
31% o0.5 +300
N. Gray Touchdown +5% (37% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
19% o0.5 +650
P. Mahomes Rushing Yards +4% (7% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
57% o22.5 -110
J. Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards +3% (5% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
57% o27.5 -115
KC @ JAC Total +3% (5% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
56% o45.5 -110
K. Hunt Receptions +3% (5% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
59% u1.5 -125
T. Hunter Receptions +3% (5% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
63% o2.5 -150
B. Strange Receptions +2% (4% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
52% u3.5 even
T. Kelce Touchdown +2% (5% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
38% o0.5 +185
T. Etienne Receptions +2% (4% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
46% u1.5 +130
T. Hunter Receiving Yards +2% (3% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
56% o27.5 -115
K. Hunt Receiving Yards +2% (3% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
57% o7.5 -120
J. Smith-Schuster Touchdown +2% (10% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
21% o0.5 +450
T. Etienne Touchdown +2% (4% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
52% o0.5 even
I. Pacheco Receptions +1% (2% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
50% o1.5 +105
P. Mahomes Pass Attempts +1% (1% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
56% o35.5 -118
B. Smith Touchdown +1% (7% EV) Win Rate Over Implied: How much more likely this bet is to cover than the implied odds.

Expected Value: The expected percent return on investment over time on this bet. The higher the odds, the more time it will take to realize this expected value.
16% o0.5 +600
T. Lawrence Pass Attempts
55% o32.5 -120 45% u32.5 -110
P. Mahomes Passing Yards
54% o251.5 -115 46% u251.5 -115
P. Washington Touchdown
17% o0.5 +500
B. Thomas Receptions
54% o4.5 -115 46% u4.5 -118
T. Etienne Rushing Yards
53% u63.5 -115
T. Lawrence Interceptions
45% u0.5 +120
P. Mahomes Interceptions
54% u0.5 -120
Jaguars Spread
52% +3.5 -110
T. Lawrence Passing Tds
62% u1.5 -165
B. Thomas Receiving Yards
53% u58.5 -118
T. Lawrence Rush Attempts
41% u2.5 +135
P. Mahomes Rush Attempts
53% o4.5 -118
T. Lawrence Completions
55% o20.5 -130
H. Long Touchdown
4% o0.5 +1700
J. Mundt Touchdown
3% o0.5 +2000
T. Lawrence Passing Yards
51% o220.5 -115
L. Allen Touchdown
4% o0.5 +1400
B. Strange Receiving Yards
50% u33.5 -110
T. Kelce Receiving Yards
51% o41.5 -115
M. Brown Receptions
58% o3.5 -150
KC Team Total
50% o24.5 -110
P. Mahomes Touchdown
18% o0.5 +380
B. Thomas Touchdown
32% o0.5 +180
T. Hunter Touchdown
22% o0.5 +290
E. Mitchell Touchdown
--% o0.5 +2800
T. Kelce Receptions
43% o4.5 +115
N. Remigio Touchdown
--% o0.5 +2800
K. Hunt Touchdown
29% o0.5 +210
P. Mahomes Passing Tds
57% o1.5 -150
T. Patrick Touchdown
3% o0.5 +1400
I. Pacheco Rushing Yards
51% o29.5 -118
X. Worthy Touchdown
36% o0.5 +150
J. Royals Touchdown
2% o0.5 +1600
D. Brown Touchdown
15% o0.5 +400
R. Tonyan Touchdown
--% o0.5 +2200
J. Wiley Touchdown
--% o0.5 +2200
B. Strange Touchdown
18% o0.5 +320
B. Tuten Touchdown
15% o0.5 +350
M. Brown Touchdown
20% o0.5 +250
T. Thornton Touchdown
11% o0.5 +400
J. Defense Touchdown
--% o0.5 +650
K. City Defense Touchdown
--% o0.5 +650
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Legend

Player Name Prop Type
50% o10 -110

Pick percentage is the percentage of simulations where that pick hits.

Picks highlighted with X% EV are picks with a postive profit margin over time.

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