NFL Betting Trends
NCAAF Betting Trends
NBA Betting Trends
NHL Betting Trends
MLB Betting Trends
Sports Betting Trends Explained
Sports betting trends use historical data to show how a sports team performs in specific situations. These provide insights to sports bettors as to how a team performs against the spread at home and on the road, and as underdogs and favorites. Other common betting trends include information about a team’s tendency to go Over or Under the point total.
Our sports-specific Top Trends tool is a magnifying glass for sports bettors, using both short-term and long-term sample sizes to look closer at sports betting trends than ever before. For example, our NBA Betting Trends will show you how profitable it is to bet the Over on the Brooklyn Nets this season when they’re playing bad defensive teams that allow 106+ points/game (the answer: 20-4 (83.3%) and +15.6 units). NFL Betting Trends include information about how well a head coach like the Kansas City Chiefs’ Andy Reid performs against the spread following a bye week. MLB Betting Trends can tell bettors how often teams combine to go Over the total runs in Coors Field during warm-weather months. These are just few of the hundreds of situation-specific examples. There are also unique NCAAB Trends, NCAAF Trends, and NHL Trends. For our purposes, we’ll take a closer look at four of the most popular sports at online sportsbooks — NBA, NFL, and college basketball. But first, a note on the usefulness of short-term trends and small samples.
Why Short Term Trends are Underrated
Skeptics may allege that short-term trends within a season are deceptive or “noisy” due to their small sample size, but by doing so, they’re ignoring that short term trends, and sometimes “streaks,” are often the best way way to find early signal when large samples are nonexistent. For instance, we have a large sample of Brooklyn Nets games but we don’t have a large sample of Brooklyn Nets games with Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving and James Harden all on the court. The signals we see in short-term trends are often being ignored at sportsbooks and are among the few opportunities that bettors can beat oddsmakers to the first punch.
How to Use Top Trends Information
Our Top Trends tool uses a comprehensive statistical database to analyze trends and make recommendations based on historical team data. Beyond just simple spreads and totals, this tool also offers top analysis for the moneyline, teaser, halftime, and run lines. The “unit” designation indicates how many betting units up (+) or down (-) a player would be had they wagered one unit on the given trend and team.
Why do you say to bet AGAINST a team instead of saying to bet ON their opponent?
When we analyze a trend for a team, it often has no bearing on their current opponent. If “Team A” statistically loses on the Moneyline when playing on Monday on the road, the trend is to bet AGAINST Team A. It doesn’t matter that they are playing “Team B”.
What does the number of units mean?
Units represent how many betting units a player would up (+) or down (-) if they had wagered 1 unit on the specified team and trend in every game applicable to the said trend. In games where the recommendation is to bet AGAINST a certain team, the units show as “minus” (-) since units are calculated as bets made ON that team in the given scenario. So as long as you’re betting AGAINST that team, a negative number is actually good.